City Thunder vs Phoenix Suns NBA Betting Prediction

NBA City Thunder vs Phoenix Suns Prediction 3/3/2024

The Oklahoma City Thunder (41-18) travel to face off against the Phoenix Suns (35-25) on Sunday, March 3rd. This game will be played at Footprint Center in Phoenix and televised on ESPN. Both the Thunder and Suns will be looking to bounce back from losses in their previous games. Tip off is scheduled for 9:30 ET.

Thunder vs Suns

oklahoma city thunder nba

The Thunder Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander led Oklahoma City with 31 points against the Spurs, the highest on the team. He finished with a field goal percentage of 49.4% in the game. While Jalen Williams was 2nd on the team with 26 points, Oklahoma City fell short in the game with a final score of 132-118.

With a record of 41-18, the Thunder are above .500 as they prepare to face the Suns. In the Western Conference, the Thunder are 2nd and are also 2nd in the Northwest division.

Oklahoma City arrives with an ATS record of 38-21 for the season up to this point. The Thunder maintain an ATS record of 17-12 on the road, while they have a 21-9 record vs. the spread when playing at home.

The Suns Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

Kevin Durant led Phoenix with 30 points against the Rockets, the highest on the team. He finished with a field goal percentage of 45.9% in the game. Devin Booker added 24 points, but unfortunately, Phoenix was defeated in the game with a score of 118-109.

When looking at their last ten games, the Suns are 6-4 and have an overall record of 35-25 as they get set to take on the Thunder. In road games, the Suns are 15-13 this season compared to their 20-12 record at home.

Phoenix has an overall ATS record of 24-35 for the season so far. Phoenix has struggled to cover the spread in their last three road games and has an ATS record of 12-16 on the road, while it is 12-19 at home.

Thunder Offense Breakdown

Leading up to today’s matchup, the Thunder are one of the NBA’s top offenses, averaging 121.2 points per game (3rd).

When it comes to scoring, the Thunder are 3rd in the NBA at 121.2 points per game. However, they have been slightly better at home, where they are averaging 123.6 points compared to 118.8 on the road.

So far this season, the Thunder have outscored the NBA scoring average in 69.5% of their games. In terms of pace, they are 11th in the league at 99.8 possessions per game.

One area where the Thunder have excelled is in their three-point shooting. They are currently 1st in the NBA in three-point shooting percentage at 39%. Overall, they are 2nd in field goal percentage at 50%.

Suns Offense Breakdown

phoenix suns

Leading up to today’s matchup, the Suns are one of the NBA’s top offenses, averaging 117.2 points per game (11th).

This season, the Suns are 11th in the NBA in scoring at 117.2 points per game. They have scored 117.3 points per game at home, compared to 117.1 on the road.

Phoenix is 15th in the league in pace at 98.7 possessions per game. So far, they have outscored the NBA average in 53.3% of their games.

When it comes to shooting, the Suns are 4th in field goal percentage at 49%. However, they are just 22nd in three-point shooting at 37%.

Thunder Team Defense

At this time, the Thunder’s defense is positioned 13th in the NBA, permitting 113.3 points per game. In the terms of takeaways, Thunder are causing 11.6 turnovers per game, ranking 2nd in the league. They also enter the matchup ranked 1st in rejections, averaging 6.7 blocked shots each game.

Suns Team Defense

On defense, the Suns come into the game ranked 16th in the league in points allowed at 114.4 per game. Over their last three games, the team is allowing 112 points per contest (15th). In terms of two point field goal attempts, the Suns defense has allowed a shooting percentage of 53.0% while allowing 36.5% from downtown.

Key Players For The Thunder And Suns

Our projections for today’s game indicate that Shai Gilgeous-Alexander will be the primary scorer for the Thunder, with 30 points and going 11/20 from the field. During this season, he is delivering an average of 31.2 points per game, along with 5.6 rebounds.

On the other side, Devin Booker is our projected leading scorer for the Suns. We have him ending the game with a team-high 28 and grabbing 4 rebounds. This season, he is shooting at a field goal percentage of 49.4%, and his scoring average is 27.5 points per game.

Thunder vs Suns Trends

  • In their last three road games, Oklahoma City has averaged 122 points per game while allowing 118. The team’s record in this stretch was 2-1 while going 2-1 vs. the spread.
  • Through their last ten home contests, the Suns offense has averaged 121 points per game while allowing an average of 117. Phoenix posted an overall record of 4-6 while going 4-6 ATS.
  • Looking back on the team’s last ten games as the underdog, the Suns have a straight up record of 3-7. Their record vs the spread in these games was 3-7.
  • As the betting favorite, the Thunder have an ATS mark of just 6-4 in their last ten games. Oklahoma City posted a straight up mark of 7-3 in these matchups.

Thunder vs Suns Prediction

We’re putting our money on the Thunder to win, and have the projected score sitting at 136-128. We also like them to cover the spread, so our recommendation is to bet on the Thunder at -4.5.

As for the over/under, the the line is currently at 234, and our model projects the Thunder and Suns to reach a combined total of 264 points. Our bet is on taking the over.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.