Miami Heat vs Cleveland Cavaliers NBA Betting Prediction

NBA Miami Heat vs Cleveland Cavaliers Prediction 3/20/2024

The Miami Heat (37-31) travel to face off against the Cleveland Cavaliers (43-25) on Wednesday, March 20th. This game will be played at Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse in Cleveland and televised on BSOH. The Cavaliers are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Heat are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Pacers. Tip-off is set for 7:00 ET.

Heat vs Cavaliers

miami heat nba

The Heat Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

Terry Rozier scored 20 for Miami against the 76ers which was the most on the team. His field goal percentage for the game was 39.3%. Bam Adebayo added 20 points, but unfortunately, Miami was defeated in the game with a score of 98-91.

Over their last ten games, the Heat are 4-6 and come into today’s game against the Cavaliers with an overall record of 37-31. In Eastern Conference play, the Heat are 25-18 and have gone 12-13 against non-conference opponents.

For this season, Miami has an ATS record of 31-34, along with an ongoing two game losing streak against the spread. The Heat have two straight ATS losses as the underdog and are 16-19 vs. the spread as the favorite.

The Cavaliers Are Coming Off A Win

The Cavaliers notched a win against the Pacers in their most recent game, concluding with a score of 108-103. The first half ended in a tie, but the Cavaliers won the second half, outscoring the Pacers 54-49.

As of now, the Cavaliers hold a 43-25 record and are 3rd in the Eastern Conference. In the Central Division, they are in 2nd place. Over their last five games, they have gone 2-3.

Cleveland has an overall ATS record of 34-32 as they come into today’s game. As the favorite this season, Cleveland is 21-23 vs. the spread while going 13-9 as the underdog.

Heat Offense Breakdown

The Heat come into today’s game as the 27th ranked scoring offense at 109.8 points per game.

When it comes to scoring, the Heat have been below the NBA scoring average in 63.2% of their games this season. Overall, they are 27th in the league in scoring at 109.8 points per game. On the road, Miami is averaging 107.1 points per game.

So far, the Heat have made 12.2 three-pointers per game (20th) while shooting 37% from beyond the arc (11th). In terms of overall field goal percentage, Miami is 23rd in the league at 46%.

When it comes to pace, the Heat are 29th in the NBA. In terms of assists, Miami is 20th in the league at 25.7 per game. In terms of free throws, the Heat are 10th in the NBA in free throws made per game (18.2) and 13th in free throw attempts (22.4).

Cavaliers Offense Breakdown

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Through 68 games the Cavaliers are averaging 113.5 points per contest, placing them 19th in the NBA.

When playing at home, the Cavaliers are averaging 114.5 points per game, which is 17th in the league. Overall, they are 19th in scoring at 113.5 points per game. In terms of pace, Cleveland is 20th in the NBA.

So far this season, the Cavaliers have outscored the NBA scoring average in 44.1% of their games. In terms of field goal percentage, they are 13th in the league at 47%. However, they are just 24th in free throw attempts per game.

When it comes to three-point shooting, Cleveland is 6th in the NBA in three-pointers made per game. However, they are just 16th in three-point shooting percentage. In terms of assists, the Cavaliers are 10th in the league.

Heat Team Defense

At this time, the Heat’s defense is positioned 4th in the NBA, permitting 109.3 points per game. Opponents are hitting 55.1% of their two-point field goal attempts this season, and they’re also connecting on 36.2% of their three-point attempts.

Cavaliers Team Defense

On defense, the Cavaliers come into the game ranked 6th in the league in points allowed at 109.5 per game. Over their last three games, the team is allowing 105 points per contest (12th). When it comes to forced turnovers, the Cavaliers are forcing 12.6 per game, which is 16th in the league. They also come into the game sitting 19th in blocked shots at 4.9 per game.

Key Players For The Heat And Cavaliers

In today’s game, our projections have Terry Rozier leading the Heat with 20 points on 7/17 shooting from the field. Throughout this season, his average stands at 19.9 points per game, along with 4.2 rebounds.

As for Cleveland, Darius Garland is projected to be the primary scorer for the Cavaliers. Our forecast has him finishing the game with 18, and adding 2 rebounds. For the season, he has a field goal percentage of 45.4% and is averaging 18.7 points per contest.

Heat vs Cavaliers Trends

  • Across their five previous road games, Miami has an ATS mark of 2-3. Their straight up record in these matchups was 2-3 while averaging 102 points per game.
  • The Cavaliers are 2-1 ATS in their last three home games and 2-1 straight-up.
  • In their last five games as the betting underdog, the Heat have a straight up record of 0-5 and an ATS mark of 2-3.
  • Going back to their last three games as the favorite, the Cavaliers have a straight up record of 1-2. But, their mark vs the spread was just 1-2.

Heat vs Cavaliers Prediction

The Cavaliers is our pick to not only win with a projected score of 114-109. But we also favor them to cover the spread. Our bet is on the Cavaliers at -2.5.

As for the total, the line is currently sitting at 202 and our model has the Heat and Cavaliers finishing with a combined 223 points. Our pick is to take the over.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.