Dallas Mavericks vs Boston Celtics NBA Betting Prediction

NBA Dallas Mavericks vs Boston Celtics Prediction 6/17/2024

The Dallas Mavericks (50-32) travel to face off against the Boston Celtics (64-18) on Monday, June 17th. This game will be played at TD Garden in Boston and televised on ABC. The Mavericks are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Celtics are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Celtics. Tip-off is set for 8:30 ET.

Mavericks vs Celtics

dallas mavericks nba

The Mavericks picked up a big win in the most recent game of this series, as they defeated the Celtics by a score of 122-84. Dallas was a one-point underdog at home but easily covered the spread, and the 38-point win was their largest of the season. The Mavericks got off to a quick start, outscoring the Celtics 34-21 in the first quarter.

Luka Doncic led the Mavericks with 29 points, and Kyrie Irving added 21. Dallas held the Celtics to just 36.2% shooting from the field, and Boston’s 14 made threes was just slightly below their season average. The over/under line for the game was 211.5 points, and the 206 combined points fell 5.5 points short of the over/under line.

Mavericks Offense Breakdown

For the season, Luka Doncic is averaging 33.9 points, 9.8 assists and 9.2 rebounds. Over his last five games, he is averaging 30.8 points on 50% shooting and 8.4 rebounds. The Mavericks are also looking for some good three-point shooting from Tim Hardaway Jr. and Kyrie Irving. Hardaway is averaging 2.7 threes per game on a three-point shooting percentage of 35.3%. Irving is averaging 25.6 points per game for the season and 24 points per game in his last five games.

Dallas is currently 4th in the league in three-point attempts and three-point makes. Their three-point shooting rate is also in the top half of the league. While their offense is averaging 117.9 points per game, they have actually been better on the road, averaging 114.6 points per contest.

Celtics Offense Breakdown

boston celtics

This season, the Celtics are averaging 120.6 points per game, which is the 3rd best mark in the league. At home, they have been even better, putting up 121.2 points per contest. Boston’s offense is built around their three-point shooting, as they lead the NBA in both three-point attempts and makes. They are averaging 16.5 made threes per game.

Jayson Tatum is averaging 2.4 made threes per game over his last five games but is shooting just 28.6% from downtown in that stretch. Jaylen Brown is averaging 22.4 points per game in his last five games while hitting 30.3% of his threes. For the season, Tatum is averaging 26.9 points per game, and Brown is at 23.0. Tatum is averaging 3.1 made threes per game.

Mavericks Team Defense

On the season, the Mavericks are 13th in points allowed at 113.1 points per game. In terms of field goal percentage allowed, Dallas is 13th in the NBA at 47.0%. In terms of three-point shooting percentage allowed, the Mavericks are 16th in the NBA at 36.4%.

Over their last five games, the Mavericks are 2nd in the NBA in points allowed at 101 points per game. In terms of field goal percentage allowed over that span, Dallas is 3rd at 43.6%.

On the season, opponents have scored more than their season average 61.0% of the time vs. the Mavericks. In terms of made threes, opponents have made more threes than their season average 65.9% of the time vs. Dallas.

Celtics Team Defense

When it comes to defense, the Boston Celtics are one of the best in the NBA, ranking 3rd in points allowed per game at 107.8. They have been just as stingy at home, giving up only 106.9 points per contest, which is 4th best in the league.

Despite being 28th in the league in steals per game, the Celtics are 2nd in blocked shots at 6.6 per game. They have also done a great job of keeping opponents off the free-throw line, allowing just 16.8 made free-throws per game, which is tops in the NBA.

Over their last five games, Boston has been even better on defense, allowing just 102 points per game. During that stretch, they have been especially good at defending the three-point line, holding opponents to just 32% shooting from beyond the arc.

Key Players For The Mavericks And Celtics

For today’s matchup, we project Luka Doncic to lead the scoring for the Mavericks, putting up 32 points and shooting at a rate of 11/23. This season, he is averaging 33.9 points per game along with 9.2 boards.

As for Boston, Jayson Tatum is projected to be the primary scorer for the Celtics. Our forecast has him finishing the game with 27, and adding 8 rebounds. For the season, he has a field goal percentage of 47.1% and is averaging 26.9 points per contest.

Mavericks vs Celtics Trends

  • Across the Mavericks last ten road games, the team averaged 106 points per game while allowing 103. Their record vs the spread in these contests was 7-2-1, while going 7-3 straight-up.
  • Through their last five home contests, the Celtics offense has averaged 103 points per game while allowing an average of 107. Boston posted an overall record of 4-1 while going 1-4 ATS.
  • Looking back on the team’s last three games as the underdog, the Mavericks have a straight up record of 1-2. Their record vs the spread in these games was 1-1-1.
  • Although the Celtics have a strong straight up record in their last five games as the betting favorite, they have not done as well vs the spread going 1-3-1.

Mavericks vs Celtics Prediction

We’re putting our money on the Celtics to win, and have the projected score sitting at 111-104. We also like them to cover the spread, so our recommendation is to bet on the Celtics at -6.5.

Right now, the over/under line for the game is sitting at 209.5 and given that our model is projecting 215 points between the teams, we like the over.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.