lakers vs mavericks nba prediction

NBA Los Angeles Lakers vs Mavericks Prediction 12/12/2023

The Los Angeles Lakers (14-9) travel to face off against the Dallas Mavericks (14-8) on Tuesday, December 12th. This game will be played at American Airlines Center in American Airlines Center and televised on TNT. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. Tip-off is set for 7:30 ET.

Lakers vs Mavericks

The Lakers Are Coming Off A Win

Most recently, the Lakers bested the Pelicans with a score of 133-89. The Lakers not only won the game but also covered the spread as -2.5-point favorites. Concerning the over/under, the total of 222 points remained below the established over/under line of 230.5.

Over the last ten games, the Lakers have gone 7-3 and have an overall record of 14-9 as they get ready to play the Mavericks. In the Western Conference, the Lakers are 6th and are 2nd in the Pacific division.

Los Angeles currently has an ATS record below .500, sitting at 11-12 at this point. Currently, the Lakers have a five game ATS win streak when they are favored, and they are 3-6 against the spread as underdogs.

The Mavericks Are Coming Off A Win

The Mavericks’ most recent game versus the Grizzlies saw Luka Doncic lead the Mavericks with 35 points while shooting 9/21 from the field. Jaden Hardy also contributed 19 points as the Mavericks won by a score of 120-113 vs. the Grizzlies.

Coming into today’s game against the Lakers, the Mavericks are looking to stay above .500. So far, they are 14-8 overall. When playing on the road, the Mavericks are 8-4 compared to 6-4 at home.

The Mavericks are riding a three game ATS win streak and currently possess an overall ATS record of 12-10. The Mavericks have four straight ATS losses as the underdog and are 11-6 vs. the spread as the favorite.

Lakers Offense Breakdown

In 23 games games, Los Angeles has an average of 113.1 points per game (18th). Coming into today’s game, the Lakers will be looking to improve their 3-point shooting numbers, as they are averaging just 10.2 made 3’s per game. If the Los Angeles offense is going to turn things around, not only do they need to improve their outside shooting but they must do a better job protecting the ball. Currently, they are averaging 14.1 turnovers per game.

Mavericks Offense Breakdown

Heading into play, the Mavericks’ offense is rated 6th in the league in scoring, averaging 119.9 points per contest. When looking at the Mavericks pace of play, they tend to play an up-tempo style of basketball. So far, the team is in the upper half of the NBA in possessions per game, averaging 99.9. A key aspect of the team’s offensive success is their ability to pair an up-tempo style of play with efficient outside shooting. So far, they are the 9th ranked team in 3-point shooting percentage.

Lakers Team Defense

The Lakers’ defense is presently ranked 10th in the league, allowing an average of 112.0 points per contest.

Inside the arc, the Lakers defense is giving up a shooting percentage of 51.7% and 36.1% from three-point territory.

Mavericks Team Defense

The Mavericks’ defense is presently ranked 21st in the league, allowing an average of 116.5 points per contest.

On two point field goal attempts, the Mavericks’ defensive unit is allowing a field goal percentage of 55.0% and allowing 36.0% from beyond the arc.

Key Players For The Lakers And Mavericks

For today’s matchup, we project Anthony Davis to lead the scoring for the Lakers, putting up 19 points and shooting at a rate of 8/13. Throughout this season, his average stands at 22.7 points per game, along with 12.7 rebounds.

On the other side, Luka Doncic is our projected leading scorer for the Mavericks. We have him ending the game with a team-high 21 and grabbing 6 rebounds. This season, he has put together a field goal percentage of 48.5%, and he is contributing 32 points per game on average.

Lakers vs Mavericks Trends

  • In their last five road games, Los Angeles has averaged 113 points per game while allowing 117 . The team’s record in this stretch was 3-2 while going 3-2 vs. the spread.
  • In their last ten games at home, the Mavericks have a straight up record of 6-4 while going 6-4 vs. the spread. The team averaged 116 points per game in this stretch.
  • Going back to their last three games as the underdog, the Mavericks have a straight up record of 0-3. But, their mark vs the spread was just 0-3.
  • Going back to their previous ten games as the favorite, Los Angeles has an ATS mark of 7-3 while going 9-1 straight up.

Lakers vs Mavericks Prediction

Entering the game as underdogs with a spread of +2.5, the Mavericks is our point spread pick. Our projections not only see them covering the spread but also indicate a solid chance of an outright victory. This is a good choice for those looking for a higher moneyline payout.

Right now, the over/under line for the game is sitting at 235.5 and given that our model is projecting 226 points between the teams, we like the under.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.