Denver Nuggets vs San Antonio Spurs NBA Betting Prediction

NBA Denver Nuggets vs San Antonio Spurs Prediction 3/15/2024

The Denver Nuggets (46-20) travel to face off against the San Antonio Spurs (14-52) on Friday, March 15th. This game will be played at Moody Center in Austin and televised on KENS. The Nuggets are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Spurs are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Heat. Tip-off is set for 8:30 ET.

Nuggets vs Spurs

denver nuggets nba

The Nuggets Are Coming Off A Win

Michael Porter Jr. led Denver with 25 points against the Heat, the highest on the team. He finished with a field goal percentage of 48.8% in the game. Aaron Gordon also added 16 points as the Nuggets won the game by a score of 100-88.

With an overall record of 46-20, the Nuggets are looking to extend their four-game winning streak. Currently, they are in 2nd place in the Western Conference and are also 2nd in the Northwest division.

Denver has an overall ATS record of 30-34 for the season so far. When playing on the road, the Nuggets hold an ATS record of 14-18 in contrast to a 16-16 record against the spread when playing at home.

The Spurs Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

In the Spurs’ most recent game against the Rockets, Tre Jones led the Spurs with 24 points while going 9/15 from the field. Jeremy Sochan finished 2nd on the team with 21 points, but San Antonio ended the game with a 103-101 loss.

Over their last ten games, the Spurs have gone 3-7 and come into today’s game against the Nuggets with an overall record of 14-52. Right now, they are in 15th place in the Western Conference and are 5th in the Southwest Division.

San Antonio possesses a .500 ATS record for the season, sitting at 33-33 ATS. During this season, San Antonio has a 4-1 record against the spread as favorites and 29-32 as underdogs.

Nuggets Offense Breakdown

Denver has recorded an average of 114.8 points per game (15th) throughout 66 games games.

When it comes to scoring, the Nuggets have been below the NBA average in 51.5% of their games this season. In terms of points per game, Denver is 15th in the league at 114.8. However, their scoring numbers are slightly lower on the road, where they average 110.6 PPG compared to 118.9 at home.

Despite being one of the top teams in field goal percentage (4th), the Nuggets are just 28th in three-point attempts and 28th in free throw attempts. In terms of pace, Denver is 28th in the NBA at 96.2 possessions per game.

Overall, the Nuggets have been one of the top teams in terms of assists (4th). When it comes to offensive rebounds, Denver is 13th in the league.

Spurs Offense Breakdown

san antonio spurs

In 66 games games, San Antonio has an average of 112.3 points per game (22nd).

At home, the Spurs are averaging 114.3 points per game (18th) compared to their overall average of 112.3 points per game (22nd). In terms of pace, San Antonio is 3rd in the league with 101 possessions per game.

When it comes to three-point shooting, the Spurs are 15th in made threes at 12.6 per game. However, their three-point shooting percentage is just 35% (27th).

Overall, San Antonio is 24th in field goal percentage at 46%. In terms of two-point shooting, they are 19th in percentage (53%).

Nuggets Team Defense

At this time, the Nuggets’ defense is positioned 7th in the NBA, permitting 110.3 points per game. When it comes to defending inside the arc, the Nuggets squad is permitting opposing teams to shoot at a clip of 52.5% inside the arc, and they’re also giving up 35.9% from downtown.

Spurs Team Defense

Currently, the Spurs’ defense holds the 25th rank in the NBA, allowing 119.9 points per game. San Antonio’s defense is currently forcing 14.3 turnovers per game, which is 27th in the league. Additionally, they enter the game ranked 3rd in blocked shots, with an average of 6.3 rejections per game.

Key Players For The Nuggets And Spurs

Our game forecasts for today suggest that Nikola Jokic is set to be the main scorer for the Nuggets, recording 26 points and shooting 10/17 from the field. For the season, he has been averaging 26 points per game, in addition to 12.3 rebounds.

On the opposing side, we anticipate Devin Vassell to be the top scorer for the Spurs. Our projection has him finishing the game with 20, and he is expected to secure 4 rebounds. This season, he has put together a field goal percentage of 46.9%, and he is contributing 19.2 points per game on average.

Nuggets vs Spurs Trends

  • The Nuggets are 4-1 ATS in their last road games and 4-1 straight-up.
  • Across their last five home contests, San Antonio has a 3-2 record vs the spread. Their overall mark in these games was 1-4, while averaging 114 points per game.
  • In their last three games as the betting underdog, the Spurs have a straight up record of 1-2 and an ATS mark of 2-1.
  • Denver has done well both straight up and vs the spread when favored to win the game, going 4-1 SU and 4-1 ATS in their last five games.

Nuggets vs Spurs Prediction

When looking to get a point-spread pick down in this Nuggets vs. Spurs game, our recommendation is to take the Spurs at +9.5. Despite our model showing the Nuggets winning 112-104, we like Spurs as our point-spread pick.

As for the total, the line is currently sitting at 221.5 and our model has the Nuggets and Spurs finishing with a combined 216 points. Our pick is to take the under.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.