Miami Heat vs New York Knicks NBA Betting Prediction

NBA: Miami Heat vs New York Knicks Prediction 1/27/2024

The Miami Heat (24-21) travel to face off against the New York Knicks (28-17) on Saturday, January 27th. This game will be played at Madison Square Garden in New York and televised on ABC. The Knicks are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Heat are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Nuggets. Tip-off is set for 3:00 ET.

Heat vs Knicks

miami heat nba

The Heat Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

Most recently, the Heat lost to the Celtics with a final score of 143-110. In addition to their straight-up loss, the Heat couldn’t cover the spread as +8 point underdogs. The over/under line heading into this matchup was 225 points in which the two teams surpassed.

Heading into their game against the Knicks, the Heat are 24-21 overall and are hoping to end a five game losing skid. They currently hold the 7th spot in the Eastern Conference and are in 1st place in the Southeast division.

Miami has an overall ATS record of 19-24 for the season so far. Miami has failed to cover the spread in three straight home games and are 8-14 ATS at home compared to 11-10 on the road.

Knicks Are Coming Off A Win

The Knicks’ most recent matchup against the Nuggets saw OG Anunoby lead the Knicks with 26 points while shooting 10/18 from the field. The Knicks picked up a 122-84 win, and Jalen Brunson also added 21 points which was 2nd on the team.

So far, the Knicks are 28-17 overall and have won their last five games. In the Eastern Conference, they are in 5th place and are 3rd in the Atlantic division.

New York has an overall ATS record of 27-18 for the season so far. New York has covered the spread in two straight road games and are 14-11 ATS on the road compared to 13-7 at home.

Heat Offense Breakdown

This season, the Miami offense is ranked 27th in the NBA in scoring at 110.5 points per game.

So far this season, the Miami Heat have struggled to score on the road, averaging just 107.2 points per game (29th). Overall, they are 27th in the league in scoring at 110.5 points per game.

When looking at their scoring average compared to the NBA average, the Heat have been below the league average in 64.4% of their games. They have also gone eight straight games without reaching their scoring average.

One area where Miami has been successful is getting to the free-throw line. They are 12th in free-throw attempts and 6th in made free throws at 19.2 per game.

Knicks Offense Breakdown

new york knicks

In 45 games games, New York has an average of 115.2 points per game (16th).

At 115.2 points per game, the Knicks are 16th in the NBA in scoring. When playing at home, they are averaging 114.2 points per game (20th).

So far this season, the Knicks have outscored the NBA scoring average in 51.1% of their games. In terms of field goal percentage, they are 20th in the league at 46%. In terms of pace, they are 28th at 96.6 possessions per game.

New York is 23rd in two-point field goal percentage (53%) and 23rd in assists at 24 per game. However, they are 4th in offensive rebounds.

Heat Team Defense

This season, the Heat defense has been impressive, holding the 7th position in the league while permitting an average of 111.3 points per contest. Inside the arc, the Heat defense is giving up a shooting percentage of 55.6% and 37.1% from three-point territory.

Knicks Team Defense

At this time, the Knicks’ defense is positioned 2nd in the NBA, permitting 109.8 points per game. On two point field goal attempts, the Knicks’ defensive unit is allowing a field goal percentage of 54.1% and allowing 35.6% from beyond the arc.

Key Players For The Heat And Knicks

Our projections for today’s game indicate that Jimmy Butler will be the primary scorer for the Heat, with 21 points and going 7/14 from the field. This season, he is averaging 20.7 points per game along with 4.9 boards.

On the flip side, our predictions place Jalen Brunson as the leading scorer for the Knicks. We expect him to conclude the game with a team-high 25 while also collecting 4 rebounds. Throughout the season, he has maintained a 47.8% field goal shooting rate and is averaging 26.5 points per game.

Heat vs Knicks Trends

  • In their last five games away from home, the Heat have a straight up record of 2-3 while going 1-3-1 vs the spread. The team’s offense averaged 97 points per game in these contests.
  • New York has played well in their previous three home games, going 2-1 straight up. In this stretch, they averaged 112 points per game while allowing 108. The team also performed well vs the spread at 2-1.
  • In their last three games as the betting underdog, the Heat have a straight up record of 0-3 and an ATS mark of 0-3.
  • Through their last three games as the favorite, the Knicks have an ATS record of 2-1 and a straight up mark of 3-0.

Heat vs Knicks Prediction

For a point-spread bet in this Heat vs. Knicks matchup, we’re leaning towards the Heat at +5. Although our projections show the Knicks winning 114-111, we suggest placing your bet on the Heat for the point-spread.

As for the total, the line is currently sitting at 217 and our model has the Heat and Knicks finishing with a combined 225 points. Our pick is to take the over.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.