Memphis Grizzlies vs Oklahoma City Thunder NBA Betting Prediction

NBA Grizzlies vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction 3/10/2024

The Memphis Grizzlies (22-42) travel to face off against the Oklahoma City Thunder (44-19) on Sunday, March 10th. This game will be played at Paycom Center in Oklahoma City and televised on BSO. The Thunder are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Grizzlies are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Heat. Tip-off is set for 7:00 ET.

Grizzlies vs Thunder

memphis grizzlies nba

The Grizzlies Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

In their most recent game, the Grizzlies fell to the Hawks by a score of 99-92. The first half ended in a tie, but the Grizzlies lost the second half to the Hawks 53-46.

When playing at home this season, the Grizzlies have gone 7-25 compared to their 15-17 record on the road. Over their last three games, the Grizzlies are 2-1 and have an overall record of 22-42.

Memphis has an overall ATS record of 31-33 for the season so far. As the favorite this season, Memphis is 5-11 vs. the spread while going 26-22 as the underdog.

The Thunder Are Coming Off A Win

In their last game, the Thunder defeated the Heat with a final score of 107-100. The Thunder were favored by -8.5 heading into the game, but their 7 point victory failed to cover the spread. In terms of the over/under, the combined 207 points was below the over/under line of 226.5.

With their overall record sitting at 44-19, the Thunder have won their last two games and are hoping to add to that today. When playing at home, the Thunder have gone 25-6 compared to their 19-13 record on the road.

Oklahoma City arrives with an ATS record of 39-24 for the season up to this point. Oklahoma City has gone 28-19 against the spread this season when they are the favorites, and they are 11-5 when playing as underdogs.

Grizzlies Offense Breakdown

Memphis has recorded an average of 106 points per game (30th) throughout 64 games games.

When it comes to scoring, the Grizzlies are 30th in the NBA at 106 points per game. However, on the road, they are averaging 108.9 points per game.

One area where the Grizzlies have struggled is field goal percentage, as they are 30th in the league at 43%. In terms of pace, Memphis is 17th at 98 possessions per game.

When it comes to three-point shooting, the Grizzlies are 10th in the NBA in made threes at 13.3 per game. However, they are last in the league in three-point shooting percentage at 34%.

Thunder Offense Breakdown

oklahoma city thunder

The Oklahoma City offense will take the floor in today’s game with the league’s 3rd ranked offense at 120.8 points per game.

This season, the Thunder have been one of the most efficient offenses in the league, ranking 3rd in scoring at 120.8 points per game. At home, they are averaging 123.1 points per game.

When it comes to three-point shooting, the Thunder are the best in the NBA, hitting 39% of their attempts. Overall, they are shooting 50% from the field, which is 2nd in the league.

So far, the Thunder have outscored the NBA scoring average in 68.3% of their games. In terms of pace, they are 12th in the league with an average of 99.6 possessions per game.

Grizzlies Team Defense

So far, the Grizzlies defense is giving up 112.3 points per contest, which has them sitting 9th in the NBA. One thing to note, is they have given up more points than their season average in two straight matchups. Memphis’ defense is currently forcing 14.2 turnovers per game, which is 26th in the league. Additionally, they enter the game ranked 3rd in blocked shots, with an average of 6.3 rejections per game.

Thunder Team Defense

This season, the Thunder’s defense is the 12th ranked defense in the NBA at 12th PPG. So far, they have held opposing offenses below the NBA scoring average in 57.1% of their games. When it comes to forced turnovers, the Thunder are forcing 11.5 per game, which is 2nd in the league. They also come into the game sitting 1st in blocked shots at 6.8 per game.

Key Players For The Grizzlies And Thunder

The outlook for today’s matchup points to Jaren Jackson Jr. as the primary point contributor for the Grizzlies, finishing with 22 points while maintaining a 8/17 shooting accuracy. This season, he is averaging 22.6 points per game along with 5.7 boards.

On the flip side, our predictions place Shai Gilgeous-Alexander as the leading scorer for the Thunder. We expect him to conclude the game with a team-high 31 while also collecting 6 rebounds. This season, he has put together a field goal percentage of 54.6%, and he is contributing 31.2 points per game on average.

Grizzlies vs Thunder Trends

  • Across their last three road contests, Memphis has been good against the spread posting a mark of 3-0. Their overall mark in these games was 2-1, while averaging 107 points per game.
  • In their last ten games at home, the Thunder have a straight up record of 5-5 while going 4-6 vs the spread. The team’s offense averaged 115 points per game in these contests.
  • The Grizzlies have played well in their last three games as the betting underdog, going 2-1 straight up and 2-1 against the spread.
  • Going back to their last ten games as the favorite, the Thunder have a straight up record of 8-2. But, their mark vs the spread was just 6-4.

Grizzlies vs Thunder Prediction

The Thunder is our pick to not only win with a projected score of 115-96. But we also favor them to cover the spread. Our bet is on the Thunder at -15.

Regarding the over/under, the current line is set at 219.5, and our model predicts the Grizzlies and Thunder to score a combined 211 points. We recommend betting on the under.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.