Denver Nuggets vs Milwaukee Bucks NBA Betting Prediction

NBA Denver Nuggets vs Milwaukee Bucks Prediction 2/27/2025

The Denver Nuggets (38-20) travel to face off against the Milwaukee Bucks (32-25) on Thursday, February 27th. This game will be played at Fiserv Forum in Milwaukee and televised on TNT. The Nuggets are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Bucks are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Bucks. Tip-off is set for 8:00 ET.

Nuggets vs Bucks

denver nuggets nba

The Nuggets Are Coming Off A Win

Denver improved to 38-20 on the season with a 125-116 road win over the Pacers on Monday. The Nuggets, who were favored by 3.5 points, covered the spread with the victory. The game’s total of 241 points fell short of the 246.5-point over/under line.

Denver jumped out to an early lead, taking a 36-28 advantage after the 1st quarter. Although the Pacers edged them 30-28 in the 2nd quarter, the Nuggets responded by outscoring Indiana 36-25 in the 3rd. Heading into the 4th quarter with a 100-83 lead, Denver held off a late Pacers rally, who won the final quarter 33-25.

The Bucks Are Coming Off A Win

The Bucks dropped to 32-25 on the season after a 100-97 road loss to the Rockets on Tuesday. Milwaukee entered the game as +2.5 point underdogs and failed to cover the spread. The total score of 197 points fell well short of the 228-point over/under line.

Milwaukee went on a 10-0 run early, extending their lead from 30-24 to 40-24. However, after outscoring Houston 34-27 in the 2nd quarter, the Bucks were held to just 12 points in the 4th, as the Rockets edged them 15-12 in the final period.

Nuggets Offense Breakdown

The Nuggets shot 56.4% from the field in their win over the Pacers, with Aaron Gordon leading the way, scoring 25 points and adding 12 in the first quarter. Nikola Jokić contributed 18 points and 19 assists, with 10 of his points coming in the 3rd quarter.

Denver made just 8 threes, shooting 38.1% from beyond the arc. Christian Braun added 10 of his 17 points in the 4th quarter, while Michael Porter Jr. finished with 19 points and 11 rebounds.

Bucks Offense Breakdown

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The Bucks struggled offensively in their loss to the Rockets, shooting just 40% from the field and hitting 12 threes at a 32.4% clip. Giannis Antetokounmpo led the way with 27 points, 10 rebounds, and 6 assists, shooting 52.9% from the floor.

Damian Lillard added 22 points, making 4 threes at 36.4%, despite shooting 31.8% overall. Brook Lopez and AJ Green each contributed 12 points, with Green scoring 6 of his points in the 3rd quarter.

Nuggets Team Defense

Defensively, the Nuggets gave up 116 points to the Pacers but still came away with the win. Denver allowed 28 points in the 1st quarter and 30 in the 2nd, but tightened up in the 3rd, giving up just 25 points. The 4th quarter saw the Pacers score 33 points. Overall, Indiana shot 47% from the field.

From beyond the arc, the Nuggets held the Pacers to 32% shooting, with Indiana making 14 threes. Denver also sent the Pacers to the line 27 times, where they hit 22 free throws. The Nuggets finished with 32 defensive rebounds, gave up 8 offensive boards, and recorded 8 steals and 4 blocks.

Bucks Team Defense

Defensively, the Nuggets gave up 116 points to the Pacers but managed to hold them to 25 points in the 3rd quarter, helping them secure the win. Denver allowed Indiana to shoot 47% from the field.

From beyond the arc, the Nuggets limited the Pacers to 14 made threes on 32% shooting. Denver also recorded 32 defensive rebounds, gave up 8 offensive boards, and finished with 8 steals and 4 blocks.

Nuggets vs Bucks Trends

  • Across the Nuggets last five road games, the team averaged 120 points per game while allowing 116. Their record vs the spread in these contests was 2-3, while going 4-1 straight-up.
  • In their last three home games, the Bucks have a straight up record of 2-1 while going 1-2 vs the spread. The team’s offense averaged 101 points per game in these contests.
  • Milwaukee has done well both straight up and vs the spread when favored to win the game, going 2-1 SU and 2-1 ATS in their last three games.
  • The last ten games that Denver was favored, they have an ATS mark of 7-3 while going 9-1 straight up.

Nuggets vs Bucks Prediction

The Bucks come in as the underdog at +3, making them our top choice on the point spread. We not only expect them to cover the spread but also believe they have a strong chance of winning the game outright, especially if you’re aiming for a higher moneyline payout.

Regarding the over/under, the current line is set at 240, and our model predicts the Nuggets and Bucks to score a combined 251 points. We recommend betting on the over.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.