heat vs raptors nba prediction

NBA Heat vs Toronto Raptors Prediction 1/17/2024

The Miami Heat (24-16) travel to face off against the Toronto Raptors (15-25) on Wednesday, January 17th. This game will be played at Scotiabank Arena in Toronto and televised on SN. The Heat are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Raptors are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Nets. Tip-off is set for 7:30 ET.

Heat vs Raptors

miami heat nba

The Heat Are Coming Off A Win

In the game against the Nets, Jimmy Butler was the top scorer for Miami, recording 31 points. His field goal percentage for the game was 37.9%. As the Heat secured the victory with a final score of 96-95, Tyler Herro also chipped in with 29 points.

As the Heat prepare to take on the Raptors, they are focused on staying above .500. Heading into today’s game, the Heat’s record is 24-16. In Eastern Conference play, the Heat are 18-10 compared to 6-6 in non-conference matchups.

Miami comes in with an overall ATS record of 19-19 so far this season. Miami has gone 11-10 against the spread this season when they are the favorites, and they are 8-9 when playing as underdogs.

The Raptors Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

The Raptors were defeated by the Celtics in the most recent game, concluding with a score of 105-96. The Raptors picked up the win despite trailing going into halftime 61-55.

On the road, the Raptors have gone 6-15 this season compared to their 9-10 record at home. Overall, the Raptors are 15-25 and are looking to end their four game losing streak against the Heat.

Toronto has an ATS record of .500 for the season, and they stand at 20-20 ATS. As the favorite this season, Toronto is 7-8 vs. the spread while going 13-12 as the underdog.

Heat Offense Breakdown

Through 40 games games, Miami is averaging 111.9 points per game (25th).

When it comes to scoring, the Heat are 25th in the NBA with 111.9 points per game. However, they have been better at home, averaging 115.5 points compared to 108.6 on the road.

So far this season, Miami has outscored the NBA scoring average in just 40% of their games. They have also gone three straight games without reaching their scoring average.

In terms of pace, the Heat are 27th in the league at 96.8 possessions per game. They are also 20th in field goal percentage at 46%.

Raptors Offense Breakdown

toronto raptors

Through 40 games the Raptors are averaging 115 points per contest, placing them 17th in the NBA.

Despite being one of the top teams in the NBA in assists, the Raptors’ offense has struggled to find a rhythm at home this season. They are averaging just 112.3 points per game at home compared to 117.5 on the road. Overall, Toronto is 17th in the league in scoring at 115 points per game.

When it comes to pace, the Raptors are 16th in the NBA at 99 possessions per game. In terms of field goal percentage, Toronto is 10th in the league at 48%. However, their true shooting percentage is just 21st.

While the Raptors have been one of the top teams in two-point field goal percentage, they are just 23rd in three-point shooting. In fact, they are 26th in the NBA in three-point makes at 11.7 per game.

Heat Team Defense

Coming into the game, the Heat defense has held opposing team’s to fewer points than the league average in 25.0% of their games. Currently, they are 2nd in the NBA at 110.6 points per game allowed. The Heat defense is coming off a game in which they held the Nets offense to just 37.9% shooting. Overall, they gave up 95 points to Brooklyn.

Raptors Team Defense

The Raptors’ defense is presently ranked 18th in the league, allowing an average of 116.8 points per contest. Opponents are hitting 54.8% of their two-point field goal attempts this season, and they’re also connecting on 38.8% of their three-point attempts.

Key Players For The Heat And Raptors

For today’s matchup, we project Jimmy Butler to lead the scoring for the Heat, putting up 22 points and shooting at a rate of 7/15. For the season, he has been averaging 21.4 points per game, in addition to 5 rebounds.

On the opposing side, we anticipate Pascal Siakam to be the top scorer for the Raptors. Our projection has him finishing the game with 22, and he is expected to secure 7 rebounds. This season, he is shooting at a field goal percentage of 52.2%, and his scoring average is 22.2 points per game.

Heat vs Raptors Trends

  • Across their ten previous road games, Miami has an ATS mark of 4-5-1. Their straight up record in these matchups was 6-4 while averaging 107 points per game.
  • When looking at their past five home matchups, Toronto has an ATS record of 3-2 while averaging 125 per game. The team went 1-4 overall in these games.
  • Going back to their last three games as the underdog, the Raptors have a straight up record of 0-3. But, their mark vs the spread was just 1-2.
  • In their last ten games as the betting favorite, the Heat have a straight up record of 8-2 and an ATS mark of 6-3-1.

Heat vs Raptors Prediction

Coming in as the underdogs at +2.5, we have the Raptors as the way to go on the point spread. Not only do we have them covering, but our projections show they have a good one of winning this one straight-up, if you’re looking for a higher payout on the moneyline.

Right now, the over/under line for the game is sitting at 228 and given that our model is projecting 226 points between the teams, we like the under.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.