Dallas Mavericks vs Boston Celtics NBA Betting Prediction

NBA Dallas Mavericks vs Boston Celtics Prediction 6/9/2024

The Dallas Mavericks (50-32) travel to face off against the Boston Celtics (64-18) on Sunday, June 9th. This game will be played at TD Garden in Boston and televised on ABC. The Celtics are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Mavericks are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Mavericks. Tip-off is set for 8:00 ET.

Mavericks vs Celtics

dallas mavericks nba

The Celtics took control of this game right from the start, outscoring the Mavericks 37-20 in the first quarter. The Mavs did a better job in the 2nd and 3rd quarters, but they were still outscored in each of those periods. Boston’s 107-89 win gave them an 18-point victory, which was more than enough to cover the spread, as they were favored by 6.5 points. The game also fell short of the over/under line of 217.5 points by 21.5 points.

Defensively, the Celtics held the Mavs to just 41.7% shooting and seven made threes. Luka Doncic led Dallas with 30 points, and Jaylen Brown was the Celtics’ leading scorer with 22. Boston knocked down 16 threes as a team, and Porzingis added 20 points for the Celtics.

Mavericks Offense Breakdown

Looking at Luka Doncic’s last five games, he is averaging 31.8 points per game on 47.3% shooting. In these games, he hit 4.8 threes per contest while shooting 43.6% from downtown. Doncic is also averaging 6.8 assists and 10.4 rebounds in his last five. For the season, he is averaging 33.9 points, 9.8 assists, and 9.2 rebounds. Kyrie Irving has averaged 2.4 made threes per game over his last five games and 25.6 points for the year.

Overall, the Mavericks are averaging 117.9 points per game this season, which is 9th in the league. Their scoring production at home is 116.9 points per game and 114.9 on the road. Dallas is 4th in three-point attempts and 11th in three-point shooting percentage. The team’s average of 14.6 made threes per game is the 3rd best mark in the league.

Celtics Offense Breakdown

boston celtics

This season, the Celtics are the NBA’s top three-point shooting team, both in terms of three-point shooting percentage (38%) and three-pointers made per game (16.5). Overall, they are averaging 120.6 points per game, which is the 2nd best mark in the league. Jaylen Brown has been the league’s top scorer over his last five games, averaging 28.2 points per game. This has come while hitting 52.5% of his shots from the field.

Jayson Tatum is averaging 27.4 points per game in his last five games, to go along with 10.4 rebounds and 6 assists. For the season, both Tatum and Brown are averaging over 23 points per game. Derrick White has hit 39.6% of his threes this season and is averaging 2.7 made threes per game.

Mavericks Team Defense

On the season, the Mavericks are giving up 113.6 points per game, which is 16th in the NBA. In terms of field goal percentage allowed, Dallas is 13th at 47.1%.

Over their last five games, opposing teams have scored just 106 points per game on 47% shooting.

One area where the Mavericks have done a solid job this season is defending the three-point line. On the year, Dallas is 16th in three-point percentage allowed at 36.6%.

So far this season, opposing teams have made more threes than their season average in 64.6% of games vs. the Mavericks.

Celtics Team Defense

When it comes to defense, the Boston Celtics have been one of the best units in the league this season. They are currently 3rd in the NBA in points allowed per game at 107.9. At home, they have been even better, giving up just 107.0 points per contest, which is good for 4th in the league.

One area where opponents have struggled against the Celtics is at the free-throw line. Boston is currently 1st in the NBA in made free-throws allowed per game at 16.6. Over their last five games, they have been even better, giving up just 11.6 made free-throws per contest.

When it comes to rebounding, the Celtics are one of the best teams in the league. They are currently 2nd in the NBA in rebounds per game at 46.3. Defensively, they are 1st in defensive rebounds per game.

Key Players For The Mavericks And Celtics

The outlook for today’s matchup points to Luka Doncic as the primary point contributor for the Mavericks, finishing with 31 points while maintaining a 10/22 shooting accuracy. Throughout this season, his average stands at 33.9 points per game, along with 9.2 rebounds.

On the opposing side, we anticipate Jayson Tatum to be the top scorer for the Celtics. Our projection has him finishing the game with 29, and he is expected to secure 9 rebounds. Throughout the season, he has maintained a 47.1% field goal shooting rate and is averaging 26.9 points per game.

Mavericks vs Celtics Trends

  • When looking at their past ten road matchups, Dallas has an ATS record of 7-3 while averaging 106 per game. The team went 7-3 overall in these games.
  • Although Boston has a straight up record of 5-0 in their last five home games, they have not held up as well vs. the spread going 2-3. The team averaged 107 points per game in these games.
  • Looking back on the team’s last ten games as the underdog, the Mavericks have a straight up record of 7-3. Their record vs the spread in these games was 7-3.
  • Through their last five matchups as the betting favorite, the Celtics have a good straight up record, but their ATS mark is just 2-3.

Mavericks vs Celtics Prediction

Coming in as the underdogs at +7, we have the Mavericks as the way to go on the point spread. Not only do we have them covering, but our projections show they have a good one of winning this one straight-up, if you’re looking for a higher payout on the moneyline.

As for the total, the line is currently sitting at 214.5 and our model has the Mavericks and Celtics finishing with a combined 284 points. Our pick is to take the over.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.