Miami Heat vs Milwaukee Bucks NBA Betting Prediction

NBA Miami Heat vs Milwaukee Bucks Prediction 2/13/2024

The Miami Heat (28-25) travel to face off against the Milwaukee Bucks (35-19) on Tuesday, February 13th. This game will be played at Fiserv Forum in Milwaukee and televised on BSW. The Bucks are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Heat are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Nuggets. Tip-off is set for 8:00 ET.

Heat vs Bucks

miami heat nba

The Heat Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

The Heat’s most recent matchup against the Celtics saw Tyler Herro lead the Heat with 24 points while shooting 10/21 from the field. Bam Adebayo added 22 points, but unfortunately, Miami was defeated in the game with a score of 110-106.

Coming into today, the Heat are 28-25 overall and have gone 2-1 in their last three games. When playing Eastern Conference teams, the Heat are 20-16 compared to going 8-9 in non-conference games.

Miami comes in with an overall ATS record of 23-27 so far this season. With a two game ATS win streak as favorites, the Heat are 9-12 against the spread when they are underdogs.

The Bucks Are Coming Off A Win

In their most recent game, the Bucks took down the Nuggets by a score of 112-95. The start of the second half saw the Bucks in the lead, at 60-44.

With their current record of 35-19, the Bucks will be focused on extending their two game winning streak. When playing at home this season, the Bucks are 23-6 compared to their 12-13 record in away games.

The Bucks have successfully covered the spread in their last two games and hold an overall ATS record of 21-33. In their last two road games, Milwaukee has been unable to cover the spread, and they hold an ATS record of 9-16 on the road as opposed to 12-17 at home.

Heat Offense Breakdown

In 53 games games, Miami has an average of 110.4 points per game (27th).

When it comes to scoring, the Heat are 27th in the NBA at 110.4 points per game. On the road, they are averaging 107.4 points per game.

So far this season, the Heat have outscored the NBA average in just 34% of their games. In terms of field goal percentage, Miami is 27th in the league at 46%.

From beyond the arc, the Heat are 11th in three-point shooting at 37%. Overall, they are 28th in two-point field goal percentage at 51%.

Bucks Offense Breakdown

milwaukee bucks

The Bucks step onto the court for today’s game as one of the NBA’s top-scoring squads, putting up 122.7 points per game (2nd).

At 122.7 points per game, the Bucks are the 2nd highest-scoring team in the NBA this season. However, they have actually been even better at home, averaging 124.2 points per game.

So far, the Bucks have outscored the NBA scoring average in 72.2% of their games. In terms of pace, they are 4th in the league at 101.4 possessions per game.

Milwaukee’s offense has been efficient, ranking 4th in field goal percentage (49%) and 4th in true shooting percentage. They have also been one of the best teams at getting to the free-throw line, ranking 2nd in attempts.

Heat Team Defense

Not only do the Heat’s overall defensive numbers look good, as they are 4th in the league in points allowed. Miami has also been playing well on defense of late, ranking 15th in the league over their last three games at 103 PPG allowed. Inside the arc, the Heat defense is giving up a shooting percentage of 55.5% and 36.9% from three-point territory.

Bucks Team Defense

At present, the Bucks’ defense is ranked 23rd, allowing 118.9 points per game. So far this season, the Bucks’ defense has struggled with fouls, averaging 8th in fouls per contest. On average, opponents are getting to the line 22.9 times per game vs. Milwaukee.

Key Players For The Heat And Bucks

In today’s game, we anticipate Tyler Herro leading the scoring for the Heat, contributing 20 points while shooting 7/17 from the field. Throughout this season, his average stands at 21 points per game, along with 5.3 rebounds.

As for Milwaukee, Giannis Antetokounmpo is projected to be the primary scorer for the Bucks. Our forecast has him finishing the game with 31, and adding 12 rebounds. Throughout the season, he has maintained a 61.1% field goal shooting rate and is averaging 30.8 points per game.

Heat vs Bucks Trends

  • When looking at their past three road matchups, Miami has an ATS record of 0-2-1 while averaging 102 per game. The team went 1-2 overall in these games.
  • In their last ten games at home, the Bucks have a straight up record of 4-6 while going 1-9 vs the spread. The team’s offense averaged 115 points per game in these contests.
  • Going back to their previous three games as the underdog, Miami has an ATS mark of 1-2 while going 0-3 straight up.
  • Through their last five games as the favorite, the Bucks have an ATS record of 4-1 and a straight up mark of 4-1.

Heat vs Bucks Prediction

For today’s matchup we are recommending to take the Bucks to secure the win, with an expected final score of 125-97. When it comes to the spread, we believe they’ll cover at -8.

As for the total, the line is currently sitting at 225.5 and our model has the Heat and Bucks finishing with a combined 222 points. Our pick is to take the under.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.