Clippers vs Dallas Mavericks NBA Betting Prediction

NBA Clippers vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction 4/28/2024

The Los Angeles Clippers (51-31) travel to face off against the Dallas Mavericks (50-32) on Sunday, April 28th. This game will be played at American Airlines Center in Dallas and televised on ABC. The Mavericks are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Clippers are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Clippers. Tip-off is set for 3:30 ET.

Clippers vs Mavericks

los angeles clippers nba

The Mavericks picked up an 11-point win in the most recent game of this series, taking down the Clippers 101-90. The Mavericks had a big 2nd quarter, outscoring the Clippers 36-18. Dallas was favored by 4.5 points and easily covered the spread. The 191 combined points were 22.5 less than the over/under line of 213.5.

Luka Doncic had a double-double for the Mavericks, finishing with 22 points, 9 assists, and 10 rebounds. Kyrie Irving added 21 points. The Clippers made just 10 threes in the game, and Harden and Powell each had 21 points for the Clippers.

Clippers Offense Breakdown

One of the Clippers’ key players, Kawhi Leonard, is questionable with a knee injury. Leonard is averaging 23.7 points per game this season. Paul George is averaging 22.6 points per game but has averaged just 15.2 points per game in his last four games. James Harden has averaged 18.8 points per game in his last four games on a shooting percentage of 45.8%.

Los Angeles is the 12th ranked scoring offense this season, at 115.6 points per game. They have been below average in terms of pace this year, averaging 96.6 possessions per contest. The Clippers are 4th in three-point shooting, at 38%.

Mavericks Offense Breakdown

dallas mavericks

Looking at Luka Doncic’s last three games, he has averaged 29 points per game, but he has hit just 37.7% of his shots from the field. Over his last three games, Kyrie Irving has hit 49.1% of his shots and is averaging 25 points per game. Doncic is averaging 4.1 made threes per game, and Irving is at 3 for the season.

Dallas is averaging 118.3 points per game at home this year, which is 9th in the NBA. Overall, they are 8th in the league at 117.9 points per game. The Mavericks are also near the top of the league in made threes, averaging 14.6 per game. However, they are just 14th in three-point shooting percentage.

Clippers Team Defense

On the season, the Clippers are 10th in the NBA in points allowed per game at 111.8. When playing on the road, they have been slightly worse, giving up 112.1 points per contest, which is 9th in the league.

Over their last five games, Los Angeles has been excellent on the defensive end, ranking 6th in points allowed at just 104 per game. During this stretch, they have been especially good at defending the three-point line, allowing opponents to shoot just 28.9% from beyond the arc.

On the year, the Clippers are 16th in defensive rebounding, 9th in steals, and 16th in blocked shots. They have also done a good job of defending without fouling, ranking 15th in personal fouls per game.

Mavericks Team Defense

When it comes to defense, the Dallas Mavericks have been middle of the pack this season, ranking 18th in points allowed per game at 115.0. Over their last five games, they have been even better, coming in at 12th in the league at 106.8 points per contest.

One area where the Mavericks have struggled this season is three-point defense, allowing opponents to shoot 36.7% from beyond the arc. In terms of made threes, they have given up 13.1 per game, which is 20th in the league.

Overall, opposing offenses have scored more than their season average in 59.8% of games against the Mavericks. However, when it comes to rebounds, Dallas has been solid, ranking 14th in defensive rebounds per game.

Key Players For The Clippers And Mavericks

Our projections for today’s game indicate that Kawhi Leonard will be the primary scorer for the Clippers, with 23 points and going 9/16 from the field. For the season, he has been averaging 23.7 points per game, in addition to 6.1 rebounds.

As for Dallas, Luka Doncic is projected to be the primary scorer for the Mavericks. Our forecast has him finishing the game with 34, and adding 9 rebounds. For the season, he has a field goal percentage of 48.7% and is averaging 33.9 points per contest.

Clippers vs Mavericks Trends

  • Through their last three road games, Los Angeles has an ATS record of just 1-2. However, their overall record was 1-2 while averaging 96 points per game.
  • Across their ten previous home games, Dallas has an ATS mark of 7-3. Their straight up record in these matchups was 7-3 while averaging 109 points per game.
  • Looking back on the team’s last ten games as the underdog, the Clippers have a straight up record of 4-6. Their record vs the spread in these games was 4-6.
  • Looking back on the team’s last three games as the favorite, the Mavericks have a straight up record of 1-2. Their record vs the spread in these games was 1-2.

Clippers vs Mavericks Prediction

For a pick on the point-spread in this Mavericks vs. Clippers matchup, our bet is to grab the Clippers at +6. Even though our projections have the Mavericks winning 119-116, we see the Clippers as the play on the point-spread.

Regarding the over/under, the current line is set at 208.5, and our model predicts the Clippers and Mavericks to score a combined 235 points. We recommend betting on the over.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.