Indiana Pacers vs Milwaukee Bucks NBA Betting Prediction

NBA Indiana Pacers vs Milwaukee Bucks Prediction 4/23/2024

The Indiana Pacers (47-35) travel to face off against the Milwaukee Bucks (49-33) on Tuesday, April 23rd. This game will be played at Fiserv Forum in Milwaukee and televised on NBA. The Bucks are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Pacers are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Pacers. Tip-off is set for 8:30 ET.

Pacers vs Bucks

indiana pacers nba

Heading into the most recent game of this Pacers vs. Bucks series, the Bucks were 1-point underdogs at home. Milwaukee ended up winning the game by a score of 109-94, which gave them a 15-point win. The Bucks really took control of the game in the 2nd quarter, outscoring the Pacers 39-21. The 203 combined points were well below the over/under line of 229.5.

The Bucks held the Pacers to just 39.6% shooting from the field and 21.1% from three-point range. Pascal Siakam led the Pacers with 36 points, while Damian Lillard had 35 for the Bucks.

Pacers Offense Breakdown

Indiana comes into the game as the NBA’s top-scoring team, averaging 123.3 points per contest. They have been even better on the road, at 120.4 points per game. The Pacers have also been the league’s most efficient shooting team, hitting 50% of their shots.

Pascal Siakam has averaged 23.4 points per game in his last five games on a shooting percentage of 57.8%. Over this stretch, he also averaged 8.4 rebounds. Myles Turner is averaging 20.6 points per game in his last five games while hitting 38.7% of his threes.

Bucks Offense Breakdown

milwaukee bucks

For the season, Giannis Antetokounmpo is averaging 30.4 points per game but is expected to miss the game with a calf injury. Khris Middleton has averaged 17.5 points, 6.5 rebounds, and 6 assists in his last four games. Over his last five games, Bobby Portis has averaged 16.2 points and 9.6 rebounds. Damian Lillard is averaging 24.3 points and 7 assists for the season.

Milwaukee comes into the game as the 4th ranked scoring offense, at 119 points per game. They are also 5th in scoring at home, at 120.9 points per contest. The Bucks are among the league leaders in both three-point attempts and makes this season, and they are 9th in three-point shooting percentage.

Pacers Team Defense

When it comes to the defensive end, the Pacers have struggled mightily this season. They are 27th in the NBA in points allowed per game at 120.1. On the road, they are giving up 121.5 points per contest, which is 28th in the league.

Indiana has done a good job of defending the three-point line this season. They are 1st in the NBA in three-point shooting percentage allowed at 36.5%. Opponents have made less than their season average from three in 78% of games vs. the Pacers.

One area where the Pacers have struggled is at the free-throw line. They are 30th in the NBA in made free-throws allowed per game at 25.8.

Bucks Team Defense

When looking at the Bucks defense, they come into tonight’s game allowing 116.1 points per game (21st). On the road, they are giving up 118.0 points per contest (22nd), while at home, they are giving up 114.3 points per game (17th).

Over their last five games, the Bucks have been playing better defense, allowing just 104.4 points per game (5th). During that stretch, they have done a good job defending the three-point line, allowing opponents to shoot just 31.2% from deep.

On the season, opposing teams have been able to score more than their season average in 63.4% of their games vs. the Bucks. Additionally, opponents have made more threes than their season average in 52.4% of their games vs. Milwaukee.

Key Players For The Pacers And Bucks

In today’s game, we anticipate Pascal Siakam leading the scoring for the Pacers, contributing 21 points while shooting 8/15 from the field. This season, he is averaging 21.7 points per game along with 7.1 boards.

On the other side, Giannis Antetokounmpo is our projected leading scorer for the Bucks. We have him ending the game with a team-high 31 and grabbing 12 rebounds. Throughout the season, he has maintained a 61.1% field goal shooting rate and is averaging 30.4 points per game.

Pacers vs Bucks Trends

  • Through their last three road contests, the Pacers offense has averaged 118 points per game while allowing an average of 120. Indiana posted an overall record of 1-2 while going 1-2 ATS.
  • In their last five games at home, the Bucks have a straight up record of 1-4 while going 1-4 vs the spread. The team’s offense averaged 106 points per game in these contests.
  • In their last three games as the betting underdog, the Pacers have a straight up record of 1-2 and an ATS mark of 1-2.
  • Going back to their previous ten games as the favorite, Milwaukee has an ATS mark of 3-7 while going 4-6 straight up.

Pacers vs Bucks Prediction

Coming in as the underdogs at +1, we have the Pacers as the way to go on the point spread. Not only do we have them covering, but our projections show they have a good one of winning this one straight-up, if you’re looking for a higher payout on the moneyline.

Right now, the over/under line for the game is sitting at 220.5 and given that our model is projecting 222 points between the teams, we like the over.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.