Houston Rockets vs Indiana Pacers NBA Betting Prediction

NBA Houston Rockets vs Indiana Pacers Prediction 3/4/2025

The Houston Rockets (37-24) travel to face off against the Indiana Pacers (34-25) on Tuesday, March 4th. This game will be played at Gainbridge Fieldhouse in Indianapolis and televised on SCHN. The Pacers are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Rockets are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Rockets. Tip-off is set for 7:00 ET.

Rockets vs Pacers

houston rockets nba

The Rockets Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

Houston’s record fell to 37-24 after a 137-128 road loss to the Thunder on Monday. The Rockets entered the game as +14 point underdogs and managed to cover the spread, keeping the game closer than expected. The total points of 265.5 exceeded the O/U line of 228.5 by 36.5 points.

After a close 1st quarter, the Thunder went on a 13-0 run, stretching their lead from 68-67 to 81-67. Houston was down 102-89 heading into the 4th but outscored the Thunder 39-35 in the final period.

The Pacers Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

With a 127-112 win over the Bulls on Sunday, the Pacers improved to 34-25 this season. Indiana, playing at home, covered the spread as -11.5 point favorites. The game’s total of 239 points narrowly missed the O/U line of 240.

Indiana pulled away in the 4th quarter, outscoring Chicago 32-20 after leading 95-92 going into the final period. The Pacers’ defense stepped up, holding the Bulls to just 20 points in the 4th.

Rockets Offense Breakdown

Cam Whitmore led the Rockets with 27 points and 11 rebounds in their loss to the Thunder, hitting 4 threes at a 66.7% clip. Reed Sheppard added 25 points, with 14 coming in the 4th quarter.

Houston connected on 16 threes, shooting 45.7% from deep and 48.5% overall. Jalen Green contributed 18 points, scoring 6 in each of the first three quarters.

Pacers Offense Breakdown

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Aaron Nesmith connected on 6 threes, shooting 54.5% from deep, and led the Pacers with 27 points in their 127-112 win over the Bulls. Indiana hit 19 threes as a team, shooting 43.2% from beyond the arc and 55.2% overall from the field.

Pascal Siakam added 20 points, while Tyrese Haliburton contributed 17 points and 12 assists. Nesmith scored 13 points in the 3rd quarter, and Myles Turner and Andrew Nembhard each added 6 points in the 4th.

Rockets Team Defense

The Rockets struggled defensively against the Thunder, giving up 137 points in the loss. Houston allowed 30 points in the 1st quarter and 33 in the 2nd, but their worst defensive stretch came in the 3rd, where they gave up 39 points. The Thunder also scored 35 points in the 4th quarter.

Houston allowed Oklahoma City to shoot 49% from the field, including 45% from three-point range, with the Thunder hitting 17 threes. The Thunder also went 24/27 from the free-throw line. The Rockets gave up 14 offensive rebounds but recorded 8 steals and 7 blocks.

Pacers Team Defense

The Rockets struggled defensively on Monday, giving up 137 points to the Thunder. Houston allowed 30 points in the 1st quarter, 33 in the 2nd, 39 in the 3rd, and 35 in the 4th. Oklahoma City shot 49% from the field.

The Thunder made 17 threes, shooting 45% from beyond the arc. Houston sent them to the line 27 times, where they hit 24 free throws. The Rockets grabbed 34 defensive rebounds but allowed 14 offensive boards. They also recorded 8 steals and 7 blocks.

Rockets vs Pacers Trends

  • In their last five games away from home, the Rockets have a straight up record of 0-5 while going 1-4 vs. the spread. The team averaged 111 points per game in this stretch.
  • Through their last ten home contests, the Pacers offense has averaged 115 points per game while allowing an average of 110. Indiana posted an overall record of 7-3 while going 5-5 ATS.
  • The last five games that Houston was the underdog, they have an ATS mark of 2-3 while going 0-5 straight up.
  • As the betting favorite, the Pacers have an ATS record of 2-1 in their last three games. In these matchups, their straight up record was 2-1.

Rockets vs Pacers Prediction

We’re calling a win for the Pacers, with a final score of 133-116, and we’re taking them to cover the spread. Our recommendation is to bet on the Pacers at -3.5.

As for the over/under, the the line is currently at 230, and our model projects the Rockets and Pacers to reach a combined total of 249 points. Our bet is on taking the over.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.