Miami Heat vs Detroit Pistons NBA Betting Prediction

NBA Miami Heat vs Detroit Pistons Prediction 3/17/2024

The Miami Heat (36-30) travel to face off against the Detroit Pistons (12-54) on Sunday, March 17th. This game will be played at Little Caesars Arena in Detroit and televised on BSDE. The Heat are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Pistons are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Pistons. Tip-off is set for 3:00 ET.

Heat vs Pistons

miami heat nba

The Heat Are Coming Off A Win

The Heat beat the Pistons in their most recent game, ending with a score of 108-95. The Heat not only won the game but also covered the spread as -7.5-point favorites. In terms of the over/under, the combined 203 points was below the over/under line of 217.5.

In their last five games, the Heat are 1-4 and have a 36-30 overall record. In the Eastern Conference, the Heat are 8th and are 2nd in the Southeast Division.

So far, Miami’s ATS record is below .500 at 31-32. The Heat maintain an ATS record of 19-12 on the road, while they have a 12-20 record vs. the spread when playing at home.

The Pistons Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

The Pistons will look to bounce back from a defeat in their last game, losing to the Heat with a final score of 108-95. In addition to their straight-up loss, the Pistons couldn’t cover the spread as +7.5 point underdogs. Regarding the over/under, the combined score of 203 points ended up below the over/under line of 217.5.

So far this season, the Pistons have gone 12-54 overall and are 2-1 in their last three games. In conference play, they are 9-32 compared to 3-22 against non-conference opponents.

Presently, Detroit boasts an ATS record of 33-32, which is above .500 against the spread. With a two game ATS win streak as favorites, the Pistons are 30-28 against the spread when they are underdogs.

Heat Offense Breakdown

The Heat come into today’s game as the 27th ranked scoring offense at 110.1 points per game.

So far this season, the Miami Heat have been one of the better three-point shooting teams in the league. They are currently 10th in three-point shooting percentage at 37%. On average, the Heat make 12.2 three-pointers per game, which is 19th in the NBA.

When it comes to scoring, the Heat are 27th in the league at 110.1 points per game. However, their scoring numbers are slightly better on the road (107.7 PPG) compared to at home (112.7 PPG).

Overall, Miami’s field goal percentage is 22nd in the NBA at 46%. In terms of pace, the Heat are 29th in the league at 96 possessions per game.

Pistons Offense Breakdown

detroit pistons

In 66 games games, Detroit has an average of 112.1 points per game (22nd).

At home this season, the Pistons are 25th in the NBA in scoring at 111.6 points per game. Overall, Detroit is 22nd in the league in scoring at 112.1 points per contest. In terms of pace, they are 7th in the NBA at 100.2 possessions per game. In terms of field goal percentage, the Pistons are 19th in the league at 47%.

When it comes to three-point shooting, Detroit is 21st in the league at 35%. They are also 29th in the NBA in three-pointers made per game at 11.3. In terms of free throws, the Pistons are 14th in the league in attempts at 22.2 per contest.

Coming into this game, the Pistons have outscored the NBA scoring average in just 31.8% of their games. In terms of assists, Detroit is 17th in the league at 26.3 per game. Finally, the Pistons are 11th in offensive rebounds at 11 per contest.

Heat Team Defense

Not only do the Heat’s overall defensive numbers look good, as they are 5th in the league in points allowed. Miami has also been playing well on defense of late, ranking 2nd in the league over their last three games at 101.7 PPG allowed. In the terms of takeaways, Heat are causing 12 turnovers per game, ranking 7th in the league. They also enter the matchup ranked 30th in rejections, averaging 3.5 blocked shots each game.

Pistons Team Defense

The Pistons’ defense is presently ranked 26th in the league, allowing an average of 120.3 points per contest. When it comes to defending inside the arc, the Pistons squad is permitting opposing teams to shoot at a clip of 55.7% inside the arc, and they’re also giving up 37.3% from downtown.

Key Players For The Heat And Pistons

Our projections for today’s game indicate that Terry Rozier will be the primary scorer for the Heat, with 20 points and going 7/16 from the field. This season, he is averaging 20 points per game along with 4.1 boards.

On the other side, Cade Cunningham is our projected leading scorer for the Pistons. We have him ending the game with a team-high 22 and grabbing 4 rebounds. This season, he is shooting at a field goal percentage of 45%, and his scoring average is 22.3 points per game.

Heat vs Pistons Trends

  • Across their last three road contests, Miami has a 2-1 record vs the spread. Their overall mark in these games was 1-2, while averaging 105 points per game.
  • Detroit has a 1-4 record in their last five home games. In this stretch, they averaged 106 points per game while allowing 113. The team also performed well vs the spread at 3-2.
  • In their last ten games as the betting underdog, the Pistons have a straight up record of 2-8 and an ATS mark of 5-5.
  • Going back to their last ten games as the favorite, the Heat have a straight up record of 8-2. But, their mark vs the spread was just 5-4-1.

Heat vs Pistons Prediction

For a point-spread bet in this Heat vs. Pistons matchup, we’re leaning towards the Pistons at +6.5. Although our projections show the Heat winning 112-110, we suggest placing your bet on the Pistons for the point-spread.

Regarding the over/under, the current line is set at 215, and our model predicts the Heat and Pistons to score a combined 222 points. We recommend betting on the over.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.