Sacramento Kings vs Dallas Mavericks NBA Betting Prediction

NBA Kings vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction 2/10/2025

The Sacramento Kings (26-26) travel to face off against the Dallas Mavericks (28-25) on Monday, February 10th. This game will be played at American Airlines Center in Dallas and televised on NBCS. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. Tip-off is set for 8:30 ET.

Kings vs Mavericks

sacramento kings nba

The Kings Are Coming Off A Win

The Kings evened their season record at 26-26 with a 123-118 win over the Pelicans on Saturday. Sacramento, playing at home, was favored by 8 points but didn’t cover the spread. The game’s total points of 241.5 narrowly exceeded the over/under line of 239.5.

New Orleans went on a 13-0 run early, but Sacramento took control in the 3rd quarter, outscoring the Pelicans 45-22. The Kings entered the 4th quarter with a 99-87 lead, but the Pelicans made a push, outscoring Sacramento 31-24 in the final period.

The Mavericks Are Coming Off A Win

The Mavericks improved to 28-25 this season after a 116-105 win over the Rockets on Saturday. Dallas, playing at home, covered the spread as 3-point favorites. The game’s total of 221 points fell short of the 227.5-point line.

Dallas jumped out to a 33-20 lead in the 1st quarter and extended their lead by outscoring Houston 32-28 in the 2nd. The Rockets made a push with a 14-0 run, but the Mavericks held them off, winning the 4th quarter 27-24.

Kings Offense Breakdown

In their win over the Pelicans, the Kings shot 47.3% from the field, but struggled from beyond the arc, hitting just 26.8% with 11 made threes. Domantas Sabonis led the way with 27 points and 16 rebounds, shooting 55.6% from the floor.

Zach LaVine added 22 points, with 10 coming in both the 2nd and 3rd quarters. Keegan Murray contributed 19 points, including 10 in the 3rd, while Malik Monk also scored 10 of his 13 points in the 3rd quarter.

Mavericks Offense Breakdown

dallas mavericks

In their win over the Rockets, the Mavericks shot 47% from the field and connected on 12 threes at a 52.2% clip. Anthony Davis led the way with 26 points and 16 rebounds, hitting 55.6% from the field and making both of his three-point attempts.

Max Christie added 23 points, hitting 4 threes at 80%, with 10 points coming in the 4th quarter. Davis did most of his damage early, scoring 14 points in the 1st quarter and 10 more in the 2nd.

Kings Team Defense

Defensively, the Kings struggled in the 1st and 2nd quarters, allowing 31 and 34 points, respectively. However, they tightened up in the 3rd, giving up just 22 points, which helped them secure the win despite allowing 31 points in the 4th. Overall, they gave up 118 points on 47% shooting from the Pelicans.

From beyond the arc, the Kings allowed New Orleans to hit 14 threes at a 38% clip. The Pelicans also went 18/25 from the free-throw line. Sacramento did a solid job on the boards, giving up only 5 offensive rebounds, and they added 10 steals and 7 blocks.

Mavericks Team Defense

Defensively, the Kings had a strong 3rd quarter, holding the Pelicans to 22 points, but they allowed 31 points in both the 1st and 4th quarters. Overall, Sacramento gave up 118 points on 47% shooting from the field.

The Kings allowed 14 threes on 38% shooting from beyond the arc. They sent the Pelicans to the line 25 times, where New Orleans made 18 free throws. Sacramento finished with 40 defensive rebounds, gave up 5 offensive boards, and recorded 10 steals and 7 blocks.

Kings vs Mavericks Trends

  • In their last ten games away from home, the Kings have a straight up record of 4-6 while going 3-6-1 vs the spread. The team’s offense averaged 113 points per game in these contests.
  • Dallas has a 1-2 record in their last three home games. In this stretch, they averaged 114 points per game while allowing 127. The team also performed well vs the spread at 2-1.
  • Looking back on the team’s last five games as the underdog, the Kings have a straight up record of 1-4. Their record vs the spread in these games was 1-4.
  • Over the team’s last five games as the favorite, the Mavericks struggled vs the spread going just 2-2-1. However, they still had a straight up mark of 3-2.

Kings vs Mavericks Prediction

Entering the game as underdogs with a spread of +1, the Kings is our point spread pick. Our projections not only see them covering the spread but also indicate a solid chance of an outright victory. This is a good choice for those looking for a higher moneyline payout.

Regarding the over/under, the current line is set at 237.5, and our model predicts the Kings and Mavericks to score a combined 248 points. We recommend betting on the over.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.