Golden State Warriors vs Miami Heat NBA Betting Prediction

NBA Golden State Warriors vs Miami Heat Prediction 3/26/2024

The Golden State Warriors (36-34) travel to face off against the Miami Heat (39-32) on Tuesday, March 26th. This game will be played at Kaseya Center in Miami and televised on NBCS. The Heat are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Warriors are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Cavaliers. Tip-off is set for 7:30 ET.

Warriors vs Heat

golden state warriors nba

The Warriors Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

In their latest game against the Timberwolves, Stephen Curry was the top scorer for the Warriors’ offense, scoring 31 points and shooting 9/21 from the field. Klay Thompson contributed 16 points, but Golden State lost the game 114-110.

Heading into their matchup with the Heat, the Warriors have an overall record of 36-34 and are hoping to end their two game skid. In the Western Conference, the Warriors are 10th overall and are 5th in the Pacific division.

Against the spread, Golden State are currently above .500, at 37-32 ATS. This season, Golden State has a 22-23 record against the spread when they are favored, and they are 15-9 when playing as underdogs.

The Heat Are Coming Off A Win

The Heat’s most recent matchup against the Cavaliers saw Haywood Highsmith lead the Heat with 18 points while shooting 7/10 from the field. As the Heat secured the victory with a final score of 121-84, Jimmy Butler also chipped in with 15 points.

As they get ready to face the Warriors, the Heat are hoping to add to their winning record of 39-32. Against teams in the Eastern Conference, the Heat have gone 27-18 and are 12-14 in non-conference games.

Miami’s ATS record is currently below .500 at 33-35 for the season. On the road, the Heat have an ATS record of 20-14, as opposed to a 13-21 record against the spread when playing at home.

Warriors Offense Breakdown

The Warriors step onto the court for today’s game as one of the NBA’s top-scoring squads, putting up 118.3 points per game (7th).

When it comes to scoring, the Warriors are 7th in the NBA at 118.3 points per game. On the road, they are even better, averaging 118.8 points per game.

So far this season, Golden State has outscored the NBA scoring average in 58.6% of their games. However, they have scored less than their own average in their last two games.

When it comes to three-point shooting, the Warriors are 2nd in the league in both made threes per game (14.8) and three-point attempts per game (39.4). Overall, they are 9th in three-point shooting percentage at 37%.

Heat Offense Breakdown

miami heat

This season, the Miami offense is ranked 27th in the NBA in scoring at 109.6 points per game.

At home, the Miami Heat are averaging 112.2 points per game, which is 22nd in the league. Overall, they are 27th in scoring at 109.6 points per game. So far this season, they have outscored the NBA scoring average in 36.6% of their games.

In terms of pace, the Heat are 29th in the league at 95.6 possessions per game. When it comes to field goal percentage, they are shooting 46% from the field, which is 23rd in the NBA.

From three-point range, Miami is hitting 36% of their attempts, which is 12th in the league. In terms of free throws, they are 10th in makes at 18.1 per game.

Warriors Team Defense

Coming into the game, the Warriors’ defense is giving up an average of 116.8 points per game. So far, they have given up more points than the NBA league average in 52.9% of their games. On two point field goal attempts, the Warriors’ defensive unit is allowing a field goal percentage of 54.3% and allowing 36.1% from beyond the arc.

Heat Team Defense

Currently, the Heat’s defense holds the 4th rank in the NBA, allowing 108.9 points per game. The Heat defense is coming off a game in which they held the Cavaliers offense to just 51.8% shooting. Overall, they gave up 84 points to Cleveland.

Key Players For The Warriors And Heat

In today’s game, our projections have Stephen Curry leading the Warriors with 26 points on 9/20 shooting from the field. This season, he is averaging 26.8 points per game along with 4.5 boards.

On the opposing side, we anticipate Jimmy Butler to be the top scorer for the Heat. Our projection has him finishing the game with 21, and he is expected to secure 5 rebounds. This season, he has put together a field goal percentage of 50.1%, and he is contributing 21.4 points per game on average.

Warriors vs Heat Trends

  • Through their last ten road games, Golden State has an ATS record of just 7-3. However, their overall record was 7-3 while averaging 115 points per game.
  • When looking at their past ten home matchups, Miami has an ATS record of 7-3 while averaging 104 per game. The team went 6-4 overall in these games.
  • The last three games that Miami was the underdog, they have an ATS mark of 1-2 while going 1-2 straight up.
  • Going back to their previous three games as the favorite, Golden State has an ATS mark of 1-2 while going 1-2 straight up.

Warriors vs Heat Prediction

Entering the game as underdogs with a spread of +1.5, the Heat is our point spread pick. Our projections not only see them covering the spread but also indicate a solid chance of an outright victory. This is a good choice for those looking for a higher moneyline payout.

As for the over/under, the the line is currently at 218.5, and our model projects the Warriors and Heat to reach a combined total of 222 points. Our bet is on taking the over.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.