Denver Nuggets vs Memphis Grizzlies NBA Betting Prediction

NBA Denver Nuggets vs Memphis Grizzlies Prediction 4/14/2024

The Denver Nuggets (56-25) travel to face off against the Memphis Grizzlies (27-54) on Sunday, April 14th. This game will be played at FedExForum in Memphis and televised on BSSE. Both the Nuggets and Grizzlies will be looking to bounce back from losses in their previous games. Tip off is scheduled for 3:30 ET.

Nuggets vs Grizzlies

denver nuggets nba

The Nuggets Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

In their most recent game, the Nuggets tell to the Spurs by a score of 121-120. Besides losing the game outright, the Nuggets also fell short against the spread, failing to cover as -11.5 point favorites. The over/under line entering this matchup was 223.5 points, and both teams achieved a total score that exceeded that line.

When it comes to their overall record of 56-25, the Nuggets are above .500 as they prepare to face the Grizzlies. In road games, the Nuggets are 23-17 compared to their 33-8 record at home.

Denver’s ATS record is currently below .500 at 37-42 for the season. Denver has covered the spread in two straight home games and are 21-19 ATS at home compared to 16-23 on the road.

The Grizzlies Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

GG Jackson II scored 31 for Memphis against the Lakers which was the most on the team. His field goal percentage for the game was 45.3%. While Scotty Pippen Jr. was 2nd on the team with 28 points, Memphis fell short in the game with a final score of 123-120.

Coming in with a 27-54 overall record, the Grizzlies are considered heavy underdogs (+13) against the Nuggets. While they are 9-31 at home, the Grizzlies are 18-23 on the road this season.

Memphis’ ATS record is currently below .500 at 40-41 for the season. This season, Memphis has a 6-11 record against the spread when they are favored, and they are 34-30 when playing as underdogs.

Nuggets Offense Breakdown

The Nuggets come into today’s game as the 14th ranked scoring offense at 114.7 points per game.

The Nuggets’ offense has been one of the most efficient in the league this season, ranking 4th in field goal percentage and 11th in true shooting percentage. However, they are just 14th in scoring at 114.7 points per game.

When playing on the road, Denver’s scoring dips to 110.8 points per game, which is 21st in the NBA. Overall, they have outscored the league average in 48.1% of their games this season.

Despite being 28th in pace, the Nuggets lead the NBA in two-point field goal attempts and are 8th in two-point field goal percentage at 56%. From beyond the arc, Denver is 10th in three-point shooting at 37% but ranks last in three-point attempts.

Grizzlies Offense Breakdown

memphis grizzlies

The Grizzlies come into today’s game as the 30th ranked scoring offense at 105.8 points per game.

When it comes to scoring, the Grizzlies are 30th in the NBA at 105.8 points per game. At home, they are averaging 103.8 points per game.

So far this season, Memphis has been below the NBA scoring average in 79% of their games. They are also 30th in field goal percentage at 43%.

When it comes to three-point shooting, the Grizzlies are 6th in the NBA in attempts but are just 30th in three-point shooting percentage at 34%.

Nuggets Team Defense

The Nuggets’ defense is presently ranked 6th in the league, allowing an average of 109.6 points per contest. For the season, Denver is ranked 22nd in fewest fouls per game. Team’s are averaging 22.2 free-throws per game vs. the Nuggets and have an overall field goal percentage of 46.3%.

Grizzlies Team Defense

At this time, the Grizzlies’ defense is positioned 11th in the NBA, permitting 112.7 points per game. In their previous matchup vs. the Lakers, the Grizzlies’ defense struggled, giving up a field goal percentage of 51% leading to 123 points.

Key Players For The Nuggets And Grizzlies

The outlook for today’s matchup points to Nikola Jokic as the primary point contributor for the Nuggets, finishing with 27 points while maintaining a 11/18 shooting accuracy. This season, he is averaging 26.5 points per game along with 12.3 boards.

As for Memphis, GG Jackson II is projected to be the primary scorer for the Grizzlies. Our forecast has him finishing the game with 13, and adding 4 rebounds. Throughout the season, he has maintained a 42.5% field goal shooting rate and is averaging 13.9 points per game.

Nuggets vs Grizzlies Trends

  • When looking at their past three road matchups, Denver has an ATS record of 1-2 while averaging 110 per game. The team went 1-2 overall in these games.
  • The Grizzlies are 3-0 ATS in their last three home games and 2-1 straight-up.
  • Going back to their previous five games as the underdog, Memphis has an ATS mark of 3-2 while going 1-4 straight up.
  • As the betting favorite, the Nuggets have an ATS mark of just 5-5 in their last ten games. Denver posted a straight up mark of 6-4 in these matchups.

Nuggets vs Grizzlies Prediction

For a point-spread wager in this Nuggets vs. Grizzlies game, we suggest taking the Grizzlies at +13. Even though our predictions have the Nuggets winning 111-105, we see the Grizzlies as the better choice on the point-spread.

As for the over/under, the the line is currently at 219.5, and our model projects the Nuggets and Grizzlies to reach a combined total of 216 points. Our bet is on taking the under.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.