rockets vs pistons nba betting prediction

NBA Houston Rockets vs Detroit Pistons Prediction 1/12/2024

The Houston Rockets (18-18) travel to face off against the Detroit Pistons (3-35) on Friday, January 12th. This game will be played at Little Caesars Arena in Detroit and televised on BSDE. Both the Rockets and Pistons will be looking to bounce back from losses in their previous games. Tip off is scheduled for 7:30 ET.

Rockets vs Pistons

houston rockets nba

The Rockets Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

Most recently, the Rockets lost to the Bulls with a final score of 124-119. Alonside their straight-up loss, the Rockets failed to cover the spread as +4 point underdogs. The over/under line entering this matchup was 216.5 points, and both teams achieved a total score that exceeded that line.

Coming into today’s game against the Pistons, the Rockets have an 18-18 overall record and are looking to snap their two game losing streak. In Western Conference games, the Rockets are 14-10 and have gone 4-8 in non-conference games.

Houston has an ATS record above .500, currently standing at 21-14 against the spread. The Rockets are currently on a two game ATS win streak when they are the favorite, and they hold a 12-12 record against the spread as underdogs.

The Pistons Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

In the game against the Spurs, Jalen Duren was the top scorer for Detroit, recording 21 points. His field goal percentage for the game was 45.8%. While Jaden Ivey was 2nd on the team with 19 points, Detroit fell short in the game with a final score of 130-108.

When you look at the Pistons’ last 10 games, they are 1-9 and have an overall record of 3-35. In their 38 games, the Pistons are 3-20 against Eastern Conference teams and 0-15 in non-conference games.

So far, Detroit’s ATS record is below .500 at 14-23. On the road, the Pistons have an ATS record of 9-11, as opposed to a 5-12 record against the spread when playing at home.

Rockets Offense Breakdown

Through 36 games the Rockets are averaging 112.7 points per contest, placing them 24th in the NBA.

So far this season, the Rockets have struggled to score, averaging just 112.7 points per game (24th). On the road, they are scoring 111.2 points per game (22nd). In terms of field goal percentage, Houston is 24th at 46%. In terms of pace, they are 20th at 98.4 possessions per game.

When it comes to three-point shooting, the Rockets are 17th in both three-pointers made (12.6) and three-point percentage (36%). In terms of free throws, they are 15th in free throws made (18.3) and 12th in free throw attempts (23.4).

So far this season, the Rockets have outscored the NBA scoring average in just 41.7% of their games. In terms of assists, Houston is 24th at 25.1 per game. In terms of offensive rebounds, they are 21st at 10.1 per game.

Pistons Offense Breakdown

detroit pistons

Through 38 games the Pistons are averaging 111.3 points per contest, placing them 26th in the NBA.

Coming into tonight’s game, the Pistons are 26th in the NBA in scoring at 111.3 points per game. However, they are 27th in scoring at home, averaging 110.2 points per game.

So far this season, the Pistons have outscored the NBA scoring average in just 23.7% of their games. Additionally, they have scored less than their own average in two straight games.

When it comes to pace, Detroit is 6th in the league at 100.6 possessions per game. As a team, they are shooting 46% from the field, which is 20th in the NBA.

Rockets Team Defense

Houston’s defense has been playing well, ranking 2nd in the NBA with 110.6 points allowed per game. In the terms of takeaways, Rockets are causing 12.5 turnovers per game, ranking 9th in the league. They also enter the matchup ranked 26th in rejections, averaging 4 blocked shots each game.

Pistons Team Defense

On defense, the Pistons are ranked 27th in the NBA this season. So far, they have given up more points than the NBA scoring average in 76.3% of their games. In their previous game, the Pistons’ defense struggled against the Spurs, giving up 130 points on a field goal percentage of 52%.

Key Players For The Rockets And Pistons

For today’s matchup, we project Jalen Green to lead the scoring for the Rockets, putting up 18 points and shooting at a rate of 6/15. This season, he is averaging 17.3 points per game along with 4.6 boards.

On the opposing side, we anticipate Bojan Bogdanovic to be the top scorer for the Pistons. Our projection has him finishing the game with 19, and he is expected to secure 4 rebounds. This season, he has put together a field goal percentage of 46.7%, and he is contributing 19.8 points per game on average.

Rockets vs Pistons Trends

  • In their last three games away from home, the Rockets have a straight up record of 1-2 while going 1-2 vs the spread. The team’s offense averaged 112 points per game in these contests.
  • In their last three home games, Detroit has averaged 123 points per game while allowing 132. The team’s record in this stretch was 0-3 while going 2-1.
  • Looking back on the team’s last three games as the underdog, the Pistons have a straight up record of 0-3. Their record vs the spread in these games was 0-3.
  • In their last five games as the betting favorite, the Rockets have a strong straight up record of 3-2. In addition, their ATS record was 3-2 in these scenarios.

Rockets vs Pistons Prediction

For a point-spread wager in this Rockets vs. Pistons game, we suggest taking the Pistons at +7.5. Even though our predictions have the Rockets winning 116-109, we see the Pistons as the better choice on the point-spread.

Right now, the over/under line for the game is sitting at 227.5 and given that our model is projecting 225 points between the teams, we like the under.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.