Denver Nuggets vs Dallas Mavericks NBA Betting Prediction

NBA Denver Nuggets vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction 1/12/2025

The Denver Nuggets (22-15) travel to face off against the Dallas Mavericks (22-16) on Sunday, January 12th. This game will be played at American Airlines Center in Dallas and televised on KFAA. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. Tip-off is set for 3:00 ET.

Nuggets vs Mavericks

denver nuggets nba

The Nuggets Are Coming Off A Win

Denver improved to 22-15 on the season with a 124-105 win over the Nets on Friday. The Nuggets, favored by 14.5 points, covered the spread, and the total score of 229 points went over the 224.5-point line.

After trailing 36-32 in the 1st quarter, Denver took control with an 11-0 run, moving the score from 48-46 to 57-48. They outscored Brooklyn 33-23 in the 2nd quarter and 29-20 in the 3rd, entering the 4th with a 94-79 lead and finishing strong by outscoring the Nets 30-26 in the final period.

The Mavericks Are Coming Off A Win

The Mavericks improved to 22-16 this season with a 117-111 win over the Trail Blazers on Thursday. Dallas was favored by 7.5 points at home but didn’t cover the spread. The game’s total score of 228 points went over the pre-game line of 220.5.

Dallas trailed 89-81 going into the 4th quarter but turned things around by outscoring Portland 36-22 in the final period. A key moment came when they went on a 16-0 run, taking the score from 101-109 to 117-109.

Nuggets Offense Breakdown

Nikola Jokic’s triple-double of 35 points, 15 assists, and 12 rebounds on 66.7% shooting led the Nuggets to a win over the Nets, as they shot 51.7% from the field. Jokic added 14 points in the 1st quarter and 9 more in the 4th.

Russell Westbrook contributed 25 points, 11 rebounds, and 10 assists, while Michael Porter Jr. added 17 points, with 11 coming in the 3rd quarter. Denver hit 9 threes at 37.5% efficiency.

Mavericks Offense Breakdown

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Jaden Hardy’s 25 points and 5 made threes at 55.6% shooting led the Mavericks to a win over the Trail Blazers, despite the team hitting just 10 threes at 33.3% overall. P.J. Washington added 23 points and 14 rebounds, while Dereck Lively contributed 21 points and 16 boards, shooting 69.2% from the field.

Hardy scored 14 of his points in the 2nd quarter, while Lively dominated the 4th with 13 points. The Mavericks shot 45.5% from the field in the game.

Nuggets Team Defense

After a rough start, the Nuggets tightened up defensively, allowing just 23 points in the 2nd quarter and 20 in the 3rd, helping them secure a win over the Nets. Denver held Brooklyn to 42% shooting from the field.

The Nuggets limited the Nets to 14 threes on 31% shooting from beyond the arc. Denver sent Brooklyn to the line 19 times, where they made 15 free throws. The Nuggets also recorded 12 steals and 5 blocks.

Mavericks Team Defense

After a rough start, the Nuggets tightened up defensively, allowing just 69 points over the final three quarters in their win over the Nets. Denver gave up 36 points in the 1st quarter but bounced back, holding Brooklyn to 23 points in the 2nd and 20 in the 3rd.

The Nuggets held the Nets to 42% shooting, including 31% from three-point range, where Brooklyn made 14 threes. Denver also sent the Nets to the line 19 times, where they made 15 free throws. The Nuggets finished with 12 steals and 5 blocks.

Nuggets vs Mavericks Trends

  • In their last ten games away from home, the Nuggets have a straight up record of 5-5 while going 4-6 vs the spread. The team’s offense averaged 123 points per game in these contests.
  • When looking at their past three home matchups, Dallas has an ATS record of 0-3 while averaging 101 per game. The team went 0-3 overall in these games.
  • Spanning across their last five games as the betting underdog, the Mavericks have gone 1-4 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 1-4.
  • In their last ten games as the betting favorite, the Nuggets have a straight up record of 7-3 and an ATS mark of 6-4.

Nuggets vs Mavericks Prediction

For today’s matchup we are recommending to take the Nuggets to secure the win, with an expected final score of 129-88. When it comes to the spread, we believe they’ll cover at -5.

As for the over/under, the the line is currently at 229, and our model projects the Nuggets and Mavericks to reach a combined total of 217 points. Our bet is on taking the under.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.