Detroit Pistons vs Miami Heat NBA Betting Prediction

NBA Detroit Pistons vs Miami Heat Prediction 3/5/2024

The Detroit Pistons (9-51) travel to face off against the Miami Heat (34-26) on Tuesday, March 5th. This game will be played at Kaseya Center in Miami and televised on BSSU. The Heat are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Pistons are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Jazz. Tip-off is set for 7:30 ET.

Pistons vs Heat

detroit pistons nba

The Pistons Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

In their most recent matchup, the Pistons conveyed a message to the Magic with a score of 113-91. Alonside their straight-up loss, the Pistons failed to cover the spread as +11 point underdogs. As for the over/under, the combined score of 204 points didn’t reach the over/under line of 217.

This season, the Pistons are 9-51 and are hoping to reach .500 with a win over the Heat. On the road, the Pistons are 5-26 compared to 4-25 at home.

Detroit has an overall ATS record of 29-30 for the season so far. The Pistons have suffered two consecutive ATS losses when playing as underdogs, and they are 1-4 against the spread when they are the favorites.

The Heat Are Coming Off A Win

The Heat took down the Jazz in their most recent game with a final score of 126-120. The Heat were favored by -9 heading into the game, but their 6 point victory failed to cover the spread. Before the game, the over/under line was 224 points, and both teams ended up surpassing that mark.

With a record of 34-26, the Heat are 7th in the Eastern Conference and 2nd in the Southeast division. In their last five games, they have gone 4-1.

Currently, Miami holds an above .500 ATS record of 29-28 so far this year. In their last six road games, Miami has successfully covered the spread, and they hold an ATS record of 17-11 on the road in contrast to 12-17 at home.

Pistons Offense Breakdown

Detroit has recorded an average of 112.1 points per game (23rd) throughout 60 games games.

On the season, the Pistons are scoring 112.1 points per game, which is 23rd in the NBA. However, they have been better on the road, averaging 112.8 points per game compared to 111.3 at home.

So far, the Pistons have outscored the NBA scoring average in just 28.3% of their games. In terms of pace, they are 9th in the league at 100.1 possessions per game.

When it comes to field goal percentage, Detroit is 18th in the NBA at 47%. They are also 18th in three-point shooting at 36%.

Heat Offense Breakdown

miami heat

This season, the Miami offense is ranked 27th in the NBA in scoring at 110.6 points per game.

At home, the Heat are averaging 113.5 points per game, which is 22nd in the NBA. Overall, they are 27th in scoring at 110.6 points per game.

In terms of pace, Miami is 28th in the league at 96.2 possessions per game. When it comes to field goal percentage, the Heat are shooting 46% from the field, which is 23rd in the NBA.

From beyond the arc, the Heat are 7th in three-point shooting percentage at 37%. They are also 7th in free throw shooting at 18.8 made free throws per game.

Pistons Team Defense

At present, the Pistons’ defense is ranked 27th, allowing 121.0 points per game. The Pistons defense is coming off a game in which they held the Magic offense to just 38.4% shooting. Overall, they gave up 113 points to Orlando.

Heat Team Defense

This season, the Heat defense has been impressive, holding the 6th position in the league while permitting an average of 109.9 points per contest. Inside the arc, the Heat defense is giving up a shooting percentage of 55.1% and 36.4% from three-point territory.

Key Players For The Pistons And Heat

In today’s game, our projections have Cade Cunningham leading the Pistons with 22 points on 8/18 shooting from the field. For the season, he has been averaging 22.2 points per game, in addition to 4.1 rebounds.

On the other side, Terry Rozier is our projected leading scorer for the Heat. We have him ending the game with a team-high 20 and grabbing 4 rebounds. This season, he has put together a field goal percentage of 44.2%, and he is contributing 20.3 points per game on average.

Pistons vs Heat Trends

  • In their last three road games, Detroit has averaged 102 points per game while allowing 107. The team’s record in this stretch was 1-2 while going 2-1.
  • Across the Heat last ten home games, the team averaged 106 points per game while allowing 105. Their record vs the spread in these contests was 6-3-1, while going 6-4 straight-up.
  • Going back to their previous ten games as the underdog, Detroit has an ATS mark of 5-5 while going 2-8 straight up.
  • In their last five games as the betting favorite, the Heat have a strong straight up record of 5-0. In addition, their ATS record was 3-1-1 in these scenarios.

Pistons vs Heat Prediction

In this Pistons vs. Heat matchup, our point-spread bet is on the Pistons at +11.5. While we project the Heat to win 113-108, our recommendation is to bet on the Pistons for the point-spread.

As for the over/under, the the line is currently at 218, and our model projects the Pistons and Heat to reach a combined total of 221 points. Our bet is on taking the over.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.