Dallas Mavericks vs Denver Nuggets NBA Betting Prediction

NBA Dallas Mavericks vs Denver Nuggets Prediction 11/22/2024

The Dallas Mavericks (8-7) travel to face off against the Denver Nuggets (8-5) on Friday, November 22nd. This game will be played at Ball Arena in Denver and televised on ESPN. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. Tip-off is set for 10:00 ET.

Mavericks vs Nuggets

dallas mavericks nba

The Mavericks Are Coming Off A Win

The Mavericks improved to 8-7 on the season with a dominant 132-91 win over the Pelicans on Tuesday. Playing at home, Dallas was favored by 13 points and covered the spread with ease, winning by 41. The game’s total points of 223 narrowly went over the pre-game line of 222.

Dallas set the tone early with an 11-0 run, extending their lead from 11-6 to 22-6. After a quieter 2nd quarter, where they were outscored 22-19, the Mavericks clamped down defensively, holding New Orleans to 18 points in the 3rd quarter and 22 in the 4th, while scoring 34 and 35 points, respectively.

The Nuggets Are Coming Off A Win

The Nuggets improved to 8-5 this season with a 122-110 win over the Grizzlies on Tuesday. Denver, who entered the game as +6 point underdogs, not only won but covered the spread with the victory. The total points for the game reached 232, surpassing the pre-game O/U line of 224.

A key moment came when Denver went on an 11-0 run, turning a 65-57 deficit into a 68-65 lead. They built on this momentum, outscoring Memphis 24-21 in the 3rd quarter and entering the 4th with a 92-78 lead. Though Memphis won the final quarter 32-30, Denver had already done enough to secure the win.

Mavericks Offense Breakdown

The Mavericks shot 52.1% from the field and 45.2% from three-point range in their 132-91 win over the Pelicans, hitting 14 threes. Luka Doncic led the way with 26 points, including 10 in the 4th quarter, while Klay Thompson added 19 points, 10 of which came in the 1st quarter.

Kyrie Irving contributed 18 points, connecting on 4 threes at an 80% clip. Naji Marshall also made an impact, scoring 11 of his 15 points in the 4th quarter.

Nuggets Offense Breakdown

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Jamal Murray led the Nuggets to a 122-110 win over the Grizzlies, hitting 5 threes at 50% and finishing with 27 points and 6 assists. Michael Porter Jr. added 24 points and 11 rebounds, shooting 52.4% from the field.

Christian Braun contributed 19 points, shooting 58.3%, while the Nuggets hit 12 threes at 33.3% as a team. Murray scored 10 points in both the 2nd and 4th quarters, with Braun adding 6 in the final period.

Mavericks Team Defense

The Mavericks put on a defensive clinic against the Pelicans, holding them to just 91 points. After allowing 29 points in the 1st quarter, Dallas tightened up, giving up only 22 points in both the 2nd and 4th quarters and just 18 in the 3rd.

Dallas limited New Orleans to 39% shooting, including 34% from three, where the Pelicans hit 11 threes. The Mavericks also sent the Pelicans to the line 21 times, where they made 18 free throws. Defensively, Dallas recorded 12 steals and 7 blocks.

Nuggets Team Defense

The Mavericks put on a defensive clinic against the Pelicans, holding them to just 91 points on Tuesday. Dallas gave up 29 points in the 1st quarter but tightened up after that, allowing only 22 points in both the 2nd and 4th quarters, and just 18 in the 3rd.

Overall, the Mavericks held the Pelicans to 39% shooting, including 34% from three, with New Orleans making just 11 threes. Dallas also recorded 12 steals and 7 blocks in the game.

Mavericks vs Nuggets Trends

  • In their last ten games away from home, the Mavericks have a straight up record of 3-7 while going 3-5-2 vs the spread. The team’s offense averaged 109 points per game in these contests.
  • When looking at their past three home matchups, Denver has an ATS record of 1-2 while averaging 102 per game. The team went 1-2 overall in these games.
  • As the betting underdog, the Mavericks have an ATS mark of just 1-1-1 in their last three games. Dallas posted a straight up mark of 1-2 in these matchups.
  • In their last five games as the betting favorite, the Nuggets have a straight up record of 4-1, while going 2-2-1 against the spread.

Mavericks vs Nuggets Prediction

The Mavericks come in as the underdog at +3, making them our top choice on the point spread. We not only expect them to cover the spread but also believe they have a strong chance of winning the game outright, especially if you’re aiming for a higher moneyline payout.

Regarding the over/under, the current line is set at 227, and our model predicts the Mavericks and Nuggets to score a combined 214 points. We recommend betting on the under.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.