nuggets vs hawks nba prediction

NBA Denver Nuggets vs Atlanta Hawks Prediction 12/11/2023

The Denver Nuggets (14-9) travel to face off against the Atlanta Hawks (9-12) on Monday, December 11th. This game will be played at State Farm Arena in State Farm Arena and televised on BSSE. Both the Nuggets and Hawks will be looking to bounce back from losses in their previous games. Tip off is scheduled for 7:30 ET.

Nuggets vs Hawks

The Nuggets Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

In their most recent game, the Nuggets fell to the Rockets by a score of 114-106. In addition, to losing the game straight-up, the Nuggets lost vs. the spread as -9 point favorites. Considering the over/under, the total of 220 points fell short of the set over/under line of 221.

Heading into today’s matchup vs the Hawks, the Nuggets are 14-9 overall and are hoping to end their three-game losing streak. In the Western Conference, the Nuggets are currently in 4th place and are 3rd in the Northwest division.

Denver has an overall ATS record of 8-14 for the season so far. When playing on the road, the Nuggets hold an ATS record of 3-10 in contrast to a 5-4 record against the spread when playing at home.

The Hawks Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

In their most recent game, the Hawks fell to the 76ers by a score of 125-114. Alonside their straight-up loss, the Hawks failed to cover the spread as +9 point underdogs. The over/under line entering this matchup was 235 points, and both teams achieved a total score that exceeded that line.

In their quest for a win against the Nuggets, the Hawks are 9-12 overall this season. Within their 21 games, the Hawks are 6-11 against other teams from the Eastern Conference, while going 3-1 in non-conference games.

Atlanta arrives with an ATS record of 5-16 for the season up to this point. The Hawks have failed to cover the spread in two straight games as the favorite and are 3-7 vs. the spread as the underdog.

Nuggets Offense Breakdown

Denver has recorded an average of 113.6 points per game (14th) throughout 23 games games. Coming into today’s game, the Nuggets will be looking to improve their 3-point shooting numbers, as they are averaging just 11.5 made 3’s per game. If Denver continues to struggle with their outside shot, they may look to start playing with more pace, as they are currently 27th in the league in possessions per game.

Hawks Offense Breakdown

Heading into play, the Hawks’ offense is rated 2nd in the league in scoring, averaging 122.2 points per contest. When looking at the Hawks pace of play, they tend to play an up-tempo style of basketball. So far, the team is in the upper half of the NBA in possessions per game, averaging 101.9. While the team plays at an up-tempo speed, they could improve their efficiency in scoring since they currently rank 19th in the league for overall field goal percentage, which stands at 54%.

Nuggets Team Defense

Coming into the game, the Nuggets defense has held opposing team’s to fewer points than the league average in 30.4% of their games. Currently, they are 8th in the NBA at 110.6 points per game allowed.

Opponents are hitting 52.3% of their two-point field goal attempts this season, and they’re also connecting on 36.4% of their three-point attempts.

Hawks Team Defense

At this time, the Hawks’ defense is positioned 27th in the NBA, permitting 122.5 points per game.

In the terms of takeaways, Hawks are causing 13.7 turnovers per game, ranking 19th in the league. They also enter the matchup ranked 24th in rejections, averaging 4.4 blocked shots each game.

Key Players For The Nuggets And Hawks

The outlook for today’s matchup points to Nikola Jokic as the primary point contributor for the Nuggets, finishing with 19 points while maintaining a 7/14 shooting accuracy. During this season, he is delivering an average of 28.4 points per game, along with 13 rebounds.

On the opposing side, we anticipate Trae Young to be the top scorer for the Hawks. Our projection has him finishing the game with 19, and he is expected to secure 2 rebounds. Throughout the season, he has maintained a 41.2% field goal shooting rate and is averaging 27.2 points per game.

Nuggets vs Hawks Trends

  • In their last ten games away from home, the Nuggets have a straight up record of 3-7 while going 2-8 vs. the spread. The team averaged 108 points per game in this stretch.
  • Across the Hawks last five home games, the team averaged 116 points per game while allowing 126. Their record vs the spread in these contests was 0-5, while going 1-4 straight-up.
  • The last three games that Atlanta was the underdog, they have an ATS mark of 0-3 while going 0-3 straight up.
  • Looking back on the team’s last ten games as the favorite, the Nuggets have a straight up record of 5-5. Their record vs the spread in these games was 2-7-1.

Nuggets vs Hawks Prediction

The Hawks come in as the underdog at +2.5, making them our top choice on the point spread. We not only expect them to cover the spread but also believe they have a strong chance of winning the game outright, especially if you’re aiming for a higher moneyline payout.

As for the over/under, the the line is currently at 240, and our model projects the Nuggets and Hawks to reach a combined total of 222 points. Our bet is on taking the under.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.