Dallas Mavericks vs Minnesota Timberwolves NBA Betting Prediction

NBA Mavericks vs Minnesota Timberwolves Prediction 1/31/2024

The Dallas Mavericks (26-21) travel to face off against the Minnesota Timberwolves (33-14) on Wednesday, January 31st. This game will be played at Target Center in Minneapolis and televised on BSN. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. Tip-off is set for 8:00 ET.

Mavericks vs Timberwolves

dallas mavericks nba

The Mavericks Are Coming Off A Win

The Mavericks notched a win against the Magic in their most recent game, concluding with a score of 131-129. The Mavericks managed to secure te win, even though they were behind at halftime 77-61.

So far this season, the Mavericks have gone 26-21 overall and are 2-1 in their last three games. When playing against Western Conference teams, the Mavericks are 18-17 and are 8-4 in non-conference games.

Dallas possesses an ATS record of 24-23 for this season, including their ongoing two game losing streak against the spread. When playing on the road, the Mavericks hold an ATS record of 13-8 in contrast to a 11-15 record against the spread when playing at home.

The Timberwolves Are Coming Off A Win

Anthony Edwards scored 27 for Minnesota against the Thunder which was the most on the team. His field goal percentage for the game was 48.2%. Karl-Anthony Towns also contributed 21 points as the Timberwolves won by a score of 107-101 vs. the Thunder.

Coming into today’s game against the Mavericks, the Timberwolves are 33-14 and have a winning record. When playing on the road this season, the Timberwolves are 16-10 compared to their home record of 17-4.

Against the spread, Minnesota is .500 so far this season with a mark of 23-23 ATS. The Timberwolves have experienced a two game ATS loss streak as favorites, and they are 6-4 vs. the spread when they are underdogs.

Mavericks Offense Breakdown

For the season, the Dallas offense is the 6th ranked unit in the NBA, at 118.9 points per contest.

So far this season, the Mavericks have been one of the most prolific three-point shooting teams in the NBA. They are second in the league in three-point attempts at 40.8 per game. On average, they make 15.2 threes per game (2nd).

Overall, the Mavericks are scoring 118.9 points per game (6th). However, they have actually scored more points at home (120.0) than on the road (117.6).

In terms of pace, Dallas is 11th in the NBA at 99.7 possessions per game. When it comes to two-point shooting, the Mavericks are 10th in the league with a 55% success rate.

Timberwolves Offense Breakdown

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This season, the Minnesota offense is ranked 22nd in the NBA in scoring at 112.9 points per game.

At 112.9 points per game, the Timberwolves are 22nd in the NBA in scoring. However, they have been better on the road (113.2) than at home (112.7). So far this season, they have scored below the league average in 57.4% of their games.

Minnesota’s offense has been efficient from three-point range, hitting 39% of their attempts (2nd). Overall, they have made an average of 12.3 threes per game (17th).

When it comes to pace, the Timberwolves are 25th in the league at 97.4 possessions per game. In terms of field goal percentage, they are 8th at 48%.

Mavericks Team Defense

So far, the Mavericks’ defense is ranked 21st in the league at 118.6 points per contest. In their previous game, the Mavericks’ defense struggled against the Magic, giving up 129 points on a field goal percentage of 51%.

Timberwolves Team Defense

On defense, the Timberwolves come into the game ranked 1st in the league in points allowed at 107.4 per game. Over their last three games, the team is allowing 102.7 points per contest (5th). When it comes to forced turnovers, the Timberwolves are forcing 14.3 per game, which is 27th in the league. They also come into the game sitting 9th in blocked shots at 5.8 per game.

Key Players For The Mavericks And Timberwolves

In today’s game, our projections have Tim Hardaway Jr. leading the Mavericks with 17 points on 6/13 shooting from the field. This season, he is averaging 18.4 points per game along with 3.8 boards.

On the other side, Anthony Edwards is our projected leading scorer for the Timberwolves. We have him ending the game with a team-high 24 and grabbing 5 rebounds. Throughout the season, he has maintained a 46.3% field goal shooting rate and is averaging 25.9 points per game.

Mavericks vs Timberwolves Trends

  • Through their last three road contests, the Mavericks offense has averaged 116 points per game while allowing an average of 132. Dallas posted an overall record of 1-2 while going 1-2 ATS.
  • Across the Timberwolves last five home games, the team averaged 111 points per game while allowing 106. Their record vs the spread in these contests was 2-3, while going 4-1 straight-up.
  • Going back to their last ten games as the underdog, the Mavericks have a straight up record of 5-5. But, their mark vs the spread was just 6-4.
  • Although the Timberwolves have a strong straight up record in their last three games as the betting favorite, they have not done as well vs the spread going 1-2.

Mavericks vs Timberwolves Prediction

For a point-spread bet in this Mavericks vs. Timberwolves matchup, we’re leaning towards the Mavericks at +14. Although our projections show the Timberwolves winning 113-109, we suggest placing your bet on the Mavericks for the point-spread.

Regarding the over/under, the current line is set at 223.5, and our model predicts the Mavericks and Timberwolves to score a combined 222 points. We recommend betting on the under.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.