Indiana Pacers vs San Antonio Spurs NBA Betting Prediction

NBA Indiana Pacers vs San Antonio Spurs Prediction 3/3/2024

The Indiana Pacers (34-27) travel to face off against the San Antonio Spurs (12-48) on Sunday, March 3rd. This game will be played at Frost Bank Center in San Antonio and televised on CW35. The Spurs are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Pacers are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Thunder. Tip-off is set for 7:00 ET.

Pacers vs Spurs

indiana pacers nba

The Pacers Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

Isaiah Jackson led Indiana with 13 points against the Pelicans, the highest on the team. He finished with a field goal percentage of 42.1% in the game. Bennedict Mathurin added 13 points, but unfortunately, Indiana was defeated in the game with a score of 129-102.

When playing on the road this season, the Pacers have gone 14-15 and are 20-12 at home. Overall, their record is 34-27 and they are 1-2 in their last three games.

Presently, Indiana boasts an ATS record of 32-27, which is above .500 against the spread. On the road, the Pacers have an ATS record of 15-13, as opposed to a 17-14 record against the spread when playing at home.

The Spurs Are Coming Off A Win

Most recently, the Spurs bested the Thunder with a score of 132-118. The Spurs faced the Thunder as +11 underdogs, achieving both a straight-up and ATS win in the game. The over/under line heading into this matchup was 238.5 points in which the two teams surpassed.

Overall, the Spurs are 12-48 this season and are 1-2 in their last three games. Against Western Conference teams, the Spurs are 8-26 and are 4-22 against non-conference opponents.

Against the spread, the Spurs have covered in two straight games and have an overall ATS record of 29-31. On the road, the Spurs have an ATS record of 16-17 compared to a 13-14 record vs. the spread at home.

Pacers Offense Breakdown

The Pacers come into today’s game as one of the better scoring teams in the NBA at 123.6 points per game (1st).

When it comes to scoring, the Pacers are the top-ranked team in the NBA at 123.6 points per game. However, on the road, they are averaging 120.6 points per game.

Indiana’s offense is ranked 2nd in pace, averaging 101.7 possessions per game. In terms of field goal percentage, the Pacers are the top-ranked team at 50%. They are also the top team in two-point shooting at 58%.

So far this season, the Pacers have outscored the NBA scoring average in 70.5% of their games. In terms of assists, Indiana leads the league at 31 per game.

Spurs Offense Breakdown

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This season, the San Antonio offense is ranked 23rd in the NBA in scoring at 112.3 points per game.

The Spurs are one of the most up-tempo teams in the league, ranking 3rd in pace at 101.4 possessions per game. However, they are just 23rd in scoring at 112.3 points per game.

At home, San Antonio is averaging 115.1 points per game compared to 109.9 on the road. Overall, they have outscored the NBA scoring average in 43.3% of their games.

When it comes to shooting, the Spurs are 25th in field goal percentage at 46%. From beyond the arc, they are shooting just 34% which is last in the league. However, they are 16th in made three-pointers at 12.6 per game.

Pacers Team Defense

Looking at the Pacers defense, they will be looking for a better performance considering they are currently conceding 122.1 points per game (28th). When it comes to forced turnovers, the Pacers are forcing 12.8 per game, which is 18th in the league. They also come into the game sitting 8th in blocked shots at 5.8 per game.

Spurs Team Defense

As they prepare for the upcoming game, the Spurs is focused on shoring up their defense, as they are currently allowing an average of 120.6 points per game (26th). For the season, San Antonio is ranked 28th in fewest fouls per game. Team’s are averaging 21.8 free-throws per game vs. the Spurs and have an overall field goal percentage of 49.4%.

Key Players For The Pacers And Spurs

The outlook for today’s matchup points to Pascal Siakam as the primary point contributor for the Pacers, finishing with 21 points while maintaining a 8/15 shooting accuracy. For the season, he has been averaging 21.7 points per game, in addition to 6.5 rebounds.

As for San Antonio, Devin Vassell is projected to be the primary scorer for the Spurs. Our forecast has him finishing the game with 19, and adding 4 rebounds. This season, he is shooting at a field goal percentage of 47.1%, and his scoring average is 19.3 points per game.

Pacers vs Spurs Trends

  • In their last five games away from home, the Pacers have a straight up record of 3-2 while going 2-3 vs the spread. The team averaged 114 points per game in this stretch.
  • In their last three home games, San Antonio has averaged 110 points per game while allowing 121. The team’s record in this stretch was 0-3 while going 2-1.
  • Going back to their last ten games as the underdog, the Spurs have a straight up record of 2-8. But, their mark vs the spread was just 5-5.
  • Through their previous five contests as the betting favorite, the Pacers have a strong record of 3-2. Their record vs the spread in these matchups is 2-3.

Pacers vs Spurs Prediction

We’re calling a win for the Pacers, with a final score of 135-111, and we’re taking them to cover the spread. Our recommendation is to bet on the Pacers at -6.5.

Regarding the over/under, the current line is set at 244.5, and our model predicts the Pacers and Spurs to score a combined 246 points. We recommend betting on the over.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.