Dallas Mavericks vs Oklahoma City Thunder NBA Betting Prediction

NBA Mavericks vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction 5/15/2024

The Dallas Mavericks (50-32) travel to face off against the Oklahoma City Thunder (57-25) on Wednesday, May 15th. This game will be played at Paycom Center in Oklahoma City and televised on TNT. The Thunder are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Mavericks are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Mavericks. Tip-off is set for 9:30 ET.

Mavericks vs Thunder

dallas mavericks nba

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander had a big game for the Thunder in their 100-96 win over the Mavericks in the most recent game of this series. Gilgeous-Alexander finished with 34 points, five assists, and eight rebounds while shooting 51.9% from the field. Chet Holmgren was the Thunder’s second-leading scorer with 18 points. As a team, the Thunder shot just 25.9% from three-point range and made seven threes.

Going into the game, the Mavericks were favored by 1.5 points and failed to cover the spread. Dallas also came up short of the over/under line of 214.5 points by 18.5 points. P.J. Washington led the Mavericks with 21 points and 12 rebounds. Luka Doncic had 18 points, 10 assists, and 12 rebounds.

Mavericks Offense Breakdown

Dallas comes into the game as the league’s 4th best three-point shooting team in terms of makes at 14.6 made threes per game. Overall, they have hit 36% of their shots from downtown, which is 15th in the NBA. The team’s overall field goal percentage of 48% is 11th best in the league.

Luka Doncic is averaging 23.2 points per game over his last five games despite shooting just 37.9% from the field and 25.6% from downtown. In that stretch, he also averaged 8.8 assists and 10 rebounds. P.J. Washington has averaged 20.2 points and 8 rebounds in his last five games while hitting 51.1% of his threes.

Thunder Offense Breakdown

oklahoma city thunder

Overall, the Thunder are the 3rd best scoring team in the league, at 120.1 points per game. Their average of 122.1 points per game at home is the 2nd best mark in the NBA. Looking at their pace, the Thunder are 11th in the league, averaging 99.7 possessions per game.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has been carrying the Thunder offense of late, averaging 30.2 points per game over his last five games. Jalen Williams has averaged 18.4 points and 5.4 assists in his last five games. Chet Holmgren is averaging 16.5 points and 7.9 rebounds for the season.

Mavericks Team Defense

When it comes to points allowed per game this season, the Mavericks are 17th in the league at 114.3. On the road, they are giving up 115.0 points per contest, which is also 16th in the NBA.

Over their last five games, Dallas has been even better on the defensive end, ranking 9th in points allowed at 105.8.

For the year, opponents have made 62.2% of their three-point attempts vs. the Mavericks, which is slightly above their season average.

Thunder Team Defense

When it comes to defense, the Thunder have been one of the best units in the league this season. They are currently 9th in the NBA in points allowed per game, giving up just 111.2 points per contest. Oklahoma City has been particularly stingy at home, where they are 7th in the league, allowing just 109.2 points per game.

One area where the Thunder have excelled is in steals and blocked shots. They are currently 1st in the NBA in both categories. Over their last five games, the Thunder have been even better on the defensive end, ranking 1st in field goal percentage allowed, 1st in two-point percentage allowed, and 11th in three-point percentage allowed.

Throughout the season, opponents have scored less than their season average in 65.9% of games vs. the Thunder. However, teams have made more threes than their season average vs. Oklahoma City in 58.5% of games.

Key Players For The Mavericks And Thunder

Our game forecasts for today suggest that Luka Doncic is set to be the main scorer for the Mavericks, recording 33 points and shooting 11/24 from the field. For the season, he has been averaging 33.9 points per game, in addition to 9.2 rebounds.

On the opposing side, we anticipate Shai Gilgeous-Alexander to be the top scorer for the Thunder. Our projection has him finishing the game with 30, and he is expected to secure 6 rebounds. Throughout the season, he has maintained a 53.5% field goal shooting rate and is averaging 30.1 points per game.

Mavericks vs Thunder Trends

  • In their last five road games, Dallas has averaged 106 points per game while allowing 104 . The team’s record in this stretch was 3-2 while going 3-2 vs. the spread.
  • Across their last five home contests, Oklahoma City has been good against the spread posting a mark of 3-2. Their overall mark in these games was 4-1, while averaging 105 points per game.
  • Looking back on the team’s last ten games as the underdog, the Mavericks have a straight up record of 5-5. Their record vs the spread in these games was 7-3.
  • Spanning across their last ten games as the betting favorite, the Thunder have gone 8-2 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 9-1.

Mavericks vs Thunder Prediction

For a pick on the point-spread in this Thunder vs. Mavericks matchup, our bet is to grab the Mavericks at +4.5. Even though our projections have the Thunder winning 115-113, we see the Mavericks as the play on the point-spread.

As for the over/under, the the line is currently at 213, and our model projects the Mavericks and Thunder to reach a combined total of 228 points. Our bet is on taking the over.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.