Los Angeles Clippers vs Dallas Mavericks NBA Betting Prediction

NBA Clippers vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction 5/3/2024

The Los Angeles Clippers (51-31) travel to face off against the Dallas Mavericks (50-32) on Friday, May 3rd. This game will be played at American Airlines Center in Dallas and televised on ESPN. The Mavericks are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Clippers are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Clippers. Tip-off is set for 9:30 ET.

Clippers vs Mavericks

los angeles clippers nba

The Mavericks picked up a 30-point win over the Clippers in the most recent game of this series, winning by a score of 123-93. They were favored by three points heading into the game and easily covered the spread. Dallas also held the Clippers to just 37.9% shooting from the field and 25.7% shooting from three-point range. As for the over/under, the line was set at 208 points, and the teams combined for 216.

Paul George and Ivica Zubac each scored 15 points for the Clippers, while Luka Doncic had a big game for the Mavericks with 35 points, 10 assists, and seven rebounds. He was also the game’s leading scorer. As a team, the Mavericks shot 54% from the field and made 14 threes. Maxi Kleber also had 15 points for the Mavericks and hit five threes.

Clippers Offense Breakdown

Paul George comes into the game averaging 19.8 points per game over his last five games while shooting 42.9% from the field. In these games, he also averaged 3.2 made threes per contest. James Harden has averaged 22.2 points per game in his last five games on a shooting percentage of 47.9%.

For the season, the Clippers are averaging 115.6 points per game, which is 12th in the NBA. They have been slightly better on the road, averaging 115.3 points per game compared to 114.2 at home. Los Angeles is 8th in field goal percentage and 4th in three-point shooting percentage.

Mavericks Offense Breakdown

dallas mavericks

This season, Luka Doncic is averaging 30.2 points per game over his last five games. In these games, he has hit 38.2% of his threes. Overall, Kyrie Irving is averaging 25.6 points per game, and over his last five, he is at 25.8 points per game while hitting 50% of his shots from downtown.

Dallas is 8th in scoring this season at 117.9 points per game. For the season, they are 3rd in both three-point attempts and makes. The Mavericks are also a good two-point shooting team, at 56%.

Clippers Team Defense

So far this season, the Clippers have been a solid defensive team, ranking 11th in the NBA in points allowed per game at 112.0. On the road, they have been even better, ranking 9th in the league at 112.0 points per game.

One interesting stat for the Clippers is that opponents have scored less than their season average in 61.0% of games vs. Los Angeles. This could be a good sign for the Clippers, as they look to slow down a potent Dallas offense.

Another area where the Clippers have been strong is in steals, ranking 9th in the NBA at 7.8 per game. They have also done a good job of contesting shots, ranking 12th in field goal percentage allowed at 46.9%.

Mavericks Team Defense

When it comes to defense, the Dallas Mavericks have been middle of the pack this season, ranking 18th in points allowed per game at 114.8. They have been slightly better at home, giving up 114.5 points per contest, which is 19th in the NBA.

Over their last five games, the Mavericks’ defense has been even better, ranking 4th in points allowed at just 100.2 per game. During that stretch, they have been particularly stingy inside the arc, giving up just 46.8% shooting on two-point attempts.

One area where opponents have been able to have success against the Mavericks is from beyond the arc. On the season, opposing teams are shooting 36.9% from three-point range vs. Dallas. Over their last five games, that number has jumped to 39.8%.

Key Players For The Clippers And Mavericks

The outlook for today’s matchup points to Paul George as the primary point contributor for the Clippers, finishing with 22 points while maintaining a 8/16 shooting accuracy. For the season, he has been averaging 22.6 points per game, in addition to 5.2 rebounds.

On the flip side, our predictions place Luka Doncic as the leading scorer for the Mavericks. We expect him to conclude the game with a team-high 34 while also collecting 9 rebounds. This season, he is shooting at a field goal percentage of 48.7%, and his scoring average is 33.9 points per game.

Clippers vs Mavericks Trends

  • Across the Clippers last ten road games, the team averaged 108 points per game while allowing 106. Their record vs the spread in these contests was 4-6, while going 7-3 straight-up.
  • Across their last three home contests, Dallas has been good against the spread posting a mark of 2-1. Their overall mark in these games was 2-1, while averaging 105 points per game.
  • In their last ten games as the betting underdog, the Clippers have a straight up record of 4-6 and an ATS mark of 4-6.
  • As the betting favorite, the Mavericks have an ATS mark of just 6-4 in their last ten games. Dallas posted a straight up mark of 6-4 in these matchups.

Clippers vs Mavericks Prediction

When looking to get a point-spread pick down in this Clippers vs. Mavericks game, our recommendation is to take the Clippers at +7.5. Despite our model showing the Mavericks winning 117-116, we like Clippers as our point-spread pick.

As for the total, the line is currently sitting at 206.5 and our model has the Clippers and Mavericks finishing with a combined 233 points. Our pick is to take the over.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.