Mavericks vs Oklahoma City Thunder NBA Betting Prediction

NBA Mavericks vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction 4/14/2024

The Dallas Mavericks (50-31) travel to face off against the Oklahoma City Thunder (56-25) on Sunday, April 14th. This game will be played at Paycom Center in Oklahoma City and televised on BSO. The Thunder are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Mavericks are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Bucks. Tip-off is set for 3:30 ET.

Mavericks vs Thunder

dallas mavericks nba

The Mavericks Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

The Mavericks’ most recent matchup against the Pistons saw Jaden Hardy lead the Mavericks with 25 points while shooting 9/19 from the field. Olivier-Maxence Prosper put up 16 points which was 2nd on the team, but it wasn’t enough as Dallas ended up losing the game with a final score of 107-89.

In non-conference play, the Mavericks have gone 19-11, while going 31-20 against Western Conference teams. Overall, the Mavericks are 50-31 and are 4-1 in their last five games.

In terms of the spread, Dallas currently holds an ATS record of 48-33, which is above .500. In their last two road games, Dallas has successfully covered the spread, and they hold an ATS record of 27-13 on the road in contrast to 21-20 at home.

The Thunder Are Coming Off A Win

Most recently, the Thunder bested the Bucks with a score of 125-107. In addition to their straight-up win, the Thunder also covered the spread as -14.5-point favorites. The over/under line for this matchup was set at 224 points, and the teams managed to exceed that total.

Coming into today’s matchup vs. the Mavericks, the Thunder are above .500 with a 56-25 record. While playing on the road, the Thunder are 24-17 compared to their 32-8 record at home this season.

Against the spread, Oklahoma City are currently above .500, at 46-35 ATS. In their last five road games, Oklahoma City has been unable to cover the spread, and they hold an ATS record of 20-21 on the road as opposed to 26-14 at home.

Mavericks Offense Breakdown

The Mavericks step onto the court for today’s game as one of the NBA’s top-scoring squads, putting up 118.2 points per game (6th).

Heading into the game, the Mavericks are the 6th highest-scoring team in the NBA, averaging 118.2 points per game. They are also one of the league’s top three-point shooting teams, ranking 3rd in made threes at 14.7 per game.

On the road this season, the Mavericks have averaged 117.8 points per game, which is 4th in the league. Overall, the Mavericks have outscored the NBA scoring average in 58% of their games.

In terms of pace, the Mavericks are 9th in the league at 99.5 possessions per game. When it comes to field goal percentage, they are 11th in the NBA at 48%.

Thunder Offense Breakdown

oklahoma city thunder

Leading up to today’s matchup, the Thunder are one of the NBA’s top offenses, averaging 119.9 points per game (3rd).

At home this season, the Thunder are averaging 122.8 points per game, which is third in the NBA. Overall, they are third in the league with an average of 119.9 points per game. In terms of field goal percentage, they are second in the league at 49%. Oklahoma City is also one of the top teams in three-point shooting, connecting on 38% of their attempts.

When it comes to pace, the Thunder are seventh in the NBA with an average of 99.7 possessions per game. In terms of assists, they are 12th in the league, averaging 27 per contest.

Heading into this game, Oklahoma City has outscored the NBA average in 67.9% of their games. In terms of free throw shooting, they are 11th in the league at 17.8 made free throws per game.

Mavericks Team Defense

At this time, the Mavericks’ defense is positioned 20th in the NBA, permitting 115.4 points per game. The Dallas defense has allowed opponents to shoot 36.7% from beyond the arc this season. Opposing teams are also hitting 47.5% of their field goal attempts vs. Dallas.

Thunder Team Defense

This season, the Thunder’s defense is the 12th ranked defense in the NBA at 12th PPG. So far, they have held opposing offenses below the NBA scoring average in 56.8% of their games. In the terms of takeaways, Thunder are causing 11.8 turnovers per game, ranking 6th in the league. They also enter the matchup ranked 1st in rejections, averaging 6.6 blocked shots each game.

Key Players For The Mavericks And Thunder

For today’s matchup, we project Tim Hardaway Jr. to lead the scoring for the Mavericks, putting up 14 points and shooting at a rate of 5/12. During this season, he is delivering an average of 14.6 points per game, along with 3.2 rebounds.

On the flip side, our predictions place Shai Gilgeous-Alexander as the leading scorer for the Thunder. We expect him to conclude the game with a team-high 30 while also collecting 5 rebounds. Throughout the season, he has maintained a 53.6% field goal shooting rate and is averaging 30.3 points per game.

Mavericks vs Thunder Trends

  • Although Dallas has a straight up record of 8-2 in their last ten road games, they have not held up as well vs the spread going 8-2. The team averaged 117 points per game in these games.
  • Across the Thunder last five home games, the team averaged 110 points per game while allowing 120. Their record vs the spread in these contests was 0-5, while going 2-3 straight-up.
  • Dallas has done well both straight up and vs the spread as the underdog, going 3-2 SU and 3-2 ATS in their last five games.
  • The Thunder have played well in their last three games as the betting favorite, going 3-0 straight up and 3-0 against the spread.

Mavericks vs Thunder Prediction

When looking to get a point-spread pick down in this Mavericks vs. Thunder game, our recommendation is to take the Mavericks at +19.5. Despite our model showing the Thunder winning 118-100, we like Mavericks as our point-spread pick.

As for the over/under, the the line is currently at 223, and our model projects the Mavericks and Thunder to reach a combined total of 218 points. Our bet is on taking the under.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.