Memphis Grizzlies vs Denver Nuggets -NBA Prediction

NBA Memphis vs Denver Nuggets Prediction 12/28/2023

The Memphis Grizzlies (10-19) travel to face off against the Denver Nuggets (22-10) on Thursday, December 28th. This game will be played at Ball Arena. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. Tip-off is set for 9:00 ET.

Grizzlies vs Nuggets

The Grizzlies Are Coming Off A Win

In their latest game against the Pelicans, Ja Morant was the top scorer for the Grizzlies’ offense, scoring 31 points and shooting 12/24 from the field. The Grizzlies picked up a 116-115 win, and Desmond Bane also added 27 points which was 2nd on the team.

Heading into today’s game, the Grizzlies are looking to build on their four-game winning streak and have an overall record of 10-19. On the road, the Grizzlies are 8-8 this season, compared to 2-11 at home.

Memphis comes in with an overall ATS record of 13-16 so far this season. Memphis has covered the spread in three consecutive road games, while maintaining an ATS record of 9-7 on the road as opposed to 4-9 at home.

The Nuggets Are Coming Off A Win

The Nuggets took down the Warriors in their most recent game with a final score of 120-114. The Nuggets were favored by -7.5 heading into the game, but their 6 point victory failed to cover the spread. Regarding the over/under, the combined score of 234 points ended up below the over/under line of 235.5.

The Nuggets, who are 3rd in the Western Conference, are looking to add to their 22-10 overall record and extend their five game winning streak. In the Northwest division, the Nuggets are also in 3rd place.

Denver comes in with an overall ATS record of 14-17 so far this season. The Nuggets have suffered two consecutive ATS losses when playing as underdogs, and they are 13-15 against the spread when they are the favorites.

Grizzlies Offense Breakdown

Memphis has recorded an average of 107.3 points per game (30th) throughout 29 games games. The Grizzlies come into the game as one of the league’s better 3-point shooting teams, connecting at a rate of 12.9 made 3’s per game. Despite shooting the ball well from outside, Memphis has not done a good job taking care of the ball. So far, they are averaging 14.2 turnovers per game.

Nuggets Offense Breakdown

The Nuggets come into today’s game as the 15th ranked scoring offense at 115.1 points per game. So far, the Nuggets are averaging 96.5 possessions per game, which places them below the NBA average. So far, the Nuggets offensive game plan has revolved around working the ball inside, as despite being a below-average team in pace they are 2nd in made 2-point field goals per game.

Grizzlies Team Defense

This season, the Grizzlies’ defense is the 11th ranked defense in the NBA at 11th PPG. So far, they have held opposing offenses below the NBA scoring average in 62.1% of their games. Inside the arc, the Grizzlies defense is giving up a shooting percentage of 51.1% and 38.5% from three-point territory.

Nuggets Team Defense

On defense, the Nuggets come into the game ranked 4th in the league in points allowed at 110.2 per game. Over their last three games, the team is allowing 108.7 points per contest (14th). The Denver defense has allowed opponents to shoot 35.6% from beyond the arc this season. Opposing teams are also hitting 46.1% of their field goal attempts vs. Denver.

Key Players For The Grizzlies And Nuggets

In today’s game, our projections have Desmond Bane leading the Grizzlies with 17 points on 6/13 shooting from the field. Throughout this season, his average stands at 25.2 points per game, along with 4.5 rebounds.

On the opposing side, we anticipate Jamal Murray to be the top scorer for the Nuggets. Our projection has him finishing the game with 17, and he is expected to secure 4 rebounds. This season, he has put together a field goal percentage of 47%, and he is contributing 19.8 points per game on average.

Grizzlies vs Nuggets Trends

  • Across the Grizzlies last ten road games, the team averaged 110 points per game while allowing 111. Their record vs the spread in these contests was 7-3, while going 6-4 straight-up.
  • The Nuggets are 4-1 ATS in their last home games and 5-0 straight-up.
  • Through their last five games as the underdog, the Grizzlies have an ATS record of 3-2 and a straight up mark of 3-2.
  • Spanning across their last ten games as the betting favorite, the Nuggets have gone 6-4 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 8-2.


Grizzlies vs Nuggets Prediction


For a point-spread wager in this Nuggets vs. Nuggets game, we suggest taking the Grizzlies at +7. Even though our predictions have the Nuggets winning 107-102, we see the Grizzlies as the better choice on the point-spread.

As for the over/under, the the line is currently at 224.5, and our model projects the Grizzlies and Nuggets to reach a combined total of 209 points. Our bet is on taking the under.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.