Miami Heat vs Houston Rockets NBA Betting Prediction

NBA Miami Heat vs Houston Rockets Prediction 4/5/2024

The Miami Heat (42-34) travel to face off against the Houston Rockets (38-38) on Friday, April 5th. This game will be played at Toyota Center in Houston and televised on Spac. Both the Heat and Rockets will be looking to bounce back from losses in their previous games. Tip off is scheduled for 8:00 ET.

Heat vs Rockets

miami heat nba

The Heat Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

In their latest game against the 76ers, Terry Rozier was the top scorer for the Heat’s offense, scoring 22 points and shooting 7/20 from the field. While Jimmy Butler was 2nd on the team with 20 points, Miami fell short in the game with a final score of 109-105.

Coming into today’s game against the Rockets, the Heat are 42-34 overall and have gone 2-1 in their last three games. In the Eastern Conference, they are currently in 7th place and hold the 2nd spot in the Southeast division.

Miami has an overall ATS record of 36-37 for the season so far. When playing on the road, the Heat hold an ATS record of 21-14 in contrast to a 15-23 record against the spread when playing at home.

The Rockets Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

Houston’s most recently played the Warriors and lost with a final score of 133-110. In addition to their straight-up loss, the Rockets couldn’t cover the spread as +3 point underdogs. The over/under line for this matchup was set at 227.5 points, and the teams managed to exceed that total.

The Rockets are 2-3 in their last five games and have an overall record of 38-38. This season, the Rockets are 12-25 on the road and 26-13 at home.

Houston comes in with an overall ATS record of 43-32 so far this season. On the road, the Rockets have an ATS record of 16-20 compared to a 27-12 record vs. the spread at home.

Heat Offense Breakdown

Miami has recorded an average of 109.8 points per game (27th) throughout 76 games games.

This season, the Heat have been a below-average offensive team, ranking 27th in the league in scoring at 109.8 points per game. On the road, Miami is averaging 107.4 points per game.

So far, the Heat have outscored the NBA scoring average in just 36.8% of their games. They are currently on a two-game streak of scoring less than their season average.

In terms of pace, Miami is 29th in the league at 95.7 possessions per game. When it comes to field goal percentage, the Heat are 24th in the NBA at 46%. In terms of two-point shooting, Miami is 28th in the league at 52%.

Rockets Offense Breakdown

houston rockets

This season, the Houston offense is ranked 16th in the NBA in scoring at 114 points per game.

At home, the Rockets are scoring 116.3 points per game, which is 13th in the NBA. Overall, they are 16th in scoring at 114 points per game. In terms of pace, Houston is 14th in the league at 99.1 possessions per game.

So far this season, the Rockets have scored below the NBA scoring average in 57.9% of their games. In terms of field goal percentage, Houston is 26th at 45%. From three-point range, they are 23rd in the league at 35%.

When it comes to free throws, the Rockets are 6th in attempts at 23.4 per game. Overall, they are 9th in free throws made at 18.1 per game. In terms of assists, Houston is 27th in the NBA at 24.6 per game.

Heat Team Defense

In the current season, the Heat defense has excelled, sitting 4th in the NBA by allowing 108.4 points per game. Opponents are hitting 55.3% of their two-point field goal attempts this season, and they’re also connecting on 35.9% of their three-point attempts.

Rockets Team Defense

At present, the Rockets’ defense is ranked 11th, allowing 112.8 points per game. The Houston defense has allowed opponents to shoot 34.7% from beyond the arc this season. Opposing teams are also hitting 46.4% of their field goal attempts vs. Houston.

Key Players For The Heat And Rockets

Our game forecasts for today suggest that Jimmy Butler is set to be the main scorer for the Heat, recording 21 points and shooting 7/13 from the field. For the season, he has been averaging 20.9 points per game, in addition to 5.3 rebounds.

On the other side, Jalen Green is our projected leading scorer for the Rockets. We have him ending the game with a team-high 20 and grabbing 5 rebounds. This season, he has put together a field goal percentage of 42.6%, and he is contributing 19.9 points per game on average.

Heat vs Rockets Trends

  • When looking at their past three road matchups, Miami has an ATS record of 2-1 while averaging 105 per game. The team went 2-1 overall in these games.
  • When looking at their past ten home matchups, Houston has an ATS record of 7-3 while averaging 113 per game. The team went 7-3 overall in these games.
  • Going back to their last three games as the underdog, the Rockets have a straight up record of 0-3. But, their mark vs the spread was just 1-2.
  • The Heat have played well in their last three games as the betting favorite, going 2-1 straight up and 2-1 against the spread.

Heat vs Rockets Prediction

We’re backing the Heat for a victory, with the projected score at 113-110. Additionally, we favor them to cover the spread, so we recommend placing a bet on the Heat at -2.5.

As for the total, the line is currently sitting at 214.5 and our model has the Heat and Rockets finishing with a combined 223 points. Our pick is to take the over.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.