Denver Nuggets vs San Antonio Spurs NBA Betting Prediction

NBA Denver Nuggets vs San Antonio Spurs Prediction 1/4/2025

The Denver Nuggets (19-14) travel to face off against the San Antonio Spurs (18-16) on Saturday, January 4th. This game will be played at Frost Bank Center in San Antonio and televised on ALT2. The Spurs are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Nuggets are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Nuggets. Tip-off is set for 8:00 ET.

Nuggets vs Spurs

denver nuggets nba

The Nuggets Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

The Nuggets fell to 19-14 on the season after a 113-110 home loss to the Spurs on Friday. Denver, favored by six points, not only lost but also failed to cover the spread. The game’s total points of 223 fell short of the 238.5-point over/under line.

Denver went on a 10-0 run to take the lead, turning the score from 64-60 to 70-64. They outscored the Spurs 38-27 in the third quarter, but after leading 90-87 heading into the fourth, they were outscored 26-20 in the final period.

The Spurs Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

The Spurs improved to 18-16 this season after a 113-110 road win over the Nuggets on Friday. San Antonio entered the game as +6 point underdogs and covered the spread with the victory. The total points for the game were 223, falling short of the 238.5 O/U line.

San Antonio took control in the 2nd quarter, outscoring Denver 28-22, but the Nuggets responded with a 10-0 run in the 3rd quarter. The Spurs entered the 4th quarter down 90-87 but held Denver to 20 points in the final period while scoring 26 to secure the win.

Nuggets Offense Breakdown

Nikola Jokić put up 41 points, 18 rebounds, and 9 assists in the Nuggets’ 113-110 loss to the Spurs, shooting 41.7% from the field and hitting 3 threes at 30%. Michael Porter Jr. added 22 points, knocking down 4 threes at 50% efficiency. Jamal Murray contributed 14 points, shooting 35.3% and making 2 threes at 40%.

Jokić scored 18 of his points in the 3rd quarter, while Christian Braun and Julian Strawther each added 6 points in the 4th. The Nuggets made 15 threes, shooting 38.5% from deep, and finished with an overall field goal percentage of 43.3%.

Spurs Offense Breakdown

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Victor Wembanyama’s 35 points and 18 rebounds powered the Spurs to a win over the Nuggets, shooting 63.6% from the field and hitting 4 threes at a 66.7% rate. The Spurs hit 13 threes as a team, shooting 36.1% from deep and 46.5% overall.

Wembanyama scored 13 points in the 2nd quarter and added 8 more in the 4th. Keldon Johnson also had a big 2nd quarter with 13 of his 16 points, while Devin Vassell scored 10 of his 18 points in the 3rd.

Nuggets Team Defense

Defensively, the Nuggets tightened up as the game went on, allowing 32 points in the 1st quarter but improving each period, giving up just 26 points in the 4th. Overall, they allowed 113 points on 46% shooting from the field.

Denver limited the Spurs to 13 made threes on 36% shooting from deep and sent them to the line just 13 times, where they made 8 free throws. The Nuggets also recorded 7 steals and 7 blocks in the game.

Spurs Team Defense

The Nuggets tightened up their defense as the game went on, allowing 32 points in the 1st quarter but improving each period, giving up just 26 in the 4th. Overall, they allowed 113 points on 46% shooting from the Spurs.

From beyond the arc, Denver allowed 13 threes on 36% shooting. They sent San Antonio to the line 13 times, where the Spurs made 8 free throws. The Nuggets finished with 7 steals and 7 blocks.

Nuggets vs Spurs Trends

  • When looking at their past ten road matchups, Denver has an ATS record of 4-6 while averaging 123 per game. The team went 5-5 overall in these games.
  • Across the Spurs last ten home games, the team averaged 109 points per game while allowing 110. Their record vs the spread in these contests was 7-3, while going 5-5 straight-up.
  • Through their last five games as the betting underdog, the Spurs have a strong record vs the spread going 4-1. Their straight up mark in these contests is 1-4.
  • Going back to their previous ten games as the favorite, Denver has an ATS mark of 5-5 while going 6-4 straight up.

Nuggets vs Spurs Prediction

Coming in as the underdogs at +2.5, we have the Spurs as the way to go on the point spread. Not only do we have them covering, but our projections show they have a good one of winning this one straight-up, if you’re looking for a higher payout on the moneyline.

Right now, the over/under line for the game is sitting at 237.5 and given that our model is projecting 247 points between the teams, we like the over.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.