City Thunder vs Memphis Grizzlies NBA Betting Prediction

NBA City Thunder vs Memphis Grizzlies Prediction 3/16/2024

The Oklahoma City Thunder (46-20) travel to face off against the Memphis Grizzlies (23-44) on Saturday, March 16th. This game will be played at FedExForum in Memphis and televised on BSSE. The Thunder are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Grizzlies are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Mavericks. Tip-off is set for 8:00 ET.

Thunder vs Grizzlies

oklahoma city thunder nba

The Thunder Are Coming Off A Win

In the game against the Mavericks, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander was the top scorer for Oklahoma City, recording 31 points. His field goal percentage for the game was 52.3%. The Thunder picked up a 126-119 win, and Jalen Williams also added 27 points which was 2nd on the team.

Coming into today’s game, the Thunder have an overall record of 46-20 and are 2-1 in their last three games. On the road, the Thunder are 19-13 this season compared to a 27-7 record at home.

Oklahoma City possesses an ATS record of 40-26 for this season, including their ongoing two game losing streak against the spread. The Thunder have failed to cover the spread in two straight games as the favorite and are 11-5 vs. the spread as the underdog.

The Grizzlies Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

The Grizzlies’ most recent matchup against the Hornets saw GG Jackson II lead the Grizzlies with 26 points while shooting 8/17 from the field. Luke Kennard contributed 17 points, but Memphis lost the game 110-98.

In their quest to beat the Thunder, the Grizzlies have a record of 23-44, which is below .500. In their 67 games, the Grizzlies are 13-29 vs. Western Conference teams and 10-15 in non-conference games.

Memphis comes in with an overall ATS record of 32-35 so far this season. The Grizzlies have been unable to cover the spread in their last six games as favorites, and they hold a 27-24 record against the spread when playing as underdogs.

Thunder Offense Breakdown

Coming into today’s action, Oklahoma City is averaging 120.8 points per contest. This figure places them 3rd in the league.

When it comes to scoring, the Thunder are one of the top offensive teams in the league. They are currently 3rd in the NBA in scoring at 120.8 points per game. Interestingly, they have been better on the road this season, averaging 118.6 points compared to 122.8 at home.

Oklahoma City is known for their three-point shooting, as they lead the league in three-point percentage at 39%. They are also 9th in made threes at 13.5 per game. In terms of overall field goal percentage, the Thunder are 2nd in the NBA at 50%.

When it comes to pace, the Thunder are 12th in the league at 99.6 possessions per game. In terms of assists, they are 12th at 26.9 per game. However, they are one of the worst offensive rebounding teams in the NBA, ranking 29th in that category.

Grizzlies Offense Breakdown

memphis grizzlies

Through 67 games the Grizzlies are averaging 105.7 points per contest, placing them 30th in the NBA.

At 105.7 points per game, the Grizzlies have the 30th ranked offense in the NBA. However, they have been slightly better on the road, averaging 108.5 points compared to 103.1 at home. So far, they have outscored the NBA average in just 20.9% of their games.

When it comes to pace, Memphis is 16th in the league at 98 possessions per game. In terms of field goal percentage, the Grizzlies are 30th at 43%. They are also 30th in two-point field goal percentage at 50%.

From beyond the arc, the Grizzlies are 12th in three-pointers made per game but are last in three-point shooting percentage at 34%. In terms of assists, they are 23rd in the league at 24.8 per game.

Thunder Team Defense

On defense, the Thunder come into the game ranked 13th in the league in points allowed at 113.1 per game. Over their last three games, the team is allowing 111 points per contest (29th). In the terms of takeaways, Thunder are causing 11.5 turnovers per game, ranking 3rd in the league. They also enter the matchup ranked 1st in rejections, averaging 6.7 blocked shots each game.

Grizzlies Team Defense

On defense, the Grizzlies come into the game ranked 9th in the league in points allowed at 112.2 per game. Over their last three games, the team is allowing 110.3 points per contest (4th). In the terms of takeaways, Grizzlies are causing 14.4 turnovers per game, ranking 27th in the league. They also enter the matchup ranked 3rd in rejections, averaging 6.3 blocked shots each game.

Key Players For The Thunder And Grizzlies

Our projections for today’s game indicate that Shai Gilgeous-Alexander will be the primary scorer for the Thunder, with 31 points and going 11/20 from the field. During this season, he is delivering an average of 31.1 points per game, along with 5.6 rebounds.

On the opposing side, we anticipate Desmond Bane to be the top scorer for the Grizzlies. Our projection has him finishing the game with 24, and he is expected to secure 5 rebounds. For the season, he has a field goal percentage of 47.4% and is averaging 24.4 points per contest.

Thunder vs Grizzlies Trends

  • In their last three games away from home, the Thunder have a straight up record of 2-1 while going 1-2 vs the spread. The team’s offense averaged 116 points per game in these contests.
  • When looking at their past three matchups at home, Memphis has an ATS record of 2-1 while averaging 104 per game. The team went 2-1 overall in these games.
  • Looking back on the team’s last ten games as the underdog, the Grizzlies have a straight up record of 4-6. Their record vs the spread in these games was 6-4.
  • Through their previous five contests as the betting favorite, the Thunder have a strong record of 4-1. Their record vs the spread in these matchups is 1-4.

Thunder vs Grizzlies Prediction

Not only do we have the Thunder winning this one by a score of 115-105, but we see them covering the spread. Our pick is to grab the Thunder at -9.5.

As for the over/under, the the line is currently at 219.5, and our model projects the Thunder and Grizzlies to reach a combined total of 220 points. Our bet is on taking the over.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.