Chicago Bulls vs Miami Heat NBA Betting prediction

NBA: Chicago Bulls vs Heat Prediction 4/19/2024

The Chicago Bulls (39-43) travel to face off against the Miami Heat (46-36) on Friday, April 19th. This game will be played at Kaseya Center in Miami and televised on ESPN. The Heat are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Bulls are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Raptors. Tip-off is set for 7:00 ET.

Bulls vs Heat

chicago bulls nba

The Bulls Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

The Bulls’ most recent game versus the Knicks saw DeMar DeRozan lead the Bulls with 30 points while shooting 11/24 from the field. Nikola Vucevic contributed 29 points, but Chicago lost the game 120-119.

In their last five games, the Bulls are 3-2 and have an overall record of 39-43. In Eastern Conference games, the Bulls are 22-29 and have gone 17-14 in non-conference play.

Against the spread, Chicago are currently above .500, at 41-40 ATS. On the road, the Bulls have an ATS record of 22-18 compared to a 19-22 record vs. the spread at home.

The Heat Are Coming Off A Win

In the game against the Raptors, Thomas Bryant was the top scorer for Miami, recording 18 points. His field goal percentage for the game was 52.9%. The Heat picked up a 118-103 win, and Jaime Jaquez Jr. also added 18 points which was 2nd on the team.

As we head into today’s game, the Heat have a record of 46-36 and are looking to extend their two game winning streak. When playing on the road, the Heat are 24-17 while going 22-19 at home.

In terms of the spread, Miami currently holds an ATS record of 40-39, which is above .500. On the road, the Heat have an ATS record of 24-14 compared to a 16-25 record vs. the spread at home.

Bulls Offense Breakdown

Chicago has recorded an average of 112.3 points per game (22nd) throughout 82 games games.

DeMar DeRozan has been carrying the Bulls offense of late, averaging 33.2 points per game in his last four games. This has come while hitting 55.6% of his shots from the field. Looking at his season numbers, he is averaging 24 points and 5.3 assists. The Bulls will be without Zach LaVine, who is averaging 19.5 points per game and 3.9 assists.

For the season, the Bulls are averaging 112.3 points per game, which is 22nd in the league. They have been slightly better on the road, at 113 points per game compared to 111.5 at home. Chicago is 21st in pace this season.

Heat Offense Breakdown

miami heat

In 82 games games, Miami has an average of 110.1 points per game (26th).

Miami comes into the game as the 26th-ranked scoring team, averaging 110.1 points per contest. They have been a little better at home, averaging 112.1 points per game on their home court. The Heat are also near the bottom of the league in pace, averaging just 95.8 possessions per game.

Jimmy Butler is out for Miami, and Bam Adebayo is probable with a back injury. Adebayo is averaging 10.4 rebounds per game this season. Over their last five games, Tyler Herro is averaging 21.8 points per game on 46.6% shooting. Jimmy Butler has hit 55.6% of his shots in his last five games and averaged 18.6 points per contest.

Bulls Team Defense

On defense, the Bulls come into the game ranked 16th in the league in points allowed at 113.7 per game. Over their last three games, the team is allowing 117.3 points per contest (28th). Chicago’s defense is currently forcing 11.7 turnovers per game, which is 4th in the league. Additionally, they enter the game ranked 18th in blocked shots, with an average of 4.8 rejections per game.

Heat Team Defense

Miami’s defense has been playing well, ranking 3rd in the NBA with 108.4 points allowed per game. For the season, Miami is ranked 27th in fewest fouls per game. Team’s are averaging 19.2 free-throws per game vs. the Heat and have an overall field goal percentage of 46.9%.

Key Players For The Bulls And Heat

For today’s matchup, we project DeMar DeRozan to lead the scoring for the Bulls, putting up 24 points and shooting at a rate of 8/17. This season, he is averaging 24 points per game along with 4.3 boards.

On the flip side, our predictions place Tyler Herro as the leading scorer for the Heat. We expect him to conclude the game with a team-high 19 while also collecting 5 rebounds. This season, he has put together a field goal percentage of 44.1%, and he is contributing 20.8 points per game on average.

Bulls vs Heat Trends

  • Although Chicago has a straight up record of 5-5 in their last ten road games, they have not held up as well vs the spread going 6-4. The team averaged 116 points per game in these games.
  • Through their last ten home contests, the Heat offense has averaged 108 points per game while allowing an average of 104. Miami posted an overall record of 6-4 while going 8-2 ATS.
  • Going back to their previous ten games as the underdog, Chicago has an ATS mark of 5-5 while going 4-6 straight up.
  • As the betting favorite, the Heat have an ATS record of 2-1 in their last three games. In these matchups, their straight up record was 3-0.

Bulls vs Heat Prediction

Entering the game as underdogs with a spread of +1.5, the Bulls is our point spread pick. Our projections not only see them covering the spread but also indicate a solid chance of an outright victory. This is a good choice for those looking for a higher moneyline payout.

Right now, the over/under line for the game is sitting at 205.5 and given that our model is projecting 229 points between the teams, we like the over.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.