pacers vs nuggets nba betting prediction

NBA: Indiana Pacers vs Nuggets Prediction 1/14/2024

The Indiana Pacers (23-15) travel to face off against the Denver Nuggets (27-13) on Sunday, January 14th. This game will be played at Ball Arena in Denver and televised on ALT. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. Tip-off is set for 3:30 ET.

Pacers vs Nuggets

indiana pacers nba

The Pacers Are Coming Off A Win

The Pacers notched a win against the Hawks in their most recent game, concluding with a score of 126-108. Before the game, the Pacers were the underdogs with a +5.5 point advantage, securing both a straight-up and ATS victory. Regarding the over/under, the combined score of 234 points ended up below the over/under line of 251.

Coming into today’s game, the Pacers are 23-15 overall and will be hoping to play spoiler as +11 point underdogs. On the road, the Pacers are 10-7 this season compared to a 13-8 mark at home.

Presently, Indiana boasts an ATS record of 22-16, which is above .500 against the spread. Currently, the Pacers are on a two game ATS win streak when they are underdogs, and they are 10-8 vs. the spread as favorites.

The Nuggets Are Coming Off A Win

In the game against the Pelicans, Nikola Jokic was the top scorer for Denver, recording 27 points. His field goal percentage for the game was 55.6%. Jamal Murray also contributed 20 points as the Nuggets won by a score of 125-113 vs. the Pelicans.

Coming into today’s matchup vs. the Pacers, the Nuggets are above .500 with a 27-13 record. In the Western Conference, they are currently 3rd overall and 3rd in the Northwest division.

Denver comes in with an overall ATS record of 18-21 so far this season. This season, Denver has a 17-19 record against the spread when they are favored, and they are 1-2 when playing as underdogs.

Pacers Offense Breakdown

Today, the Pacers enter the game as one of the NBA’s top-scoring teams, averaging 126.6 points per game (1st).

So far this season, the Pacers are the top-scoring team in the NBA at 126.6 points per game. They have been equally as potent on the road, averaging 125.4 points per game away from home.

Indiana leads the league in field goal percentage at 51% and is also the top team in two-point shooting at 59%. In terms of pace, the Pacers are second in the NBA at 102.4 possessions per game.

When it comes to three-point shooting, Indiana is 5th in the league in made threes at 14.4 per game. Overall, they are hitting 38% of their shots from beyond the arc.

Nuggets Offense Breakdown

denver nuggets

Through 40 games games, Denver is averaging 116.2 points per game (13th).

At home, the Nuggets are averaging 120.8 points per game, which is 8th in the NBA. Overall, they are 13th in scoring at 116.2 points per game. In terms of pace, Denver is 29th in the league at 96.7 possessions per game.

When it comes to shooting, the Nuggets are 4th in field goal percentage at 49%. However, they are just 24th in three-point shooting, hitting 37% of their shots from beyond the arc. In terms of free throws, Denver is 29th in both attempts and makes.

So far this season, the Nuggets have outscored the NBA scoring average in 52.5% of their games. When it comes to assists, Denver is 2nd in the league with an average of 29.6 per game. In terms of offensive rebounding, they are 16th in the NBA.

Pacers Team Defense

At present, the Pacers’ defense is ranked 28th, allowing 123.4 points per game. Inside the arc, the Pacers defense is giving up a shooting percentage of 55.9% and 37.5% from three-point territory.

Nuggets Team Defense

Coming into the game, the Nuggets defense has held opposing team’s to fewer points than the league average in 32.5% of their games. Currently, they are 2nd in the NBA at 111.0 points per game allowed. The Denver defense has allowed opponents to shoot 36.3% from beyond the arc this season. Opposing teams are also hitting 46.6% of their field goal attempts vs. Denver.

Key Players For The Pacers And Nuggets

For today’s matchup, we project Myles Turner to lead the scoring for the Pacers, putting up 17 points and shooting at a rate of 6/11. Throughout this season, his average stands at 17.4 points per game, along with 7.4 rebounds.

On the other side, Nikola Jokic is our projected leading scorer for the Nuggets. We have him ending the game with a team-high 25 and grabbing 11 rebounds. For the season, he has a field goal percentage of 57.5% and is averaging 25.5 points per contest.

Pacers vs Nuggets Trends

  • Although Indiana has a straight up record of 6-4 in their last ten road games, they have not held up as well vs the spread going 6-4. The team averaged 121 points per game in these games.
  • Through their last three home games, Denver has an ATS record of just 0-3. However, their overall record was 2-1 while averaging 114 points per game.
  • Through their last three games as the underdog, the Pacers have an ATS record of 2-1 and a straight up mark of 2-1.
  • Looking back on the team’s last ten games as the favorite, the Nuggets have a straight up record of 7-3. Their record vs the spread in these games was 4-6.

Pacers vs Nuggets Prediction

The Pacers come in as the underdog at +11, making them our top choice on the point spread. We not only expect them to cover the spread but also believe they have a strong chance of winning the game outright, especially if you’re aiming for a higher moneyline payout.

As for the over/under, the the line is currently at 238.5, and our model projects the Pacers and Nuggets to reach a combined total of 229 points. Our bet is on taking the under.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.