The Denver Nuggets (36-17) travel to face off against the Milwaukee Bucks (34-19) on Monday, February 12th. This game will be played at Fiserv Forum in Milwaukee and televised on BSW. The Bucks are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Nuggets are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Hornets. Tip-off is set for 8:00 ET.
Nuggets vs Bucks
The Nuggets Look To Bounce Back From A Loss
The Nuggets were defeated by the Kings in the most recent game, concluding with a score of 135-106. Turning the tide, the Nuggets picked up the win, overcoming a halftime deficit of 67-57.
In their last five games, the Nuggets are 3-2 and have an overall record of 36-17. When playing against other Western Conference teams, the Nuggets are 20-12 and are 16-5 in non-conference play.
Denver’s ATS record is currently below .500 at 22-29 for the season. Denver has failed to cover the spread in two straight home games and are 12-12 ATS at home compared to 10-17 on the road.
The Bucks Are Coming Off A Win
Damian Lillard led Milwaukee with 26 points against the Hornets, the highest on the team. He finished with a field goal percentage of 43.6% in the game. As the Bucks secured the victory with a final score of 120-84, Malik Beasley also chipped in with 21 points.
Coming into today’s matchup with the Nuggets, the Bucks are looking to build on their above .500 record of 34-19. In the Eastern Conference, they are 3rd and are also 2nd in the Central division.
Milwaukee arrives with an ATS record of 20-33 for the season up to this point. On the road, the Bucks have an ATS record of 9-16, as opposed to a 11-17 record against the spread when playing at home.
Nuggets Offense Breakdown
Through 53 games the Nuggets are averaging 114.6 points per contest, placing them 18th in the NBA.
When it comes to scoring, the Nuggets are 18th in the NBA at 114.6 points per game. However, they have been better offensively at home, where they average 119.5 points compared to 110.2 on the road.
Denver is one of the top shooting teams in the league, ranking 6th in field goal percentage at 49%. They are also one of the best at getting to the rim, as they are 2nd in two-point field goals made.
Despite being a good shooting team, the Nuggets are just 26th in free throw attempts and 29th in free throws made. In terms of three-point shooting, Denver is 13th in percentage but just 26th in made threes.
Bucks Offense Breakdown
The Bucks step onto the court for today’s game as one of the NBA’s top-scoring squads, putting up 122.9 points per game (2nd).
When playing at home, the Bucks are one of the best scoring teams in the league, averaging 124.7 points per game (2nd). Overall, they are 2nd in scoring at 122.9 points per game. In terms of field goal percentage, Milwaukee is 5th in the NBA at 49%. They are also one of the top teams in free throw attempts (2nd).
So far this season, the Bucks have outscored the NBA average in 73.6% of their games. In terms of pace, Milwaukee is 4th in the league at 101.5 possessions per game. When it comes to two-point shooting, they are 2nd in the NBA at 58%.
When it comes to three-point shooting, the Bucks are 8th in the league at 37%. On average, they make 14.2 threes per game (5th). In terms of offensive rebounds, Milwaukee is 26th in the NBA. Finally, the Bucks are 14th in assists at 26.8 per game.
Nuggets Team Defense
So far, the Nuggets’ defense is ranked 6th in the league at 111.0 points per contest. When it comes to defending inside the arc, the Nuggets squad is permitting opposing teams to shoot at a clip of 53.0% inside the arc, and they’re also giving up 36.2% from downtown.
Bucks Team Defense
Currently, the Bucks’ defense holds the 23rd rank in the NBA, allowing 119.3 points per game. In terms of two point field goal attempts, the Bucks defense has allowed a shooting percentage of 54.7% while allowing 34.7% from downtown.
Key Players For The Nuggets And Bucks
In today’s game, we anticipate Nikola Jokic leading the scoring for the Nuggets, contributing 26 points while shooting 10/17 from the field. During this season, he is delivering an average of 26.2 points per game, along with 12.2 rebounds.
On the flip side, our predictions place Giannis Antetokounmpo as the leading scorer for the Bucks. We expect him to conclude the game with a team-high 31 while also collecting 12 rebounds. This season, he has put together a field goal percentage of 60.9%, and he is contributing 30.7 points per game on average.
Nuggets vs Bucks Trends
- When looking at their past three road matchups, Denver has an ATS record of 2-1 while averaging 106 per game. The team went 1-2 overall in these games.
- Although Milwaukee has a straight up record of 4-6 in their last ten home games, they have not held up as well vs the spread going 1-9. The team averaged 115 points per game in these games.
- Spanning across their last five games as the betting underdog, the Bucks have gone 0-5 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 0-5.
- Through their last three matchups as the betting favorite, the Nuggets have a good straight up record, but their ATS mark is just 1-2.
The Bucks come in as the underdog at +1.5, making them our top choice on the point spread. We not only expect them to cover the spread but also believe they have a strong chance of winning the game outright, especially if you’re aiming for a higher moneyline payout.
Regarding the over/under, the current line is set at 232.5, and our model predicts the Nuggets and Bucks to score a combined 248 points. We recommend betting on the over.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.