Denver Nuggets vs Golden State Warriors NBA Betting prediction

NBA Denver vs Golden State Warriors Prediction 1/4/2024

The Denver Nuggets (24-11) travel to face off against the Golden State Warriors (16-17) on Thursday, January 4th. This game will be played at Chase Center. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. Tip-off is set for 10:00 ET.

Nuggets vs Warriors

The Nuggets Are Coming Off A Win

In their last game, the Nuggets defeated the Hornets with a final score of 111-93. The Nuggets not only secured a straight-up victory in this game but also covered the spread as -17-point favorites. Considering the over/under, the total of 204 points fell short of the set over/under line of 225.

In their last ten games, the Nuggets are 8-2 and have an overall record of 24-11 as they prepare to face the Warriors. Against Western Conference opponents, the Nuggets are 15-9 and have gone 9-2 against non-conference teams.

Denver has an overall ATS record of 16-18 as they come into today’s game. As the favorite this season, Denver is 15-16 vs. the spread while going 1-2 as the underdog.

The Warriors Are Coming Off A Win

In their latest game against the Magic, Stephen Curry was the top scorer for the Warriors’ offense, scoring 36 points and shooting 12/20 from the field. As the Warriors secured the victory with a final score of 121-115, Jonathan Kuminga also chipped in with 19 points.

If the Warriors beat the Nuggets, they will move back to .500 overall this season, as they are 16-17 overall. At home, the Warriors are 10-8 compared to their 6-9 record on the road.

Golden State has an overall ATS record of 15-17 for the season so far. On the road, the Warriors have an ATS record of 9-6, as opposed to a 6-11 record against the spread when playing at home.

Nuggets Offense Breakdown

This season, the Denver offense is ranked 15th in the NBA in scoring at 115.1 points per game. Coming into today’s game, the Nuggets will be looking to improve their 3-point shooting numbers, as they are averaging just 12.1 made 3’s per game. If Denver continues to struggle with their outside shot, they may look to start playing with more pace, as they are currently 29th in the league in possessions per game.

Warriors Offense Breakdown

Heading into play, the Warriors’ offense is rated 10th in the league in scoring, averaging 116.9 points per contest. The Warriors come into the game as one of the league’s better 3-point shooting teams, connecting at a rate of 14.8 made 3’s per game. If the Golden State offense is going to continue to produce at a high level, they will need to do a better job taking care of the ball as they are turning the ball over at an above-average rate.

Nuggets Team Defense

Coming into today’s game, the Nuggets’ defense is giving up an average of 109.8 points per contest. Most recently, the Nuggets’ defense put together a solid performance, giving up just 93 points to the Hornets.

Warriors Team Defense

At present, the Warriors’ defense is ranked 20th, allowing 116.3 points per game. The Golden State defense has allowed opponents to shoot 35.3% from beyond the arc this season. Opposing teams are also hitting 46.6% of their field goal attempts vs. Golden State.

Key Players For The Nuggets And Warriors

In today’s game, we anticipate Nikola Jokic leading the scoring for the Nuggets, contributing 25 points while shooting 10/17 from the field. Throughout this season, his average stands at 25.7 points per game, along with 12.3 rebounds.

As for Golden State, Stephen Curry is projected to be the primary scorer for the Warriors. Our forecast has him finishing the game with 27, and adding 5 rebounds. This season, he has put together a field goal percentage of 45.8%, and he is contributing 27.6 points per game on average.

Nuggets vs Warriors Trends

  • Through their last ten road games, Denver has an ATS record of just 6-4. However, their overall record was 7-3 while averaging 111 points per game.
  • When looking at their past ten home matchups, Golden State has an ATS record of 6-4 while averaging 117 per game. The team went 2-8 overall in these games.
  • Spanning across their last three games as the betting underdog, the Warriors have gone 2-1 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 1-2.
  • In their last five games as the betting favorite, the Nuggets have a straight up record of 4-1, while going 2-3 against the spread.


Nuggets vs Warriors Prediction


For a pick on the point-spread in this Nuggets vs. Warriors matchup, our bet is to grab the Warriors at +2.5. Even though our projections have the Nuggets winning 110-109, we see the Warriors as the play on the point-spread.

As for the total, the line is currently sitting at 234.5 and our model has the Nuggets and Warriors finishing with a combined 219 points. Our pick is to take the under.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.