Oklahoma City Thunder vs Dallas Mavericks NBA Betting Prediction

NBA City Thunder vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction 5/13/2024

The Oklahoma City Thunder (57-25) travel to face off against the Dallas Mavericks (50-32) on Monday, May 13th. This game will be played at American Airlines Center in Dallas and televised on TNT. The Mavericks are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Thunder are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Thunder. Tip-off is set for 9:30 ET.

Thunder vs Mavericks

oklahoma city thunder nba

Dallas pulled out a 105-101 win in the most recent game of this Thunder vs. Mavericks series. The Mavs were favored by 1.5 points heading into the game, and their win was enough to cover the spread. Going into the game, the over/under line was at 217.5 points, and the teams fell 11.5 points short of that total.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander had a big game for the Thunder, finishing with 31 points, 10 rebounds, and six assists. P.J. Washington led all scorers with 27 points, and he knocked down five threes for the Mavericks. Both teams struggled from beyond the arc, with the Thunder and Mavericks shooting just 33.3% from three-point range.

Thunder Offense Breakdown

Oklahoma City heads into the game as the NBA’s top three-point shooting team, hitting 38% of their shots from downtown. Overall, they are averaging 120.1 points per game this season, which is the 3rd best mark in the league. One area where they have been below average is in free throw attempts, as they are 17th in attempts and 12th in made free throws.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is averaging 28.2 points per game over his last five games, to go along with 6.8 assists and 9.2 rebounds. Jalen Williams has averaged 19.8 points per game in that stretch, along with 5.2 assists and 6.4 rebounds. Luguentz Dort is averaging 2 made threes per game on a three-point shooting percentage of 39.4%.

Mavericks Offense Breakdown

dallas mavericks

Looking at Luka Doncic’s last five games, he is averaging 26.6 points, 8.8 assists, and 9 rebounds. Over this stretch, he hit just 26.3% of his three-point attempts. For the season, Doncic is averaging 33.9 points, 9.8 assists, and 9.2 rebounds. Kyrie Irving is averaging 25.6 points, 5.2 assists, and 5 rebounds for the season.

Dallas is 8th in scoring this season, at 117.9 points per game. At home, they are 9th in scoring, at 117.7 points per contest. The Mavericks are 3rd in both three-point attempts and makes this season but are just 15th in three-point shooting percentage.

Thunder Team Defense

On the season, the Thunder are allowing 111.4 points per game, which is 10th in the NBA. When playing on the road, Oklahoma City is giving up 113.7 points per contest, which is 14th in the league. Over their last five games, the Thunder have been even better on the defensive end, allowing just 98.6 points per game, which is 3rd in the NBA over that stretch.

On the season, opponents have shot 45.2% from the field against the Thunder, which is the best mark in the NBA. They are also 1st in the league in blocked shots per game and 1st in steals per game. Over their last five games, Oklahoma City has continued to be strong inside, allowing just 45.6% shooting from two-point range.

Mavericks Team Defense

When playing at home, the Mavericks have given up an average of 113.9 points per game, which is 17th in the NBA. Over their last five games, Dallas has been even better on the defensive end, allowing just 104.4 points per contest, which is 7th in the league over that stretch.

On the season, opposing teams have made 36.8% of their three-point attempts against the Mavericks, which is 17th in the NBA. In terms of steals, Dallas is 24th in the league at 6.9 per game.

One area where the Mavericks have been solid this season is in terms of blocked shots, as they are 15th in the NBA at 5 per game. In terms of personal fouls, Dallas is 20th in the league.

Key Players For The Thunder And Mavericks

In today’s game, our projections have Shai Gilgeous-Alexander leading the Thunder with 30 points on 10/20 shooting from the field. For the season, he has been averaging 30.1 points per game, in addition to 5.5 rebounds.

On the flip side, our predictions place Luka Doncic as the leading scorer for the Mavericks. We expect him to conclude the game with a team-high 33 while also collecting 9 rebounds. Throughout the season, he has maintained a 48.7% field goal shooting rate and is averaging 33.9 points per game.

Thunder vs Mavericks Trends

  • In their last five games away from home, the Thunder have a straight up record of 3-2 while going 2-3 vs the spread. The team’s offense averaged 107 points per game in these contests.
  • The Mavericks are 3-2 ATS in their last home games and 3-2 straight-up.
  • As the betting underdog, the Thunder have an ATS mark of just 1-4 in their last five games. Oklahoma City posted a straight up mark of 1-4 in these matchups.
  • The Mavericks have played well in their last three games as the betting favorite, going 3-0 straight up and 3-0 against the spread.

Thunder vs Mavericks Prediction

Entering the game as underdogs with a spread of +1, the Thunder is our point spread pick. Our projections not only see them covering the spread but also indicate a solid chance of an outright victory. This is a good choice for those looking for a higher moneyline payout.

Right now, the over/under line for the game is sitting at 213.5 and given that our model is projecting 231 points between the teams, we like the over.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.