The Miami Heat (6-4) travel to face off against the Charlotte Hornets (3-6) on Tuesday, November 14th. This game will be played at Spectrum Center in Spectrum Center and televised on BSSE. The Heat are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Hornets are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Spurs. Tip-off is set for 7:00 ET.
Heat vs Hornets
The Heat Are Coming Off A Win
In their last game, the Heat defeated the Spurs with a final score of 118-113. The Heat picked up the win despite trailing going into halftime 53-50.
Coming into today’s matchup, the Heat is focused on adding to their five game winning streak, with an overall record of 6-4. At the moment, the team holds 4th place in the Eastern Conference and 1st place in the Southeast division.
Miami currently has an ATS record below .500, sitting at 4-6 at this point. As the favorite this season, Miami is 2-4 vs. the spread while going 2-2 as the underdog.
The Hornets Look To Bounce Back From A Loss
Charlotte’s most recently played the Knicks and lost with a final score of 129-107. Alongside their straight-up loss, the Hornets couldn’t cover as +10.5 point underdogs. The over/under line for this matchup was set at 224.5 points, and the teams managed to exceed that total.
Today, the Hornets are entering the action with an overall record of 3-6 and have achieved a 0-3 record over their last three games. Across nine games, the Hornets have a 3-4 record when facing Eastern Conference teams, and they have a 0-2 record in non-conference games.
So far, Charlotte’s ATS record is below .500 at 4-5. Charlotte has gone 0-2 against the spread this season when they are the favorites, and they are 4-3 when playing as underdogs.
Heat Offense Breakdown
In 10 games games, Miami has an average of 109.5 points per game (25th). Coming into today’s game, the Heat will be looking to improve their 3-point shooting numbers, as they are averaging just 12.2 made 3’s per game. If the Miami offense is going to turn things around, not only do they need to improve their outside shooting but they must do a better job protecting the ball. Currently, they are averaging 13.7 turnovers per game.
Hornets Offense Breakdown
For the season, the Charlotte offense is the 6th ranked unit in the NBA, at 116.1 points per contest. In terms of pace, the Hornets are one of the top units in the NBA, averaging 101.3 possessions per game. Although their effective field goal percentage in the NBA stands lower at just 52%, the team’s up-tempo style of play has helped them make up for their below average shooting numbers.
Heat Team Defense
Coming into today’s game, the Heat’s defense is giving up an average of 110.3 points per contest.
In the terms of takeaways, Heat are causing 13.7 turnovers per game, ranking 13th in the league. They also enter the matchup ranked 28th in rejections, averaging 3.7 blocked shots each game.
Hornets Team Defense
Facing Miami, the Hornets aims for a better defensive performance, given their current average of 123.1 points allowed per game (29th).
When it comes to forced turnovers, the Hornets are forcing 13.8 per game, which is 14th in the league. They also come into the game sitting 16th in blocked shots at 5.3 per game.
Key Players For The Heat And Hornets
For today’s matchup, we project Bam Adebayo to lead the scoring for the Heat, putting up 17 points and shooting at a rate of 6/12. For the season, he has been averaging 23.2 points per game, in addition to 10.4 rebounds.
On the other side, LaMelo Ball is our projected leading scorer for the Hornets. We have him ending the game with a team-high 18 and grabbing 5 rebounds. For the season, he has a field goal percentage of 43% and is averaging 21.6 points per contest.
Heat vs Hornets Trends
- When looking at their past five road matchups, Miami has an ATS record of 3-2 while averaging 109 per game. The team went 3-2 overall in these games.
- When looking at their past five home matchups, Charlotte has an ATS record of 3-2 while averaging 118 per game. The team went 2-3 overall in these games.
- Looking back on the team’s last three games as the underdog, the Hornets have a straight up record of 1-2. Their record vs the spread in these games was 2-1.
- Spanning across their last ten games as the betting favorite, the Heat have gone 4-6 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 8-2.
Not only do we have the Heat winning this one by a score of 111-106, but we see them covering the spread. Our pick is to grab the Heat at -3.5.
Right now, the over/under line for the game is sitting at 225 and given that our model is projecting 217 points between the teams, we like the under.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
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