Oklahoma City Thunder vs Houston Rockets NBA Betting Prediction

NBA City Thunder vs Houston Rockets Prediction 2/25/2024

The Oklahoma City Thunder (39-17) travel to face off against the Houston Rockets (25-31) on Sunday, February 25th. This game will be played at Toyota Center in Houston and televised on Spac. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. Tip-off is set for 7:00 ET.

Thunder vs Rockets

oklahoma city thunder nba

The Thunder Are Coming Off A Win

The Thunder’s most recent matchup against the Wizards saw Shai Gilgeous-Alexander lead the Thunder with 30 points while shooting 10/17 from the field. Chet Holmgren also contributed 25 points as the Thunder won by a score of 147-106 vs. the Wizards.

Heading into today’s matchup with the Rockets, the Thunder are seeking to improve upon their 39-17 overall record, which is above .500. When playing on the road, the Thunder are 16-11 this season, compared to a 23-6 record at home.

Oklahoma City is currently performing above .500 against the spread with an ATS record of 36-20. Oklahoma City has covered the spread in three consecutive home games, while maintaining an ATS record of 20-9 at home as opposed to 16-11 on the road.

The Rockets Are Coming Off A Win

The Rockets clinched a 114-110 win over the Suns in their previous game. The Rockets faced the Suns as +2.5 underdogs, achieving both a straight-up and ATS win in the game. Regarding the over/under, the combined score of 224 points ended up below the over/under line of 234.

In their last ten games, the Rockets have gone 3-7 and have an overall record of 25-31. They are currently in 12th place in the Western Conference and are 3rd in the Southwest division.

Houston has an ATS record above .500, currently standing at 29-26 against the spread. This season, Houston has a 12-7 record against the spread when they are the favorites, and they are 17-19 as underdogs.

Thunder Offense Breakdown

The Thunder come into today’s game as one of the better scoring teams in the NBA at 121.4 points per game (3rd).

When it comes to scoring, the Thunder have been one of the best teams in the NBA this season. They are currently averaging 121.4 points per game, which is the 3rd best mark in the league. On the road, they are scoring 118.7 points per game.

So far this season, the Thunder have outscored the NBA scoring average in 69.6% of their games. They are also one of the most efficient shooting teams in the league, ranking 2nd in field goal percentage at 50%. In terms of pace, they are 11th in the NBA.

When it comes to three-point shooting, the Thunder are one of the best teams in the league. They are currently hitting 39% of their shots from beyond the arc, which is the best mark in the NBA. In terms of assists, they are 11th in the league.

Rockets Offense Breakdown

houston rockets

Through 56 games games, Houston is averaging 113.2 points per game (21st).

This season, the Rockets have been an above-average scoring team at home, averaging 115.2 points per game (17th). Overall, they are 21st in scoring at 113.2 points per game.

When it comes to three-point shooting, Houston is 27th in the league at 35% and is 19th in three-point makes per game (12.1). They are also 26th in field goal percentage (46%).

So far, the Rockets have outscored the NBA average in just 37.5% of their games. In terms of pace, they are 13th in the league at 99.3 possessions per game.

Thunder Team Defense

Coming into today’s game, the Thunder’s defense is giving up an average of 113.4 points per contest. In the terms of takeaways, Thunder are causing 11.7 turnovers per game, ranking 2nd in the league. They also enter the matchup ranked 1st in rejections, averaging 6.8 blocked shots each game.

Rockets Team Defense

The Rockets’ defense is presently ranked 11th in the league, allowing an average of 112.9 points per contest. Opponents are hitting 54.1% of their two-point field goal attempts this season, and they’re also connecting on 34.3% of their three-point attempts.

Key Players For The Thunder And Rockets

Our projections for today’s game indicate that Shai Gilgeous-Alexander will be the primary scorer for the Thunder, with 31 points and going 11/20 from the field. During this season, he is delivering an average of 31.1 points per game, along with 5.5 rebounds.

On the opposing side, we anticipate Alperen Sengün to be the top scorer for the Rockets. Our projection has him finishing the game with 19, and he is expected to secure 9 rebounds. For the season, he has a field goal percentage of 53.9% and is averaging 21.1 points per contest.

Thunder vs Rockets Trends

  • Across the Thunder last three road games, the team averaged 118 points per game while allowing 127. Their record vs the spread in these contests was 1-2, while going 1-2 straight-up.
  • In their last three games at home, the Rockets have a straight up record of 0-3 while going 0-3 vs the spread. The team’s offense averaged 110 points per game in these contests.
  • Looking back on the team’s last ten games as the underdog, the Rockets have a straight up record of 2-8. Their record vs the spread in these games was 5-5.
  • As the betting favorite, the Thunder have an ATS record of 3-0 in their last three games. In these matchups, their straight up record was 3-0.

Thunder vs Rockets Prediction

Our bet is on the Thunder for a win, and we project the score to be 142-117. Additionally, we expect them to cover the spread, so our recommendation is to wager on the Thunder with the spread at -6.

As for the total, the line is currently sitting at 235 and our model has the Thunder and Rockets finishing with a combined 259 points. Our pick is to take the over.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.