Miami Heat vs Denver Nuggets NBA Betting Prediction

NBA Miami Heat vs Denver Nuggets Prediction 2/29/2024

The Miami Heat (33-25) travel to face off against the Denver Nuggets (40-19) on Thursday, February 29th. This game will be played at Ball Arena in Denver and televised on TNT. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. Tip-off is set for 10:00 ET.

Heat vs Nuggets

miami heat nba

The Heat Are Coming Off A Win

The Heat’s most recent matchup against the Trail Blazers saw Jimmy Butler lead the Heat with 22 points while shooting 7/12 from the field. Terry Rozier also added 19 points as the Heat won the game by a score of 106-96.

Coming into today’s game, the Heat are looking to build on their five game winning streak. Overall, they are 33-25 and have gone 22-16 against Eastern Conference opponents while going 11-9 in non-conference games.

Miami has an overall ATS record of 28-27 for the season so far. On the road, the Heat have an ATS record of 16-11 compared to a 12-16 record vs. the spread at home.

The Nuggets Are Coming Off A Win

The Nuggets won vs. the Kings in their most recent game, ending with a score of 117-96. In addition to their straight-up win, the Nuggets also covered the spread as -9.5-point favorites. Concerning the over/under, the total of 213 points remained below the established over/under line of 228.

Coming into today’s game, the Nuggets are 40-19 overall and have won four straight. In their 59 games, the Nuggets have gone 23-13 vs. Western Conference teams and are 17-6 in non-conference play.

Denver currently has an ATS record below .500, sitting at 26-31 at this point. When playing on the road, the Nuggets hold an ATS record of 12-18 in contrast to a 14-13 record against the spread when playing at home.

Heat Offense Breakdown

Miami has recorded an average of 110.6 points per game (27th) throughout 58 games games.

On the season, the Miami Heat are 27th in the NBA in scoring at 110.6 points per game. However, they have been better at home where they are averaging 113.1 points compared to 108.3 on the road.

When it comes to three-point shooting, Miami is 7th in the league at 37%. They are also 7th in free throw attempts at 22.9 per game. In terms of pace, the Heat are 28th in the NBA.

So far this season, Miami has outscored the NBA average in just 34.5% of their games. In terms of field goal percentage, the Heat are 24th in the league at 46%.

Nuggets Offense Breakdown

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This season, the Denver offense is ranked 17th in the NBA in scoring at 114.6 points per game.

At home, the Nuggets are averaging 119.0 points per game, which is 9th in the NBA. Overall, they are 17th in scoring at 114.6 points per game. In terms of pace, Denver is 29th in the league.

When it comes to shooting, the Nuggets are 6th in field goal percentage at 49%. However, they are just 15th in three-point shooting at 36%. In terms of free throws, Denver is 29th in both attempts and makes.

So far this season, the Nuggets have outscored the league average in 47.5% of their games. In terms of assists, they are 5th in the NBA.

Heat Team Defense

Currently, the Heat’s defense holds the 3rd rank in the NBA, allowing 109.9 points per game. In terms of two point field goal attempts, the Heat defense has allowed a shooting percentage of 55.3% while allowing 36.4% from downtown.

Nuggets Team Defense

Coming into today’s game, the Nuggets’ defense is giving up an average of 110.4 points per contest. Inside the arc, the Nuggets defense is giving up a shooting percentage of 52.5% and 36.2% from three-point territory.

Key Players For The Heat And Nuggets

Our game forecasts for today suggest that Terry Rozier is set to be the main scorer for the Heat, recording 20 points and shooting 7/17 from the field. Throughout this season, his average stands at 20.5 points per game, along with 4 rebounds.

As for Denver, Nikola Jokic is projected to be the primary scorer for the Nuggets. Our forecast has him finishing the game with 26, and adding 12 rebounds. Throughout the season, he has maintained a 58.3% field goal shooting rate and is averaging 25.9 points per game.

Heat vs Nuggets Trends

  • The Heat are 3-0 ATS in their three last road games and 3-0 straight-up.
  • In their last three home games, Denver has averaged 113 points per game while allowing 109. The team’s record in this stretch was 2-1 while going 2-1 vs. the spread.
  • Miami has done well both straight up and vs the spread as the underdog, going 4-1 SU and 4-1 ATS in their last five games.
  • Through their last five games as the favorite, the Nuggets have an ATS record of 4-1 and a straight up mark of 4-1.

Heat vs Nuggets Prediction

The Nuggets is our pick to not only win with a projected score of 123-114. But we also favor them to cover the spread. Our bet is on the Nuggets at -4.5.

Right now, the over/under line for the game is sitting at 214.5 and given that our model is projecting 237 points between the teams, we like the over.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.