heat vs knicks nba prediction

NBA: Heat vs New York Knicks Prediction 11/24/2023

The Miami Heat (10-5) travel to face off against the New York Knicks (8-6) on Friday, November 24th. This game will be played at Madison Square Garden in Madison Square Garden and televised on ESPN. The Heat are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Knicks are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Cavaliers. Tip-off is set for 7:30 ET.

Heat vs Knicks

The Heat Are Coming Off A Win

The Heat beat the Cavaliers in their most recent game, ending with a score of 129-96. The Heat entered the game as the underdogs by +1, resulting in both a straight-up and ATS win. Before the game, the over/under line was 213.5 points, and both teams ended up surpassing that mark.

The Heat will face the Knicks bringing in an overall record of 10-5 and a 2-1 record over their previous three games. Currently, in the Eastern Conference, the team is ranked 4th, and they are 2nd in the Southeast division.

Miami has an overall ATS record of 7-7 for the season so far. During this season, Miami has a 4-5 record against the spread as favorites and 3-2 as underdogs.

The Knicks Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

In their most recent game, the Knicks fell to the Timberwolves by a score of 117-100. the Knicks not only lost the game outright but also fell short of covering the spread as +2.5 point underdogs. The over/under line entering this matchup was 215 points, and both teams achieved a total score that exceeded that line.

In today’s game against the Heat, the Knicks aim to continue their success with a record above .500, currently at 8-6. At this time, the team’s rank is 7th in the Eastern Conference, and they are also 3rd in the Atlantic division.

In terms of the spread, New York currently holds an ATS record of 10-4, which is above .500. As the favorite this season, New York is 7-1 vs. the spread while going 3-3 as the underdog.

Heat Offense Breakdown

Through 15 games the Heat are averaging 111.5 points per contest, placing them 21st in the NBA. Coming into today’s game, the Heat will be looking to improve their 3-point shooting numbers, as they are averaging just 12.9 made 3’s per game. One area of the team’s offense that has been effective is their ability to get to the free-throw line. So far, they are ranked 8th, with an average of 18.9 made free-throws per game.

Knicks Offense Breakdown

Through 14 games games, New York is averaging 110.1 points per game (24th). The Knicks come into the game as one of the league’s better 3-point shooting teams, connecting at a rate of 13.6 made 3’s per game. New York is a strong candidate to see their overall offensive numbers improve, as not only are they a good outside shooting unit, but they do a good job taking care of the ball, ranking 3rd in fewest turnovers per game.

Heat Team Defensemiami heat

So far, the Heat’s defense is ranked 6th in the league at 108.1 points per contest.

On two point field goal attempts, the Heat’s defensive unit is allowing a field goal percentage of 53.4% and allowing 38.3% from beyond the arc.

Knicks Team Defense

This season, the Knicks defense has been impressive, holding the 2nd position in the league while permitting an average of 105.8 points per contest.

Inside the arc, the Knicks defense is giving up a shooting percentage of 55.6% and 35.8% from three-point territory.

Key Players For The Heat And Knicks

For today’s matchup, we project Bam Adebayo to lead the scoring for the Heat, putting up 16 points and shooting at a rate of 6/11. This season, he is averaging 22.8 points per game along with 10.2 boards.

On the flip side, our predictions place Jalen Brunson as the leading scorer for the Knicks. We expect him to conclude the game with a team-high 17 while also collecting 3 rebounds. Throughout the season, he has maintained a 43.8% field goal shooting rate and is averaging 24.2 points per game.

Heat vs Knicks Trends

  • The Heat are 3-1-1 ATS in their last road games and 4-1 straight-up.
  • Across their ten previous home games, New York has an ATS mark of 7-3. Their straight up record in these matchups was 5-5 while averaging 107 points per game.
  • Spanning across their last ten games as the betting underdog, the Heat have gone 5-5 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 3-7.
  • Through their last five games as the favorite, the Knicks have an ATS record of 5-0 and a straight up mark of 5-0.

Heat vs Knicks Predictionnew york knicks

The Heat come in as the underdog at +6.5, making them our top choice on the point spread. We not only expect them to cover the spread but also believe they have a strong chance of winning the game outright, especially if you’re aiming for a higher moneyline payout.

As for the total, the line is currently sitting at 212.5 and our model has the Heat and Knicks finishing with a combined 221 points. Our pick is to take the over.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.