Detroit Pistons vs Miami Heat NBA Betting Prediction

NBA Detroit Pistons vs Miami Heat Prediction 10/28/2024

The Detroit Pistons (0-3) travel to face off against the Miami Heat (1-1) on Monday, October 28th. This game will be played at Kaseya Center in Miami and televised on FDSS. The Heat are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Pistons are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Pistons. Tip-off is set for 7:30 ET.

Pistons vs Heat

detroit pistons nba

The Pistons Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

The Pistons dropped to 0-3 on the season after a 124-118 loss to the Celtics on Saturday. Detroit, who were +12.5 point underdogs, managed to cover the spread at home. The game’s total score of 242 points exceeded the O/U line of 225.

Detroit fell behind early, trailing 42-31 after the 1st quarter. An 11-0 run helped them close the gap, and they outscored Boston 31-21 in the 3rd quarter to enter the 4th down just 94-93. However, the Celtics pulled away in the final period, outscoring the Pistons 30-25.

The Heat Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

The Heat evened their record at 1-1 with a 114-106 win over the Hornets on Saturday. Miami, favored by 5.5 points, covered the spread with the victory. The total points for the game were 220, just under the 223.5-point line.

After a 23-23 tie in the 1st quarter, Miami took control by outscoring Charlotte 33-25 in the 2nd quarter. They extended their lead to 83-72 going into the 4th, and while Charlotte won the final quarter 34-31, Miami held on for the win.

Pistons Offense Breakdown

Jaden Ivey led the Pistons with 26 points and 6 assists in their 124-118 loss to the Celtics, shooting 55.6% from the field and hitting 2 threes at 40%. Cade Cunningham contributed 21 points and 10 assists, despite shooting just 40.9% and making 2 threes at 25%.

Malik Beasley knocked down 5 threes at 62.5%, finishing with 17 points. The Pistons hit 14 threes as a team, shooting 35.9% from deep and 48.9% overall. Ivey scored 12 of his points in the 2nd quarter, while Beasley added 9 in the 4th.

Heat Offense Breakdown

miami heat

Jaden Ivey led the Pistons with 26 points and 6 assists in their 124-118 loss to the Celtics, shooting 55.6% from the field and hitting 2 threes at 40%. Cade Cunningham added 21 points and 10 assists, despite shooting 40.9% and making just 2 threes at 25%. Malik Beasley contributed 17 points, connecting on 5 threes at a 62.5% clip.

Detroit made 14 threes as a team, shooting 35.9% from deep and 48.9% overall. Ivey scored 12 points in the 2nd quarter, while Beasley added 9 points in the 4th.

Pistons Team Defense

The Pistons struggled defensively in the 1st quarter, giving up 42 points, but they tightened up in the 3rd, allowing just 21. Overall, they allowed 124 points on 42% shooting from the field in their loss to the Celtics.

Detroit had trouble defending the three, as Boston hit 22 threes at a 45% clip. The Celtics also went to the line 30 times, making 26 free throws. The Pistons finished with 35 defensive rebounds, 4 steals, and 7 blocks.

Heat Team Defense

Despite a strong defensive showing in the 3rd quarter, where they held the Celtics to just 21 points, the Pistons couldn’t overcome a rough start, giving up 42 points in the 1st quarter of their 124-118 loss. Detroit allowed 30 points in the 4th quarter, sealing their fate.

The Pistons allowed the Celtics to hit 22 threes at a 45% clip. They also sent Boston to the line 30 times, where they made 26 free throws. Detroit finished with 35 defensive rebounds, giving up 13 offensive boards, while recording 4 steals and 7 blocks.

Pistons vs Heat Trends

  • In their last five games away from home, the Pistons have a straight up record of 1-4 while going 2-3 vs the spread. The team’s offense averaged 101 points per game in these contests.
  • Across their last five home contests, Miami has a 3-2 record vs the spread. Their overall mark in these games was 2-3, while averaging 101 points per game.
  • Going back to their last five games as the underdog, the Pistons have a straight up record of 1-4. But, their mark vs the spread was just 2-3.
  • The last ten games that Miami was favored, they have an ATS mark of 7-3 while going 8-2 straight up.

Pistons vs Heat Prediction

We’re putting our money on the Heat to win, and have the projected score sitting at 139-124. We also like them to cover the spread, so our recommendation is to bet on the Heat at -8.

As for the total, the line is currently sitting at 219 and our model has the Pistons and Heat finishing with a combined 263 points. Our pick is to take the over.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.