Indiana Pacers vs New York Knicks NBA Betting Prediction

NBA Indiana Pacers vs New York Knicks Prediction 5/6/2024

The Indiana Pacers (47-35) travel to face off against the New York Knicks (50-32) on Monday, May 6th. This game will be played at Madison Square Garden in New York and televised on TNT. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. Tip-off is set for 7:30 ET.

Pacers vs Knicks

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Indiana is coming off a 120-98 win at home in their last game vs. Milwaukee. This win closed out their series vs. the Bucks, as they took the series 4-2 in six games. The Pacers’ offense was able to score 120 points, which was just above the over/under line of 216.5 points.

Obi Toppin led the Pacers with 21 points and added eight rebounds. Toppin knocked down three threes on 30% shooting from beyond the arc. T.J. McConnell also had a big game for the Pacers, finishing with 20 points and nine assists. As a team, the Pacers shot 54.1% from the field and made 13 threes.

Jalen Brunson had a huge game for the Knicks, scoring 41 points and dishing out 12 assists. His performance helped the Knicks close out their series vs. the Sixers, as they won 118-115. The Knicks won the series in six games, taking the series 4-2. New York picked up the win on the road.

Offensively, the Knicks got a big boost from their three-point shooting. On the game, they hit 14 threes, and they shot 45.2% from beyond the arc. As a team, they shot 46.2% from the field. Donte DiVincenzo also had a strong game for the Knicks, scoring 23 points and hitting five threes.

Pacers Offense Breakdown

Indiana is the top-scoring team in the NBA this season, at 123.3 points per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 119.9 points per contest. The Pacers are also near the top of the league in pace, averaging 101.2 possessions per game.

Over the Pacers’ last five games, Pascal Siakam and Myles Turner have each averaged 19.6 points per game, while hitting over 52% of their shots from the field. Turner has hit 3 threes per game in that stretch, connecting on 46.9% of his looks from downtown. Tyrese Haliburton is averaging 17.4 points and 9.6 assists in his last five games and 20.1 points and 10.9 assists for the season.

Knicks Offense Breakdown

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Overall, the Knicks are the 19th-ranked scoring offense this season, at 112.8 points per game. In terms of pace, they are last in the league, averaging 94.8 possessions per contest. New York’s three-point shooting percentage is 12th in the league, at 36%.

Jalen Brunson has been hot of late, averaging 38.2 points per game in his last five games. This has come while hitting 45% of his shots from the field. Over this stretch, he also averaged 9.4 assists. For the season, he is averaging 28.7 points and 6.7 assists. Josh Hart and OG Anunoby have also been playing well of late, with each player averaging 15.8 points in their last five games. Hart also averaged 12.2 rebounds in that stretch.

Pacers Team Defense

On the season, the Pacers have given up 119.6 points per game, which is 27th in the NBA. In terms of field goal percentage allowed, Indiana is 27th at 49.6%. Their three-point defense has been excellent, allowing just 10.7 made threes per game, which is 1st in the league.

At home, the Pacers have given up 118.1 points per game, which is 26th in the NBA. On the road, they have allowed 121.0 points per game, which is 27th.

In their last five games, Indiana has given up 110.4 points per game, which is 16th in the NBA. Over that stretch, opponents have made 34.6% of their three-point attempts.

Knicks Team Defense

When it comes to defense, the Knicks have been one of the best units in the NBA this season, ranking 4th in points allowed at 108.2 points per game. At home, they have been even stingier, giving up just 105.3 points per contest, which is 3rd in the league.

One thing to note is that opponents have scored less than their season average in 74.4% of games against the Knicks. Additionally, opposing teams have made fewer three-pointers than their season average in 63.4% of games vs. New York.

Despite being 28th in blocked shots, the Knicks have done a good job of not fouling, ranking 26th in personal fouls. They have also been solid at defending inside the arc, ranking 10th in two-point shooting percentage allowed.

Key Players For The Pacers And Knicks

For today’s matchup, we project Pascal Siakam to lead the scoring for the Pacers, putting up 21 points and shooting at a rate of 8/15. Throughout this season, his average stands at 21.7 points per game, along with 7.1 rebounds.

On the flip side, our predictions place Jalen Brunson as the leading scorer for the Knicks. We expect him to conclude the game with a team-high 30 while also collecting 4 rebounds. For the season, he has a field goal percentage of 47.9% and is averaging 28.7 points per contest.

Pacers vs Knicks Trends

  • In their last three games away from home, the Pacers have a straight up record of 1-2 while going 1-2 vs. the spread. The team averaged 103 points per game in this stretch.
  • Across their last five home contests, New York has been good against the spread posting a mark of 4-1. Their overall mark in these games was 4-1, while averaging 115 points per game.
  • The Pacers have played well in their last five games as the betting underdog, going 3-2 straight up and 3-2 against the spread.
  • Over the team’s last three games as the favorite, the Knicks struggled vs the spread going just 1-2. However, they still had a straight up mark of 2-1.

Pacers vs Knicks Prediction

As the underdogs with a spread of +6, we recommend going with the Pacers on the point spread. We not only see them covering the spread but also have a strong likelihood of winning this one outright, especially if you’re seeking a higher payout on the moneyline.

As for the total, the line is currently sitting at 217.5 and our model has the Pacers and Knicks finishing with a combined 225 points. Our pick is to take the over.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.