Memphis Grizzlies vs New Orleans Pelicans - NBA Prediction

NBA Memphis vs New Orleans Pelicans Prediction 12/26/2023

The Memphis Grizzlies (9-19) travel to face off against the New Orleans Pelicans (17-13) on Tuesday, December 26th. This game will be played at Smoothie King Center. The Grizzlies are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Pelicans are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Hawks. Tip-off is set for 8:00 ET.

Grizzlies vs Pelicans

The Grizzlies Are Coming Off A Win

The Grizzlies took down the Hawks in their most recent game with a final score of 125-119. Before the game, the Grizzlies were the underdogs with a +1.5 point advantage, securing both a straight-up and ATS victory. The over/under line heading into this matchup was 237 points in which the two teams surpassed.

In their last ten games, the Grizzlies are 4-6 and have an overall record of 9-19. As of now, they are 13th in the Western Conference and 4th in the Southwest division.

Memphis comes in with an overall ATS record of 12-16 so far this season. When playing on the road, the Grizzlies hold an ATS record of 8-7 in contrast to a 4-9 record against the spread when playing at home.

The Pelicans Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

In their most recent game, the Pelicans tell to the Rockets by a score of 106-104. The Pelicans not only lost the game but also failed to cover the spread as -7.5 point favorites. Considering the over/under, the total of 210 points fell short of the set over/under line of 225.

So far, the Pelicans have a 17-13 record and are 1-2 in their last three games. When playing against Western Conference teams, the Pelicans are 11-11 compared to a 6-2 record in non-conference games.

Against the spread, New Orleans have an above .500 record vs. the spread sitting at 17-13 ATS. New Orleans has gone 8-8 against the spread this season when they are the favorites, and they are 9-5 when playing as underdogs.

Grizzlies Offense Breakdown

The Grizzlies come into today’s game as the 30th ranked scoring offense at 107 points per game. When looking at the team’s pace of play, the Grizzlies are currently below the league average in possessions per game, averaging just 98.8 per contest. If the Grizzlies offense is going to turn things around, they will need to either generate more possessions or improve their overall efficiency. Currently, they are just 28th ranked team in 3-point shooting percentage.

Pelicans Offense Breakdown

New Orleans has recorded an average of 115.7 points per game (13th) throughout 30 games games. So far, the Pelicans are averaging 99 possessions per game, which places them below the NBA average. Not only does the team’s offense play at a slower pace, but they their overall lack of efficiency has them ranked 15th in made field goals per game.

Grizzlies Team Defense

This season, the Grizzlies defense has been impressive, holding the 9 position in the league while permitting an average of 112.4 points per contest.

In terms of two point field goal attempts, the Grizzlies defense has allowed a shooting percentage of 51.2% while allowing 38.7% from downtown.

Pelicans Team Defense

So far, the Pelicans’ defense is ranked 13 in the league at 113.3 points per contest.

The Pelicans defense is coming off a game in which they held the Rockets offense to just 46.3% shooting. Overall, they gave up 106 points to Houston.

Key Players For The Grizzlies And Pelicans

Our projections for today’s game indicate that Desmond Bane will be the primary scorer for the Grizzlies, with 16 points and going 6/13 from the field. Throughout this season, his average stands at 25.1 points per game, along with 4.5 rebounds.

On the other side, Brandon Ingram is our projected leading scorer for the Pelicans. We have him ending the game with a team-high 16 and grabbing 3 rebounds. For the season, he has a field goal percentage of 50.1% and is averaging 23.1 points per contest.

Grizzlies vs Pelicans Trends

  • Across their last five road contests, Memphis has been good against the spread posting a mark of 3-2. Their overall mark in these games was 3-2, while averaging 111 points per game.
  • When looking at their past ten home matchups, New Orleans has an ATS record of 5-5 while averaging 118 per game. The team went 6-4 overall in these games.
  • In their last three games as the betting underdog, the Grizzlies have a strong straight up record of 2-1. In addition, their ATS record was 2-1 in these scenarios.
  • As the betting favorite, the Pelicans have an ATS mark of just 6-4 in their last ten games. New Orleans posted a straight up mark of 7-3 in these matchups.


Grizzlies vs Pelicans Prediction


We’re putting our money on the Pelicans to win, and have the projected score sitting at 117-102. We also like them to cover the spread, so our recommendation is to bet on the Pelicans at -4.5.

As for the total, the line is currently sitting at 229 and our model has the Grizzlies and Pelicans finishing with a combined 219 points. Our pick is to take the under.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.