Indiana Pacers vs Miami NBA Betting Heat Prediction

NBA Indiana Pacers vs Miami Heat Prediction 2/28/2025

The Indiana Pacers (33-24) travel to face off against the Miami Heat (27-30) on Friday, February 28th. This game will be played at Kaseya Center in Miami and televised on FDSS. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. Tip-off is set for 8:00 ET.

Pacers vs Heat

indiana pacers nba

The Pacers Are Coming Off A Win

With a 111-91 victory over the Raptors on Wednesday, the Pacers improved to 33-24 this season. Playing at home, Indiana was favored by 11.5 points and covered the spread. The game’s total of 202 points fell well short of the 232.5-point O/U line.

Indiana’s defense was key, holding Toronto to 17 points in the 2nd quarter. A 10-0 run extended their lead from 72-62 to 82-62, and they maintained control by outscoring the Raptors 30-27 in the final quarter.

The Heat Are Coming Off A Win

With a 131-109 win over the Hawks on Wednesday, the Heat improved to 27-30 for the season. Playing at home, Miami entered the game as -3 favorites and covered the spread with a +22 point margin. The total score of 240 points exceeded the 229.5 O/U line by 10.5 points.

A key moment came when Miami went on a 13-0 run, turning a 40-37 deficit into a 50-40 lead. They outscored Atlanta 42-28 in the 3rd quarter and held the Hawks to 16 points in the 4th, while adding 24 points of their own.

Pacers Offense Breakdown

Tyrese Haliburton was on fire in the Pacers’ win over the Raptors, hitting 7 threes at a 77.8% clip and finishing with 33 points and 11 assists. He shot 80% from the field overall. Myles Turner also had a big game, making all 5 of his three-point attempts and scoring 18 points with 10 rebounds.

As a team, the Pacers shot 53.1% from the field and 40.5% from three, making 15 threes in total. Haliburton scored 12 points in the 1st quarter and added 11 more in the 3rd, while Turner scored 7 of his points in the 4th.

Heat Offense Breakdown

miami heat

The Heat’s offense was firing on all cylinders in their 131-109 win over the Hawks, shooting 59.2% from the field and hitting 23 threes at a 54.8% clip. Duncan Robinson and Tyler Herro both scored 24 points, with Robinson knocking down 6 threes and Herro adding 10 assists.

Bam Adebayo also contributed 20 points, shooting 75% from the field, while Davion Mitchell added 20 points, with 12 coming in the 3rd quarter. Robinson scored 14 points in the 2nd quarter, and Kel’el Ware added 8 of his 12 points in the 3rd.

Pacers Team Defense

The Pacers put on a defensive clinic against the Raptors, holding them to just 91 points on 42% shooting. Indiana was especially stingy in the 2nd quarter, allowing only 17 points. The Pacers also limited Toronto’s three-point shooting, as the Raptors made just 6 threes on 22% shooting.

Indiana sent Toronto to the line 16 times, where they made 11 free throws. The Pacers grabbed 37 defensive rebounds while allowing 11 offensive boards. They also added 10 steals and 7 blocks in the win.

Heat Team Defense

The Pacers put on a defensive clinic against the Raptors, holding them to just 91 points on Wednesday. Indiana was especially stingy in the 2nd quarter, giving up only 17 points. Overall, the Pacers limited Toronto to 42% shooting from the field.

Indiana excelled at defending the three, allowing just 6 made threes on 22% shooting. The Pacers also sent the Raptors to the line 16 times, where they made 11 free throws. Defensively, Indiana recorded 10 steals and 7 blocks.

Pacers vs Heat Trends

  • When looking at their past five road matchups, Indiana has an ATS record of 1-4 while averaging 114 per game. The team went 3-2 overall in these games.
  • Through their last ten home contests, the Heat offense has averaged 106 points per game while allowing an average of 109. Miami posted an overall record of 4-6 while going 3-6-1 ATS.
  • Going back to their last three games as the underdog, the Heat have a straight up record of 0-3. But, their mark vs the spread was just 0-2-1.
  • In their last ten games as the betting favorite, the Pacers have a straight up record of 7-3 and an ATS mark of 4-6.

Pacers vs Heat Prediction

In this Pacers vs. Heat matchup, our point-spread bet is on the Heat at +4. While we project the Pacers to win 134-131, our recommendation is to bet on the Heat for the point-spread.

Right now, the over/under line for the game is sitting at 225.5 and given that our model is projecting 265 points between the teams, we like the over.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.