Sacramento Kings vs Oklahoma City Thunder NBA Betting Prediction

NBA Kings vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction 2/11/2024

The Sacramento Kings (30-21) travel to face off against the Oklahoma City Thunder (35-17) on Sunday, February 11th. This game will be played at Paycom Center in Oklahoma City and televised on NBCS. The Kings are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Thunder are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Nuggets. Tip-off is set for 3:00 ET.

Kings vs Thunder

sacramento kings nba

The Kings Are Coming Off A Win

The Kings won vs. the Nuggets in their most recent game, ending with a score of 135-106. Kings’ victory in this game wasn’t just a straight-up win; they also covered the spread as -3-point favorites. The over/under line heading into this matchup was 230.5 points in which the two teams surpassed.

As they take on the Thunder, the Kings are looking to stay above .500. Their overall record is 30-21 and they are 5th in the Western Conference. In the Pacific division, they are in 2nd place.

Sacramento currently has an ATS record of 27-24, placing them above .500 against the spread. When playing on the road, the Kings hold an ATS record of 16-11 in contrast to a 11-13 record against the spread when playing at home.

The Thunder Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

In their latest game against the Mavericks, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander was the top scorer for the Thunder’s offense, scoring 25 points and shooting 9/16 from the field. Cason Wallace added 15 points, but unfortunately, Oklahoma City was defeated in the game with a score of 146-111.

In the Thunder’s last five games, they have gone 3-2 and currently hold a 35-17 overall record. When playing at home, the Thunder are 20-6, compared to their road record of 15-11.

Oklahoma City arrives with an ATS record of 32-20 for the season up to this point. Oklahoma City has failed to cover the spread in three straight road games and are 15-11 ATS on the road compared to 17-9 at home.

Kings Offense Breakdown

The Kings arrive for today’s game as one of the NBA’s top offensive teams, scoring an average of 118.7 points per game (8th).

So far this season, the Kings have been one of the top offenses in the league, averaging 118.7 points per game (8th). They have been particularly strong at home, where they are averaging 121.8 points per game (7th). On the road, they are 13th in the league at 115.9 points per game.

When it comes to scoring, the Kings have outscored the NBA scoring average in 66.7% of their games this season. They have also had two consecutive games where they have outscored their own scoring average.

In terms of pace, Sacramento is 7th in the league with an average of 100.3 possessions per game. This has helped them get up a lot of three-point attempts, as they are 3rd in the league at 40.2 per game. Overall, they are 11th in field goal percentage (48%).

Thunder Offense Breakdown

oklahoma city thunder

Heading into play, the Thunder’s offense is rated 5th in the league in scoring, averaging 120.6 points per contest.

This season, the Thunder are averaging 120.6 points per game, which is 5th in the NBA. At home, they are scoring 122.8 points per game.

Oklahoma City has scored less than the NBA average in 32.7% of their games this season and are 11th in pace at 99.5 possessions per game.

When it comes to shooting, the Thunder are 3rd in field goal percentage at 49%. They are also 3rd in three-point shooting at 39%.

Kings Team Defense

On defense, the Kings come into the game ranked 21st in the league in points allowed at 117.9 per game. Over their last three games, the team is allowing 125 points per contest (22nd). On two point field goal attempts, the Kings’ defensive unit is allowing a field goal percentage of 54.4% and allowing 39.3% from beyond the arc.

Thunder Team Defense

Coming into today’s game, the Thunder’s defense is giving up an average of 113.7 points per contest. On two point field goal attempts, the Thunder’s defensive unit is allowing a field goal percentage of 51.4% and allowing 36.8% from beyond the arc.

Key Players For The Kings And Thunder

Our projections for today’s game indicate that De’Aaron Fox will be the primary scorer for the Kings, with 25 points and going 9/20 from the field. This season, he is averaging 26.6 points per game along with 4 boards.

On the opposing side, we anticipate Shai Gilgeous-Alexander to be the top scorer for the Thunder. Our projection has him finishing the game with 31, and he is expected to secure 5 rebounds. Throughout the season, he has maintained a 54.7% field goal shooting rate and is averaging 31 points per game.

Kings vs Thunder Trends

  • Although Sacramento has a straight up record of 3-2 in their last five road games, they have not held up as well vs. the spread going 2-3. The team averaged 115 points per game in these games.
  • When looking at their past five home matchups, Oklahoma City has an ATS record of 2-3 while averaging 115 per game. The team went 2-3 overall in these games.
  • Going back to their previous ten games as the underdog, Sacramento has an ATS mark of 5-5 while going 3-7 straight up.
  • Looking back on the team’s last three games as the favorite, the Thunder have a straight up record of 1-2. Their record vs the spread in these games was 0-3.

Kings vs Thunder Prediction

Not only do we have the Thunder winning this one by a score of 123-118, but we see them covering the spread. Our pick is to grab the Thunder at -3.5.

As for the total, the line is currently sitting at 239.5 and our model has the Kings and Thunder finishing with a combined 241 points. Our pick is to take the over.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.