The Miami Heat (4-5) travel to face off against the Detroit Pistons (4-7) on Tuesday, November 12th. This game will be played at Little Caesars Arena in Detroit and televised on FDSD. The Heat are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Pistons are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Pistons. Tip-off is set for 7:00 ET.
Heat vs Pistons
The Heat Are Coming Off A Win
Miami improved to 4-5 on the season with a narrow 95-94 win over the Timberwolves on Sunday. The Heat, who were +7 point underdogs, not only won but also covered the spread. The game’s total points of 189 fell well short of the 219 O/U line.
Miami started strong, leading 27-20 after the 1st quarter, but Minnesota responded with an 11-0 run and took control. The Heat entered the 4th quarter down 71-68 but outscored the Timberwolves 27-23 in the final period to complete the comeback.
The Pistons Are Coming Off A Win
The Pistons fell to 4-7 on the season after a 101-99 loss to the Rockets on Sunday. Detroit was +4 point underdogs at home and managed to cover the spread, but the combined score of 200 points fell short of the 218.5 O/U line.
Houston went on an 11-0 run early, but Detroit battled back, outscoring the Rockets 28-23 in the 2nd quarter. The Pistons struggled in the 3rd, getting outscored 29-19, but made a push in the 4th, putting up 35 points to Houston’s 29.
Heat Offense Breakdown
In their 95-94 win over the Timberwolves, the Heat’s offense struggled, shooting 44.2% from the field and hitting 11 threes at a 35.5% rate, both below average. Tyler Herro led the way with 26 points, 6 rebounds, and 4 made threes, shooting 60% overall and 50% from deep.
Nikola Jovic added 15 points and 7 rebounds, also hitting 50% from three, while Terry Rozier contributed 11 points. Herro was key in the 4th quarter, scoring 11 points, with Jovic adding 7 and Rozier 5 in the final period.
Pistons Offense Breakdown
Cade Cunningham led the Pistons with 26 points, 9 assists, and 8 rebounds in their 99-point effort against the Rockets, shooting 47.6% from the field and hitting 2 threes at a 50% rate. Isaiah Stewart added 16 points on 77.8% shooting, while Malik Beasley contributed 15 points, knocking down 4 threes at 44.4%.
Detroit shot 42.9% from the field and 32.4% from three, making 11 threes in the game. Beasley scored 10 of his 15 points in the 4th quarter, while Cunningham added 6 points in both the 3rd and 4th quarters.
Heat Team Defense
The Heat’s defense was key in their 95-94 win over the Timberwolves, holding Minnesota to 94 points on 39% shooting. Miami’s defense was especially strong in the 1st and 3rd quarters, where they allowed just 20 points in each.
From beyond the arc, the Heat limited the Timberwolves to 28% shooting, with Minnesota making 13 threes. Miami also recorded 14 steals and 9 blocks in the game.
Pistons Team Defense
The Heat’s defense was strong in their win over the Timberwolves, holding them to 94 points. Miami gave up 31 points in the 2nd quarter but limited Minnesota to 20 points in both the 1st and 3rd quarters. The Heat held the Timberwolves to 39% shooting from the field.
From beyond the arc, the Heat allowed 13 threes on 28% shooting. Minnesota also went 11/13 from the free-throw line. Defensively, Miami recorded 14 steals and 9 blocks.
Heat vs Pistons Trends
- In their last five road games, Miami has averaged 112 points per game while allowing 109 . The team’s record in this stretch was 3-2 while going 4-1 vs. the spread.
- When looking at their past five home matchups, Detroit has an ATS record of 3-2 while averaging 103 per game. The team went 2-3 overall in these games.
- In their last ten games as the betting underdog, the Pistons have a straight up record of 3-7 and an ATS mark of 6-4.
- Through their last five matchups as the betting favorite, the Heat have a good straight up record, but their ATS mark is just 2-3.
Heat vs Pistons Prediction
Not only do we have the Heat winning this one by a score of 132-127, but we see them covering the spread. Our pick is to grab the Heat at -1.5.
As for the over/under, the the line is currently at 216, and our model projects the Heat and Pistons to reach a combined total of 259 points. Our bet is on taking the over.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:November 12, 2024 Heat, Pistons