Denver Nuggets vs Detroit Pistons NBA Betting Prediction

NBA Denver Nuggets vs Detroit Pistons Prediction 2/28/2025

The Denver Nuggets (38-21) travel to face off against the Detroit Pistons (33-26) on Friday, February 28th. This game will be played at Little Caesars Arena in Detroit and televised on FDSD. The Pistons are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Nuggets are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Nuggets. Tip-off is set for 7:00 ET.

Nuggets vs Pistons

denver nuggets nba

The Nuggets Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

The Nuggets fell to 38-21 on the season after a 121-112 road loss to the Bucks on Thursday. Denver, favored by 3.5 points, not only lost but also failed to cover the spread. The total points for the game were 233, which was 8.5 points below the pre-game line of 241.5.

Denver led 57-54 at halftime but couldn’t hold on, as the Bucks outscored them 30-24 in the 3rd quarter. Heading into the 4th quarter down 84-81, the Nuggets were outscored 37-31 in the final period.

The Pistons Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

Detroit improved to 33-26 on the season with a 117-97 win over the Celtics on Wednesday. The Pistons, who were +4.5 point underdogs, not only won but covered the spread. The game’s total points of 214 fell short of the 225 O/U line.

A key moment came when Detroit went on a 15-0 run, turning a 20-19 deficit into a 34-20 lead. Boston fought back in the 2nd quarter, outscoring Detroit 35-26, but the Pistons responded by winning the 3rd quarter 35-24 and held Boston to just 18 points in the 4th.

Nuggets Offense Breakdown

Nikola Jokić led the Nuggets with 32 points, 14 rebounds, and 10 assists in their 121-112 loss to the Bucks, shooting 81.2% from the field. Jamal Murray added 20 points, while Christian Braun contributed 13 points and 10 rebounds.

Denver struggled from beyond the arc, hitting just 9 threes at a 26.5% rate, and shot 44.8% overall. Jokić scored 16 points in the 1st quarter, while Murray added 9 in the 4th.

Pistons Offense Breakdown

detroit pistons

Malik Beasley knocked down 6 threes at a 54.5% clip, finishing with 26 points and 5 rebounds in the Pistons’ win over the Celtics. Cade Cunningham contributed 21 points and 11 assists, while Tobias Harris added 16 points and 9 rebounds, shooting 60% from the field.

Detroit hit 13 threes, shooting 39.4% from beyond the arc and 52.8% overall. Beasley scored 8 points in both the 1st and 4th quarters, while Cunningham added 8 in the opening period.

Nuggets Team Defense

Defensively, the Nuggets had a solid 2nd quarter, holding the Bucks to 24 points, but they struggled in the 4th, giving up 37 points in the 121-112 loss. Overall, Denver allowed Milwaukee to shoot 46% from the field.

The Nuggets gave up 14 threes on 41% shooting from deep and sent the Bucks to the line 28 times, where they hit 23 free throws. Denver finished with 41 defensive rebounds, allowed 7 offensive boards, and recorded 8 steals.

Pistons Team Defense

Despite a strong defensive effort in the 2nd quarter, the Nuggets couldn’t hold off the Bucks, giving up 37 points in the 4th and 121 overall. Milwaukee shot 46% from the field.

Denver struggled to defend the three, with the Bucks hitting 14 threes at a 41% clip. The Nuggets sent Milwaukee to the line 28 times, where they made 23 free throws. Denver finished with 41 defensive rebounds, 8 steals, and 2 blocks.

Nuggets vs Pistons Trends

  • Although Denver has a straight up record of 6-4 in their last ten road games, they have not held up as well vs the spread going 4-6. The team averaged 118 points per game in these games.
  • When looking at their past three matchups at home, Detroit has an ATS record of 3-0 while averaging 133 per game. The team went 3-0 overall in these games.
  • Looking back on the team’s last three games as the underdog, the Nuggets have a straight up record of 1-2. Their record vs the spread in these games was 1-2.
  • Detroit has done well both straight up and vs the spread when favored to win the game, going 3-0 SU and 3-0 ATS in their last three games.

Nuggets vs Pistons Prediction

We’re calling a win for the Pistons, with a final score of 129-122, and we’re taking them to cover the spread. Our recommendation is to bet on the Pistons at -1.5.

Regarding the over/under, the current line is set at 236.5, and our model predicts the Nuggets and Pistons to score a combined 251 points. We recommend betting on the over.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.