Indiana Pacers vs Dallas Mavericks NBA Betting Prediction

NBA Indiana Pacers vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction 3/5/2024

The Indiana Pacers (34-28) travel to face off against the Dallas Mavericks (34-27) on Tuesday, March 5th. This game will be played at American Airlines Center in Dallas and televised on BSSW. Both the Pacers and Mavericks will be looking to bounce back from losses in their previous games. Tip off is scheduled for 8:30 ET.

Pacers vs Mavericks

indiana pacers nba

The Pacers Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

In their most recent game, the Pacers tell to the Spurs by a score of 117-105. In addition, to losing the game straight-up, the Pacers lost vs. the spread as -6.5 point favorites. Considering the over/under, the total of 222 points fell short of the set over/under line of 242.

Coming into today’s game, the Pacers are 34-28 overall and have gone 1-2 in their last three games. At home, the Pacers are 20-12 compared to 14-16 on the road.

Indiana comes in with an overall ATS record of 32-28 so far this season. On the road, the Pacers have an ATS record of 15-14 compared to a 17-14 record vs. the spread at home.

The Mavericks Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

Dallas’ most recently played the 76ers and lost with a final score of 120-116. In addition to their straight-up loss, the Mavericks also couldn’t meet the spread, coming up short as -7.5 point favorites. When it comes to the over/under, the total of 236 points ended up falling short of the over/under line set at 237.5.

As they get ready to face the Pacers, the Mavericks are hoping to add to their winning record of 34-27. This season, the Mavericks have gone 16-13 on the road and are 18-14 at home.

Dallas has an ATS record of 32-29 so far this season which includes their current two game losing streak vs. the spread. Dallas has gone 21-14 against the spread this season when they are the favorites, and they are 11-15 when playing as underdogs.

Pacers Offense Breakdown

Heading into play, the Pacers’ offense is rated 1st in the league in scoring, averaging 123.3 points per contest.

When it comes to scoring, the Pacers are the league’s top-ranked team with an average of 123.3 points per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 120 points per contest.

Indiana’s offensive success is largely due to their ability to get to the basket. They lead the NBA in two-point field goal percentage at 58% and are also the top-ranked team in field goal percentage overall.

Despite their high-scoring offense, the Pacers are just 25th in free throw attempts. They are also 19th in offensive rebounds and have made the 9th-most three-pointers in the league.

Mavericks Offense Breakdown

dallas mavericks

Today, the Mavericks enter the game as one of the NBA’s top-scoring teams, averaging 118.7 points per game (6th).

When playing at home, the Mavericks are averaging 120.3 points per game, which is 8th in the NBA. Overall, they are 6th in scoring at 118.7 points per game. In terms of pace, Dallas is 12th in the league at 99.7 possessions per game.

The Mavericks have been one of the top three-point shooting teams in the NBA this season, ranking 3rd in made threes per game. They are also 2nd in three-point attempts. However, when it comes to two-point field goals, Dallas is 25th in the league.

So far, the Mavericks have outscored the NBA scoring average in 59% of their games. In terms of free-throw shooting, they are 11th in attempts and 15th in made free throws. In terms of assists, Dallas is 22nd in the league.

Pacers Team Defense

As they prepare for the upcoming game, the Pacers is focused on shoring up their defense, as they are currently allowing an average of 122.0 points per game (28th). Indiana struggled on the boards in their last game vs. the Spurs, giving up 14. For the game, San Antonio scored 117 points in the game.

Mavericks Team Defense

Coming into today’s game, the Mavericks’ defense is giving up an average of 118.0 points per contest. On two point field goal attempts, the Mavericks’ defensive unit is allowing a field goal percentage of 55.8% and allowing 36.9% from beyond the arc.

Key Players For The Pacers And Mavericks

Our projections for today’s game indicate that Pascal Siakam will be the primary scorer for the Pacers, with 21 points and going 8/16 from the field. This season, he is averaging 21.7 points per game along with 6.5 boards.

On the other side, Luka Doncic is our projected leading scorer for the Mavericks. We have him ending the game with a team-high 34 and grabbing 9 rebounds. This season, he is shooting at a field goal percentage of 49.6%, and his scoring average is 34.5 points per game.

Pacers vs Mavericks Trends

  • Through their last five road games, Indiana has an ATS record of just 1-4. However, their overall record was 2-3 while averaging 112 points per game.
  • Dallas has a 1-2 record in their last three home games. In this stretch, they averaged 121 points per game while allowing 128. The team also performed well vs the spread at 2-1.
  • Going back to their last three games as the underdog, the Pacers have a straight up record of 1-2. But, their mark vs the spread was just 1-2.
  • Going back to their last ten games as the favorite, the Mavericks have a straight up record of 8-2. But, their mark vs the spread was just 6-4.

Pacers vs Mavericks Prediction

For a point-spread bet in this Pacers vs. Mavericks matchup, we’re leaning towards the Pacers at +4.5. Although our projections show the Mavericks winning 120-116, we suggest placing your bet on the Pacers for the point-spread.

Regarding the over/under, the current line is set at 246, and our model predicts the Pacers and Mavericks to score a combined 236 points. We recommend betting on the under.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.