Oklahoma City Thunder vs San Antonio Spurs NBA Betting Prediction

NBA City Thunder vs San Antonio Spurs Prediction 3/2/2025

The Oklahoma City Thunder (48-11) travel to face off against the San Antonio Spurs (25-33) on Sunday, March 2nd. This game will be played at Frost Bank Center in San Antonio and televised on ESPN. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. Tip-off is set for 7:00 ET.

Thunder vs Spurs

oklahoma city thunder nba

The Thunder Are Coming Off A Win

The Thunder improved to 48-11 with a 135-119 win over the Hawks on Friday. Oklahoma City, favored by 11 points, covered the spread with the 16-point victory. The total score of 254 points went over the 246.5-point line.

After a 14-0 run by the Hawks brought the score from 69-53 to 69-67, the Thunder responded by outscoring Atlanta 37-20 in the 3rd quarter. Despite the Hawks winning the 4th quarter 35-27, Oklahoma City’s lead was too much to overcome.

The Spurs Are Coming Off A Win

San Antonio improved to 25-33 on the season with a 130-128 win over the Grizzlies on Saturday. The Spurs, who entered the game as +5.5 point underdogs, not only pulled off the upset but also covered the spread. The combined score of 258 points went over the pre-game total of 242.5.

San Antonio took control in the 2nd quarter, outscoring Memphis 46-28, including a 10-0 run. The Grizzlies fought back, winning the 3rd quarter 38-22, but the Spurs held a 99-96 lead going into the 4th and managed to hang on, despite being outscored 32-31 in the final period.

Thunder Offense Breakdown

The Thunder’s offense was firing on all cylinders in their 135-119 win over the Hawks, shooting 50.5% from the field and connecting on 23 threes at a 46% clip. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander led the way with 31 points, including 12 in the 3rd quarter, while Luguentz Dort added 20 points, hitting 6 threes at 54.5%.

Jalen Williams also contributed 20 points, adding 9 in the 4th quarter. Isaiah Joe chipped in 12 points, 9 of which came in the opening period, and Isaiah Hartenstein scored 10 of his 13 points in the 2nd quarter.

Spurs Offense Breakdown

san antonio spurs

Stephon Castle led the Spurs with 24 points and 7 assists in their win over the Grizzlies, while De’Aaron Fox and Devin Vassell each added 20 points. Fox also contributed 7 assists, and Vassell grabbed 6 rebounds.

San Antonio shot 52.1% from the field and hit 14 threes at a 38.9% rate. Castle scored 7 points in both the 1st and 3rd quarters, while Fox put up 9 points in the 4th. Jeremy Sochan added 11 of his 18 points in the 2nd quarter.

Thunder Team Defense

Despite a rough 2nd quarter where they gave up 41 points, the Thunder’s defense held strong in the 1st and 3rd quarters, allowing just 23 and 20 points, respectively, to help secure the win. Oklahoma City allowed the Hawks to shoot 48% from the field.

The Thunder limited Atlanta’s three-point shooting, giving up 15 threes on 41% shooting. Oklahoma City also sent the Hawks to the free-throw line 23 times, where they made 18. Defensively, the Thunder recorded 10 steals and 1 block.

Spurs Team Defense

Despite a tough 2nd quarter where the Thunder allowed 41 points, they tightened up defensively in the 3rd, giving up just 20 points to help secure the win. Overall, Oklahoma City allowed 119 points on 48% shooting from the field.

The Thunder limited the Hawks to 15 made threes on 41% shooting. They sent Atlanta to the line 23 times, where the Hawks made 18 free throws. Oklahoma City finished with 34 defensive rebounds, gave up 10 offensive boards, and recorded 10 steals.

Thunder vs Spurs Trends

  • Across their five previous road games, Oklahoma City has an ATS mark of 2-3. Their straight up record in these matchups was 4-1 while averaging 125 points per game.
  • Across their five previous home games, San Antonio has an ATS mark of 1-4. Their straight up record in these matchups was 1-4 while averaging 107 points per game.
  • The last ten games that San Antonio was the underdog, they have an ATS mark of 4-6 while going 2-8 straight up.
  • Against the spread, the Thunder have put together 1-2 in their last three games as the betting favorite. In these same games, they went 2-1 straight up.

Thunder vs Spurs Prediction

As the underdogs with a spread of +13.5, we recommend going with the Spurs on the point spread. We not only see them covering the spread but also have a strong likelihood of winning this one outright, especially if you’re seeking a higher payout on the moneyline.

As for the over/under, the the line is currently at 235, and our model projects the Thunder and Spurs to reach a combined total of 232 points. Our bet is on taking the under.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.